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Dynamical System of a Two Dimensional Stoichiometric Discrete Producer-Grazer Model : Chaotic, Extinction and Noise Effects Yun Kang Work with Professor Yang Kuang and Professor Ying-chen Lai, Supported by Professor Carlos Castillo-Chavez (MTBI) and Professor Tom Banks (SAMSI)

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Outline of Today’s Talk Introduce LKE – model, and its corresponding discrete case; Mathematical Analysis: bifurcation study Biological Meaning of Bifurcation Diagram; Chaotic behavior and Extinction of grazer; Nature of Carry Capacity K and Growth Rate b, and their fluctuation by environments: adding noise Interesting Phenomenal by adding noise: promote diversity of nature Conclusion and Future Work

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Stoichiometry It refers to patterns of mass balance in chemical conversions of different types of matter, which often have definite compositions

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most important thing about stoichiometry we can not combine things in arbitary proportions; e.g., we can’t change the proportion of water and dioxygen produced as a result of making glucose.

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Energy flow and Element cycling are two fundamental and unifying principles in ecosystem theory Using stoichiometric principles, Kuang’s research group construct a two-dimensional Lotka–Volterra type model, we call it LKE- model for short

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Assumptions of LKE Model Assumption One: Total mass of phosphorus in the entire system is closed, P ( mg P /l ) Assumption Two: Phosphorus to carbon ratio (P:C) in the plant varies, but it never falls below a minimum q (mg P/mg C); the grazer maintains a constant P:C ratio, denoted by ( mg P/mg C ) Assumption Three: All phosphorus in the system is divided into two pools: phosphorus in the plant and phosphorus in the grazer.

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Continuous Model p is the density of plant (in milligrams of carbon per liter, mg C/l); g is the density of grazer (mg C/l); b is the intrinsic growth rate of plant (day−1); d is the specific loss rate of herbivore that includes metabolic losses (respiration) and death (day−1); e is a constant production efficiency (yield constant); K is the plant’s constant carrying capacity that depends on some external factors such as light intensity; f(p) is the herbivore’s ingestion rate, which may be a Holling type II functional response.

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Biological Meaning of Minimum Functions K controls energy flow and (P − y)/q is the carrying capacity of the plant determined by phosphorus availability; e is the grazer’s yield constant, which measures the conversion rate of ingested plant into its own biomass when the plants are P rich ( ); If the plants are P poor ( ), then the conversion rate suffers a reduction.

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Continuous Case: b=1.2 and b=2.9

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Discrete Model From Continuous One Motivation: Data collect from discrete time, e.g., interval for collecting data is a year. Biological Meaning of Parameters : Modeling the dynamics of populations with non-overlapping generations is based on appropriate modifications of models with overlapping generations. Choose

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Mathematical Analysis We study the local stability of interior equilibrium E*=(x*,y*)

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Bifurcation Diagram and Its Biological Meaning For continuous case: K=1.5

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Bifurcation Diagrams on Parameter b

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Bifurcation Diagrams on Parameter K

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Relationship Between K and b: From these figures, we can see that there is nonlinear relationship between K and b which effect the population of plant and grazer: For bifurcation of K, increasing the value of b, the diagram of b seems shrink. For bifurcation of b, increasing the value of K, bifurcation diagram seems move to the left

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Extinction of Grazer From bifurcation diagram, we can see that for some range of K and b, grazer goes to extinct. What are the reasons?

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Basin Boundary For Extinction

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Global Stability Conjecture We know that Discrete Rick Model : x(n+1)=x(n)exp{b(1-x(n)/K)} has global stability for b<2, does our system also has this properties More general, if we have u(n+1)=u(n)exp{f(u(n),0} with global stability, then the following discrete system: x(n+1)=x(n)exp{f(x(n),y(n))+g(x(n),y(n))}, of g(x,y) goes to zero as y tending to zero, in which condition has global stability

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Nature of K and b K is carrying capacity of plant, and it is usually limited by the intensity of light and space. Since K is easily affected by the environment, it will not be always a constant ; b is maximum growth rate of plant, it will fluctuates because of environment changing.

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Adding Noise Because of the nature of biological meaning of K and b, it makes perfect sense to think these parameters as a random number. We let K=K0+ w*N(0,1) b=b0+w*N(0,1)

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Then Most Interesting thing on parameter K : Prevent extinction of grazer :

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Time Windows

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Scaling Define the degree of existence : R=average population of graze/ average population of plant Then try different amplititute of noise w, then do the log-log scaling, it follows the scaling law.

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Future Work We would like to use “snapshot” method to see how noise effects the population of grazer and producer; Try to different noise, e.g. color noise, to see how the ‘color’ effect the extinction of the grazer;

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Erin N. Bodine Co-authors: Suzanne Lenhart & Louis Gross The Institute for Environmental Modeling Grant # IIS-0427471.

Erin N. Bodine Co-authors: Suzanne Lenhart & Louis Gross The Institute for Environmental Modeling Grant # IIS-0427471.

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