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Cork and Foran Part 2. “A Biofuel Economy” Human population Marine fishing Energy and greenhouse Land and water Urban infrastructure Biophysical economics.

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Presentation on theme: "Cork and Foran Part 2. “A Biofuel Economy” Human population Marine fishing Energy and greenhouse Land and water Urban infrastructure Biophysical economics."— Presentation transcript:

1 Cork and Foran Part 2

2 “A Biofuel Economy”

3 Human population Marine fishing Energy and greenhouse Land and water Urban infrastructure Biophysical economics

4 Biomass methanol DME Thermochemical

5 Conventional wisdom Renewables transition Electricity Options

6 Fuel Options Shale CNG Ethanol Methanol/DME

7 Energy Profit Ratios energy ‘out’/energy ‘in’ Methanol from wood

8 Bio-methanol Transition wood production million m3 90% Methanol 90% Methanol + Trans Efficiency

9 Changes to Land Use Rules for each region: 10% crop, 10% pasture 10% rough land

10 Reduction in Continental Runoff at 2051 due to Plantations for Bio-Methanol 6 million ha57 million ha39 million ha Average Continental Runoff = > 400,000 GL (12% of rain)

11 National Headline Indicators accumulated over 45 year scenario period Low growth economy

12 still battling Outcomes?

13 A Safe Operating Space for Humanity Futures Work ?

14 Process of Futures ….a bit like marriage  delight of the first engagement  optimism and inquiry  analysis and creation  delivery (of the report)  dead silence from policy/action  start again ? Mid career people Skill them up, enthuse them Send them back to the real world Recruit a new team, still optimistic ‘Future Woolscapes’ workshop, North Head, Sydney

15 Institutions  Commission for the Future  Intergenerational reports  Climate change and hydrology currently Skills  Wide knowledge, not prone to cynicism/depression  Structure and numeracy across sectors  Good political skills but not slippery or politicised Boundaries  Whole-economy but depth in ten+ zones  Trade off capability across environment-social-economy Structural Issues For Futures Work


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