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MSJC Stats BOT Workshop 1.21.10 R.C. Economic Recap MSJC -Headcount -Available seats College Going Rates City/Zip Codes Transfers Assessment MSJC Stats.

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Presentation on theme: "MSJC Stats BOT Workshop 1.21.10 R.C. Economic Recap MSJC -Headcount -Available seats College Going Rates City/Zip Codes Transfers Assessment MSJC Stats."— Presentation transcript:

1 MSJC Stats BOT Workshop R.C. Economic Recap MSJC -Headcount -Available seats College Going Rates City/Zip Codes Transfers Assessment MSJC Stats BOT Workshop R.C. Economic Recap MSJC -Headcount -Available seats College Going Rates City/Zip Codes Transfers Assessment MSJC – R&P Dept. – XCHASX

2 Economic Briefing – Ontario Convention Center Inland Empire : ½ of adults pop. not taken a college class + we have land = blue collar economy Gold mines – construction/distribution/manufacturing – all blue collar focus Need knowledge workers vs. land workers (Dr. David Stewart – UCR- Dean of Anderson - Graduate School) – White collar vs. Blue collar # 1 priority- Must change competitive advantages/goal mines – example more high tech focus, less blue collar as a % of total 4 & 2 year education institutions are an important element to IE economic recovery - a more educated population

3 Education Completed… Riverside County is below state avg Age25+ O.C.S.D.C.CA.R.C.S.Bern.C.Imp.C. H.S. Grads 80%83%77%75%74%59% Bachelor’s degree > 31%30%27%17%16%10% Source: U.S. Census Bureau – quickfacts.census.gov

4 MSJC Growth… continues The district services: annually 26,000 students over 17,000 per semester Three consecutive AY of double digit: AY06-07 up 12% AY up 10% AY08-09 up 14% CAGR (2) for past 10 yrs of 6% (CCC statewide 2%) 10 yrs ending AY 2008-’09 Up 75% (3.8 x statewide of 20%) (1) Compounded annual growth rate, Source: CCCCO.edu, Data Mart, MSJC R &P Dept. XCHAS

5 Headcounts have increased significantly over the past decade, AY08-’09 exceeded 26,000 students Headcounts have increased significantly over the past decade, AY08-’09 exceeded 26,000 students MSJC Unduplicated Headcount* in 1,000 * Include credit and non-credit Source: California Community Chancellor’s Office Data Mart –MSJC R&PD – XCJH By Academic Year 75% vs. 20% CAGR 6% vs. 2%

6 Headcount MSJC vs. CCC Statewide % Growth MSJC with higher highs & lower lows than CCC …we have experienced a 3 yr double digit growth trend MSJC with higher highs & lower lows than CCC …we have experienced a 3 yr double digit growth trend *Unduplicated and includes credit and Office Data Mart –MSJC R&PD – XCJH

7 MSJC in FA’07 exceeded 15k students & FA’08 17k… SU’09 declined due to a decrease in sections

8 Headcount* *Headcount at 1st Census, headcount maybe multi-campus/ DataTel (MSJC) & Data-Mart (CCCCO) numbers vary. DataTel is a snapshot of enrollment on a given date & does not include non-credit & includes 1st census only. Data Mart is the official CCCCO headcount. I-15 Corridor includes TEC (Temecula Education Complex) & Lake Elsinore (LEUSD) activity. Chaparral H.S. (TVUSD) activity is currently included in the MVC service area but will be included in the I-15 Corridor service area starting FA09 Source: MSJC DataTel/ MSJC R&P Dept. XCHASX Estimates: -4% vs. SP’09 2,960 FTES 2% vs. SP’09 2,040 FTES

9 Headcount* *Headcount at 1 st Census, headcount maybe multi-campus/ DataTel (MSJC) & Data-Mart (CCCCO) numbers vary. DataTel is a snapshot of enrollment on a given date & does not include non-credit & includes 1st census only. Data Mart is the official CCCCO headcount. I-15 Corridor includes TEC (Temecula Education Complex) & Lake Elsinore (LEUSD) activity. Chaparral H.S. (TVUSD) activity is currently included in the MVC service area but will be included in the I-15 Corridor service area starting FA09 Source: MSJC DataTel/ MSJC R&P Dept. XCHASX Estimates: +29% vs. SP’ FTES +86% vs. SP’09 55 FTES TEC

