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1 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014.

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Presentation on theme: "1 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014

2 2 EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 Dr Peter Damesick Chairman EMEA Research 12 March 2014

3 3 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT $ billion Source: CBRE Research, RCA; * All commercial real estate and hotels Change 2013 vs 2012 Americas+16.5% EMEA+34.3% Asia Pacific+28.0%

4 4 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 € billion Source: CBRE Research CROSS-REGIONAL GLOBAL CAPITAL BOOSTS EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT 0

5 5 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 GLOBAL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT IN EUROPE Market distribution, % total purchases Source: CBRE Research

6 6 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 € billion CROSS-REGIONAL GLOBAL CAPITAL FLOWS IN EUROPE 2013 by Market Source: CBRE Research 0

7 7 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 Source: Property Data, CBRE Research £ billion COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT IN UK £53 billion transacted in 2013 – £21 billion in just Q4 0

8 8 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 € million COMMERCIAL PROPERTY INVESTMENT IN EURO PERIPHERY Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Italy Source: CBRE Research

9 9 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 EUROPE’S FASTEST GROWING INVESTMENT MARKETS IN 2013 Cities with biggest relative increases in sales 2013 vs 2012 Source: CBRE Research

10 INVESTOR INTENTIONS SURVEY RESULTS 2014

11 11 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 SURVEY RESPONDENTS BY TYPE OF ORGANISATION Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

12 12 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 WHICH GLOBAL REGION IS MOST PREFERRED FOR INVESTMENT? Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

13 13 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 INVESTING OUTSIDE EUROPE IN 2014? Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

14 14 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014 INVESTMENT OUTSIDE EUROPE ON 2014: WHICH REGIONS? Percentage of respondents who will invest outside Europe Emerging Asia 24% Pacific 21%78% North America South America 17% AfricaMiddle East Developed Asia 52% 5%4%4% * Respondents could choose more than one region

15 15 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 Source: CBRE Asia Pacific Investor Intentions Survey 2014 ASIA PACIFIC INVESTORS: WHERE WILL THEY INVEST GLOBALLY IN 2014? Percentage of respondents who will invest outside Asia Pacific Central and Eastern Europe 23% 68% Western Europe South America 8% North America 57% Africa 2%2% Middle East 2%2% * Respondents could choose more than one region

16 16 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 MOST ATTRACTIVE COUNTRY IN EUROPE FOR INVESTMENT PURCHASES Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

17 17 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 Dublin Rise in attractiveness of Spanish cities MOST ATTRACTIVE CITY FOR INVESTMENT PURCHASES Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

18 18 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 MOST PREFERRED SECTOR FOR INVESTMENT PURCHASES Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014 Stronger preference

19 19 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 TOP 3 ‘MOST ATTRACTIVE’ FOR PURCHASES IN 2014 CountriesCitiesSectors Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey UK 29% 2.Germany 21% 3.Spain 19% 1.London 30% 2.Madrid 14% 3.Berlin 9% 1.Offices 39% 2.Logistics 16% 3.Shopping centres 11%

20 20 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 MOST PREFERRED ASSET TYPE FOR PURCHASES Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey

21 21 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 RISK APPETITE FOR SECONDARY ASSETS IN 2014 COMPARED WITH LAST YEAR Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey %

22 22 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 MOST PREFERRED ASSET TYPE FOR PURCHASES Percent of investors by global region, 2014 Source: CBRE Investor Intentions Survey 2014

23 23 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 INVESTMENT AND INTEREST IN ALTERNATIVE SECTORS Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014 Invested Actively interested

24 24 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 EXPECTED PURCHASING ACTIVITY THIS YEAR COMPARED WITH LAST YEAR Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey % of respondents said purchasing activity would be higher in 2014

25 25 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 WHAT IS THE BIGGEST OBSTACLE TO ACQUIRING ASSETS IN EUROPE? Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey % of investors cited these 3 obstacles

26 26 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 WHAT IS GREATEST THREAT TO EUROPEAN PROPERTY MARKETS? Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey % of investors pick one of these threats

27 27 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 WHAT EFFECT WOULD UK EXIT FROM EU HAVE ON UK’S ATTRACTIVENESS FOR INVESTMENT? Source: CBRE European Investor intentions Survey 2014

28 28 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 INVESTOR INTENTIONS Key themes 2014 More confidence in Europe Resurgent interest in Spain Investors moving up risk curve  Most attractive asset types outside prime/core  Greater appetite for secondary Higher purchasing activity in 2014 Markets more crowded and competitive Perception of over-pricing as threat

29 29 CBRE | EUROPEAN CAPITAL MARKETS AND INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 PANEL DISCUSSION LEAD BY JONATHAN HULL Marc Giuffrida Executive Director, Singapore Adolfo Ramírez-Escudero President, Spain Peter Schreppel CEO, Germany Jonathan Hull Managing Director, EMEA Chris Brett Head of International Capital Markets, UK PANEL


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