Presentation on theme: "1 The Great Global Warming scam Source: Wikipedia and others A Tale of Truth and Lies."— Presentation transcript:
1 The Great Global Warming scam Source: Wikipedia and others A Tale of Truth and Lies
Science or Politics? by Norman Taylor POLITICS Tell me what you want to prove. Give me enough time and money and I’ll ‘prove’ it. SCIENCE I will tell you my theory. You can check it with observations in the real world.
3 Do the Facts fit the Theory? Study the Science If it (a theory) disagrees with experiment it is wrong … It does not make any difference how beautiful your guess is. It does not make any difference how smart you are, who made the guess or what his name is – if it disagrees with experiment it is wrong. That’s all there is to it.” Richard Feynman (1918-1988) (Jointly with Julian Schwinger and Sin-Itiro Tomonaga, received the Nobel Prize for Physics in 1965. )
4 Facts don’t fit the CO 2 theory If the human-induced CO 2 theory is right then: Troposphere is heating up – but it isn’t Ocean levels are rising dramatically – but they aren’t CO 2 levels would precede temperature changes – but they do not Past CO 2 levels would have been low – but they were not Climate models would predict current cooling – but they did not
5 A story of plausible untruths “…the UN-IPCC Report of spring 2007 was shamelessly massaged, purporting to be a ‘consensus’ of climate scientists subject to peer review, whereas in fact there was no consensus and no peer review.” Prof. Derek Smith, Chairman UKIP Energy & Environmental Policy Group “As a physical scientist rather than a group psychotherapist, I cannot explain why politicians and Green campaigners so endeavour to mislead the public.”
6 This is a Lie Source: http://www.john-daly.com/hockey/hockey.htm The famous ‘hockey stick’ diagram by Dr Michael Mann used by the IPCC in 2001. More than any other factor, this kick-started the modern AGW scare.
7 This is the Truth Source: Science & Public Policy Institute
8 This is the Truth Source: Data from the Met Office Hadley Centre The global temperature trend since 1998 is downward.
9 The Liars Source: Wikipedia and others Michael E. Mann is an American physicist and climatologist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University. He deliberately manipulated data about the medieval warm period to produce the infamous ‘hockey stick’ diagram ‘proving’ man-made global warming. Dr Phil Jones was Director of the Hadley Centre (part of the Met Office) until leaked emails revealed that he had called on scientists to ‘abolish the medieval warm period’. He was forced to step down when the truth was revealed. In February 2010 he admitted that there had been previous warming periods not related to CO2. He also revealed that there had been no global warming since 1995.
10 This is a Lie CO 2 and the greenhouse effect is heating the atmosphere
11 This is the Truth Measurements show no heating of the atmosphere
12 The Lie – glaciers are melting Source: Daily Mail, 22 Jan 2010 In the face of overwhelming evidence, Dr Rajendra Pachauri (IPCC Chairman) has admitted that the claim that Himalayan glaciers would disappear in 25 years was false. It was printed as a fact in the IPCC’s 4 th Assessment Report. It came from an Indian scientist who has now admitted that the story was mere ‘speculation’.
13 The Truth – glaciers come and go There is more glacier ice now than 200 years ago. As a result, some glaciers have been retreating since the 19 th century. Source: Alaska Geographic As this chart of the retreat of the glaciers at Glacier Bay, Alaska shows, most of the retreat occurred before the 2nd half of the 20th century.
14 The big Liar Sources: David Derbyshire, Resilient Earth website Dr. Rajendra Pachauri – chairman of the IPCC Railway Engineer and dodgy businessman
15 The Lie – polar bears are vanishing Sources: Various
16 The Truth – ice melts every summer! Source: Canadian Government study The ‘vanishing bear’ pictures were taken in July and August when Artic ice always melts. Nothing to do with ‘global warming’. Of the eleven tribes of polar bear tracked in North America, nine are increasing in number, while the other two are stable or declining. In 1950 there were about 5,000 polar bears; in 2008 there were around 25,000.