10 *Include credit & non-credit, projections for headcount based on actual SU09 (CCCCO-Data Mart) & FA09 estimate (XENR –DataTel), projection for FTES based on P1 AY09-10 Source: CCCCO.edu headcount, Fiscal Data Abstract FTES excludes non-resident. MSJC R&P Dept. XCHASX Projections -3% +5%

11 MSJC “% of occupied seats” continue to increase over prior term The % of occupied classroom seats (aka fill rate or % of cap) relative to available (*projection. Source: D.S.S. ) ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 % chg: Seats4%-7%-57%9%0.3% Sections4%-10%-56%10%-4% DE Sec.10%4%-63%20%3% FTES20%2%-37%15%8% Actual FTES4,5005,4005,600*1, ,6005,3005,900 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10

12 2008 California College-Going Rate* by Institution Type Riverside County College-Going rate is below state average * Public High Schools Source: California Postsecondary Education Commission - MSJC R&PD

13 2008 California College-Going Rates * by County Riverside County’s Ca. College-Going Rate 44% is below the California state average of 47%. Riverside County’s Ca. College-Going Rate 44% is below the California state average of 47%. * Public High Schools only Source: California Postsecondary Education Commission - MSJC R&PD %61%56%39%62%34% %57%45%38%42%36% %54%38%30%51%34%

14 2008 California College-Going Rate* by Unified School District Riverside County & 5 of 8 MSJC feeder H.S. Districts are below state average. * State & county includes public H.S. only, District include public & private Source: California Postsecondary Education Commission - MSJC R&PD rev %200751%38%45%39%40%34%27%24%27% 47%200642%25%33%38%28%17%34%36%12% 44%200532%22%36%30%27%24%33%30%13%

15 …of 1 st time freshmen that go to college at least 6 out of 10 … enroll in CCC last 2 yr avg. (2007 & 2008) SystemUnified School District Hem.S.J.Per.L.E.M.V.T.V.Bea.Ban. UC11%9%10%9%10%12%17%18% CSU13%17% 22%30%28%21%24% CCC76%74%72%69%60% 62%57% MSJC Share CCC75%87%63%61%62%38%43%36% All Colleges57%64%46%43%37%23%27%21% Source: CPEC.edu - # of all students who started as f 1 st time freshmen at the public college or university during the fall term of the yr

16 Top 10 areas that account for 93% … MSJC Student Body City by ZipFA09 Headcount% of totalRank Hemet3, %1 Murrieta3, %2 Menifee/Can. Lake2, %3 Temecula2, %4 San Jacinto1,5298.6%5 Lake Elsinore1,0635.9%6 Wildomar7644.3%7 Winchester6113.4%8 Perris6053.4%9 Banning/Beaumont5873.3%10 % of total 93% Total17,872100% Source: MSJC DataTel – XBRO.CH.ZIP.LIST. XCHAS

17 MSJC Transfers to 4-yr Institutions Transfers to UC & CSU increased by 22% for AY Transfers to UC exceeded 100 & 380 students transferred to the CSU system. Approximately 45 to 50% of all MSJC 4-yr institutional transfers are to a UC or CSU, the remaining are transfers to ISP (In-State-Private) & OOS (Out-of-State) institutions. MSJC top transfer 4-yr institutions by category : UC - UCR CSU – San Bern. ISP – Univ. of Phx OOS – BYU - UCSD - San Mar. - Azu. Pac. Univ. - West’n Gov. Univ. - UCLA - Fullerton - Ca. Baptist Univ. – BYU, Idaho Source: For UC & CSU, Ca. Postsecondary Ed. Commission- CPEC.ca.gov & ISP & OOS, National Student Clearinghouse (NSC), MSJC R&P Dept. XCHAS

18 Assessed into pre-college level course… MSJC 2008 Math … 92% English … 88% Reading … 66%

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