Presentation on theme: "Reflections on the L'Aquila verdict A candid risk assessment of the role of the Earth Scientist and some suggestions for risk management R Bretton, J Gottsmann,"— Presentation transcript:
Reflections on the L'Aquila verdict A candid risk assessment of the role of the Earth Scientist and some suggestions for risk management R Bretton, J Gottsmann, R Christie, W Aspinall, S Sparks Richard Bretton (for correspondence) PhD Student School of Earth Sciences firstname.lastname@example.org 7 March 2013 Safer Science 1/7
"How to practise Safer S…cience“ 4 April 2009 6.3…309…1,500…20,000…65,000…6+1 Richard Bretton PhD Student School of Earth Sciences email@example.com 7 March 2013 Safer Science 2/7
“Scientists involved in natural hazard assessment must clarify with their employer or the organization they are accountable or report to, just what is expected of them, what their level of responsibility is, and what the chain of command and reporting protocols are between them as scientists and the civil and government authorities they work with. Without establishing such an agreed….understanding, such scientists are vulnerable and quite frankly, in the modern world of litigation, they would be foolish” IAVCEI 28.10.12 Richard Bretton PhD Student School of Earth Sciences firstname.lastname@example.org 7 March 2013 Safer Science 3/7
Unmitigated Risk Vulnerability Exposure Hazard Assessment – Earth Scientists Safer Science 4/7 7 March 2013 Hazard Monitoring (long- & short-term) Hazard assessments Hazard maps/zoning Hazard communication Any input to Risk assessment & management processes Any other services given
Unmitigated Risk Worry, hassle, time wastage Loss of reputation, job, income Payment of compensation/fines/costs Imprisonment Vulnerability Freedom of Information/Participatory governance Public scrutiny/Press & Social media Blame shifting/External pressures No or inadequate: Contract/Role specification Duty & Standard of care limitation/Insurance Professional backing Records/Training Exposure All who offer these services (whether they are paid or not) Risk Assessment – Earth Scientists Safer Science 5/7 7 March 2013 Hazard assessment Mitigation
Mitigated Risk Risk Management – Earth Scientists Risk VulnerabilityMitigation ContractWritten, Capacity (indiv. or rep.), Governing law & jurisdiction, Independent, Impartial, Time, Resources, Insurance provided/required, Indemnity Role/Responsibilities specification As a member/ as a committee (ad hoc/statutory/makeup/infrastructure) Input, Processes, Output (evidence-based, format, content, timing, updating), to whom reporting NEVER STRAY OUTSIDE YOUR OWN EXPERTISE Duty/standard of careAccept the duty – Know the standard - Define constraints – time, resources, data, assumptions, uncertainty, models, processes Exclude/limit/cap liability in contract/negligence + immunity from prosecution InsuranceWhat is available at a reasonable cost? – cap liability at or below limit Professional backingAGU, IAVCEI, IASPEI, ICEFCP etc. Guidance - not full representative backing RecordsKeep contemporaneous records of input, deliberations, reasons, output TrainingCommunicating - with media and public – uncertainty - terminology Risk ExposureMitigation Full range of servicesOffer no or less services Safer Science 6/7 7 March 2013
"…you've got to ask yourself one question: Do I feel lucky? Well, do ya, punk?" Harry Callahan in Dirty Harry Safer Science 7/7 7 March 2013 Don't be “foolish” & rely on luck…please practise Safer Science!