17 The Lie – Kilimanjaro ice melting Al Gore claimed that the melting of ice on Kilimanjaro ice proved global warming. Source: American Scientist
18 The Truth– Kilimanjaro today Scientific analysis has shown that most of the glacial retreat at Kilimanjaro occurred prior to 1953, before late 20 th century warming. The retreat was a result of more moisture in the air and nothing to do with global warming. Sources: American Scientist and http://www.flickr.com/photos/kiliweb/4028888358/sizes/o/in/photostream /
19 The Lie – more CO 2 than ever How to lie – choose short timeframes to ‘prove’ your case Source: Wikipedia
20 The Truth – higher levels in the past How to find the truth – look back over a long time Source: Warren Meyer http://www.CoyoteBlog.com TODAY
21 The Lie - CO 2 poisons the planet Source: http://www.expresswaysonline.com/expwys/ourselves.html
22 The truth - CO 2 feeds life Source: Science & Public Policy Institute Carbon dioxide is a naturally-occurring substance that is plant food. With sunlight, chlorophyll, and water, it is an essential ingredient in plant photosynthesis, without which there would be little or no life on Earth
23 Climate modellers didn’t forecast this Pictures from Bethersden, Kent in November & December 2010 Source: Norman Taylor
Leading sceptic Piers Corbyn did Source: Weather Action website
25 One effect of wrong beliefs Wrong forecasts = wrong policies = gridlock Source: Daily Mail December 2010
26 Met Office – Liars or Incompetents? Met Office bosses Sir John Houghton (‘warmist’): 1983-2006 Robert Napier (‘passionate environmentalist’): 2006 -
27 Why computer models get it wrong Computers have been “taught” that global temperature rise is due to the greenhouse effect. This is a lie. Source: Syun-Ichi Akasofu of the International Arctic Research Center at University of Alaska Fairbanks Climate-modelling computers don’t decide if man-made CO 2 changes the climate The modellers tell them so!
28 How the Met Office gets it wrong Assume that man-made CO 2 drives climate change Assume that natural cyclic factors are unimportant Assume that earth is heating up when it is not Assume that oceans are warming when they are not Assume current trends will continue; ignore technology changes. Sources: Dr Trenberth, head of the Climate Analysis Section of the US National Center for Atmospheric Research and principal author of the scientific section of the 2007 IPCC Report and others THEY START WITH THE WRONG ASSUMPTIONS
29 What really drives climate change? Source: Jonathan Powell, Positive Weather Solutions
30 CO 2 doesn’t do much Source: Peter Taylor, Ethos Greenhouse gases – 20% of which: Water vapour - 36% to 72% Carbon dioxide – 9% to 26% Methane – 4% to 9% Others – 3% to 7% Sun cycles – 30% Cloud cover – 25% Ocean cycles – 25% Other cycles – ?
31 These are big drivers of climate… Orbital - 100,000 year cycle - 3% distance change = 20 to 30% variation in energy received Axial - 41,000 year cycle - Affects summers and winters Wobble - 23,000 year cycle - Now suggests coming ice age Solar energy - 1,500 year cycle - Long-term output changes Sunspots - 11 year cycle - Short-term output changes Sun’s EM radiation - 70 year cycle - Short-term output changes
32 … and Ocean Cycles El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – irregular 4-to-5 year cycle - Increases global temperatures Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) – 30 year cycle - Decreases global temperatures Arctic Oscillation (AO) – irregular 60-to-70 year cycle - Positive phase (1989-1995) increased temperatures over Scandinavia and Siberia, cooled Greenland North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) – irregular 60-to-70 year cycle - Positive phase (1989-1995) increased temperatures over eastern USA, cooled Greenland
33 …and the Jet Streams Source: New Scientist 2010
34 Why is the world cooling 1? Global temperatures in 2008 were lower than in 2007 due to the cooling effect of the La Nina current in the Pacific It contributed to torrential rains in Australia and to some of the coldest temperatures in memory in snow-bound parts of China. Global temperatures have not risen in the 11 years since 1998 when El Nino last warmed the world. El Nino produced a temporary blip in early 2010 but that effect was only temporary. Source: Michel Jarraud, World Meteorological Organisation Mar 2008 and 2010
35 Why is the world cooling 2? Scientists now predicting a 'Little Ice Age‘ ( June 2011 ). Average temperatures in Britain could fall by 2 °C, according to Mike Lockwood, professor of space environment physics at Reading University, because of a drop in the amount of sunspot activity. Source: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2010757/Shivering-Britain-Little-Ice-Age-way.html#ixzz1R3c0zS8R It’s clear that natural cycles determine climate – not mankind
36 The Lie – climate deniers are bribed Quote: Dr. Michael Tuckson “Leading deniers are funded by the coal and oil companies or anti government, anti-science ideologues. Deniers are rarely practicing scientists, and hardly try to learn.”
