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Basic Need: Planning for Secondary Places Shirley Parks Head of Pupil Place Planning.

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Presentation on theme: "Basic Need: Planning for Secondary Places Shirley Parks Head of Pupil Place Planning."— Presentation transcript:

1 Basic Need: Planning for Secondary Places Shirley Parks Head of Pupil Place Planning

2 Headlines  300,000 more secondary pupils are forecast between 2012/13 and 2019/20 (SCAP 2013)  LAs have a high degree of certainty in forecasts as pupils are in the system, but there are still unknown factors eg migration  London and the South-east are likely to see the highest increases in demand but other areas will also feel pressures  Some LAs are already feeling pressure in some areas places, but many LAs are at the lowest point in secondary numbers.  82% of secondary schools had unfilled places; 13% of 469,441 secondary places were unfilled in 2013 compared to 9% in 2009

3 Secondary forecasts The secondary population is forecast to increase by around 300,000 pupils from 2013/14 to 2019/20.

4 SCAP 2013: Primary and Secondary Forecasts 2012/13 to 2017/18 All regions are forecasting an increase in primary pupils over the period with Outer London forecasting the biggest change at 23% followed by Inner London at 17%. All regions except the North East are forecasting an increase in secondary pupils, with the biggest change forecast in Inner London at 16% followed by Outer London at 12%.

5 Change in secondary pupils over time The number of LAs with annual declines drops off quickly by 2017/18 and the number of LAs with annual rises 2.5% +increases significantly.

6 Funding allocations  £5bn of basic need funding allocated during this Parliament (FY ),  £2.35bn for was announced December 2013  These allocations included: - weighting to cover the higher costs of secondary places and geographical variability of building costs -A 3% London uplift -a 2% surplus - Recognised places provided through previous allocations, free schools or targeted basic need places. We are currently working on the next set of allocations.

7 Some of the things LAs have told us…  Site constraints are a concern (for secondary expansions and new schools)  Costs are increasing  Solutions are complex at secondary – the challenge of keeping teaching blocks together/specialist accommodation requirements  Size of school (may be) slightly less of a barrier than at primary  School autonomy creates a challenge  Local community challenges may be an issue where schools expand given the scale  Spare places might not be in the schools that parents want their children to attend.

8 Secondary Places – over to you  What is driving your strategy for providing additional secondary place?  What kind of solutions are you considering?  What do you see as the biggest issues/risks DfE should be aware of?


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