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Comparison of Scenarios

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Presentation on theme: "Comparison of Scenarios"— Presentation transcript:


2 Comparison of Scenarios
Current management vs Drafted bill with re-zoning Expanded wilderness zone 2

3 Key differences in impacts
There is a biodiversity-economy win-win possible Current management not achieving biological or economic potential Re-zoning and built development has costs that reduce its benefits: new ski tourism at expense of lost nature-tourism climate change and obligation to compensate for biodiversity damage could affect its profitability Expanded wilderness zone allows development of nature tourism 3

4 Location and Distribution of Impacts I
Re-zoning and development benefits: outside investors foresters mainly from outside region temporary construction activity seasonal employees in skiing. Some positive impacts will arise locally, but so will negative impacts of damage to nature-tourism 4

5 Location and Distribution of Impacts II
Wilderness expansion: emphasis on range of small-scale local services Greater proportion of economic benefit stays within local area Different visitor opportunities at different times of year 5

6 Potential in Nature-tourism Market
Nature-tourism market is large, growing, competitive Eco-tourism predicted to expand to 25% of global tourism market by 2020 (from 6% in 2010) Sumava’s Wilderness is a unique selling point (USP) nature and economic objectives can align around an expanded wilderness area and expanded tourism activity based on it Sumava’s wilderness is attracting increasing numbers of visitors: access points to current wilderness areas are "full" in NP. Increasing visitor access in existing area could damage the USP Increase visitor access requires enlarged wilderness area 6

7 Thank you! 20th January 2014

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