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0 2 4 6 8 10 WonLost 1234 Year Number of Games Warm-Up 1) In which year(s) did the team lose more games than they won? 2) In which year did the team play the most games? 3) In which year did the team play ten games?

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Tree Diagrams and Lists Tree Diagrams: resembles the branches of a tree and show all possible outcomes by following each of the branches of the tree. Lists: work best if a systematic way/plan is developed to list all possible outcomes.

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Tree Diagrams Tree diagrams allow us to see all possible outcomes of an event (and calculate their probabilities …eventually) This tree diagram shows the probabilities of results of flipping a coin three times.

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The MHS cafeteria offers chicken or tuna sandwiches; chips or fruit; and milk, apple juice, or orange juice. If you purchase one sandwich, one side item and one drink, how many different lunches can you choose? Sandwich(2)Side Item(2) Drink(3) Outcomes chicken tuna There are 12 possible lunches. chips fruit chips fruit apple juice orange juice milk chicken, chips, apple chicken, chips, orange chicken, chips, milk chicken, fruit, apple chicken, fruit, orange chicken, fruit, milk tuna, chips, apple tuna, chips, orange tuna, chips, milk tuna, fruit, apple tuna, fruit, orange tuna, fruit, milk

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The Multiplication Counting Principle … an easier way! If one event can occur in m ways and another event can occur in n ways, then the number of ways that both events can occur together is m∙n. This principle can be extended to three or more events. Basically…multiply the number of choices you have at each stage. So from the lunch example… # sandwich choices x # side choices x # drink choices

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Multiplication Counting Principle At a sporting goods store, skateboards are available in 8 different deck designs. Each deck design is available with 4 different wheel assemblies. How many skateboard choices does the store offer? 32

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The Multiplication Counting Principle Example: How many different looks can you give Mr. Potato Head if we can choose from: 4 hats, 2 noses, 3 eyes, 2 shoes, and 5 ties? 240

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How many ways can you make lunches out of a soup, a sandwich, some dessert, and a drink, given that there are 3 different soups to choose from, 4 kinds of sandwich, 4 desserts, and 5 drinks? Multiplication Counting Principle

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Rajohn’s aunt takes him to Wendy’s for lunch. She tells Rajohn he can get an entrée, a side, and a drink. For the entrée, his choices are the 5 piece nuggets, a spicy chicken sandwich, or a single. For sides: he can get fries, a side salad, potato, or chili. If Rajohn has 48 total lunch choices, how many DRINKS could Rajohn choose from? 4

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The Addition Counting Principle A box contains 5 bags of milk chocolate M&M’s, 5 bags of peanut M&M’s, 5 bags of sour skittles, 5 bags of regular skittles, 5 bags of chocolate covered raisins, and 5 bags of tropical skittles. How many bags are a variety of skittles?

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The Addition Counting Principle If the outcome of interest can be divided into groups with no possibilities in common, then the number of possibilities is the sum of the numbers of possibilities in each group. 15

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Many mp3 players can shuffle the songs that are played. Your mp3 currently only contains 8 songs (if you’re a loser). Find the number of orders in which the songs can be played. There are 40,320 possible song orders. In this situation it makes more sense to use the Fundamental Counting Principle. 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 8 = 40,320

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Factorial EXAMPLE with Songs ‘eight factorial’ The product of counting numbers beginning at n and counting backward to 1 is written n! and it’s called n factorial. factorial. 8! = 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 = 40,320 Calculators = the easy life!

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Factorial Simplify each expression. a.4! b.6! c. For the 8th grade field events there are five teams: Red, Orange, Blue, Green, and Yellow. Each team chooses a runner for lanes one through 5. Find the number of ways to arrange the runners. 4 3 2 1 = 24 6 5 4 3 2 1 = 720 = 5! = 5 4 3 2 1 = 120

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The student council of 15 members must choose a president, a vice president, a secretary, and a treasurer. President Vice Secretary TreasurerOutcomes There are 32,760 ways for choosing the class officers. In this situation it makes sense to use the Fundamental Counting Principle. 15 14 13 12 = 32,760

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Lesson Simple Probability and Odds

Lesson Simple Probability and Odds

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