37 The Truth – where the money goes Source: Dr David Evans ICCC 2009 òSceptics and big oil companies: $2 million per year on anti-AGW òBig government and greens: $2 billion per year on pro-AGW òFinance industry (bankers & carbon credit traders): $120 billion traded last year, the market is exploding
38 The Truth – many sceptics are scientists Source: ICCC conference Dr David Evans, a distinguished climate scientist, has moved from being a believer in man-made global warming to a sceptic. He says: “We now know it is not CO 2.”
39 Too much money here The UN conference in Cancun in December 2010 pledged $600 billion of your money to ‘counter effects of global warming’. It is actually a scam to promote a ‘New World Order’ where we are ruled by the unelected. Sources: http://www.vid3o.net/, the insider.org
40 The money is spent on bureaucrats Source: http://www.qando.net The United Nations budget for Haiti is $732.4 million Two-thirds goes on salaries and perks for bureaucrats
41 Not enough money here Source: Haiti Today, International Rescue Committee More than a year after the Jan 2010 earthquake, there are 1.3 million homeless in Haiti. Cholera is on the increase. Haitians need Buildings – not Bureaucrats
42 Why some of ‘them’ lie to us Big Government & Greens want to - cut reliance on non-renewable fuels from unstable countries - justify higher taxes on (spurious) environmental grounds - build a New World Order – run by the unelected University & Government Scientists tend to believe in government, dislike business (many are Marxists) need government funding for their work need to publish dramatic research results to further careers treat ‘ordinary people’ with disdain Journalists need easy access to: scare stories – ‘bad news sells papers’ and TV programmes It is known that climate change is too complicated to be driven by a single factor. AGW propaganda is political not scientific.
43 In summary … There is, and has always been, climate change - the result of complex and chaotic interactions of many factors. Changes in the sun, clouds, earth & ocean surfaces are the likely causes.
44 The threat to our freedom “As someone who lived under communism for most of my life, I feel obliged to say that the biggest threat to freedom, democracy, the market economy and prosperity at the beginning of the 21 st century is not communism or its various softer variants. Communism has been replaced by the threat of ambitious environmentalism… Man-made climate change has become one of the most dangerous arguments aimed at distorting human efforts and public policies in the whole world.” Source: President Vaclav Klaus of the Czech Republic, March 2007
45 The false philosophy of bureaucrats The people are ignorant They can’t understand the issues They act unwisely as individuals in business in nation states Democracy has failed replace it with a post-democratic society The people need to be directed by the ‘great and good’ – like us We need a New World Order Controlled by experts – not the elected
46 What should we be doing? Continue research into climate change o we need to know much more than we know now Boost technology to cut use of non-renewable & fuels o use ‘whole chain’ measurements to iudge effects Back projects to prevent or limit effects of natural catastrophes o employ workers – not bureaucrats New projects to prevent diseases, give essentials of life to all Limit population growth by stimulating economic growth o richer populations have fewer children Regain our independence from unelected bureaucrats