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Introduction of the new ILO Labour Statistics Standards: Implications for the new Employment and Skills Strategy 2014-2020 Farhad Mehran, ILO Consultant.

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Presentation on theme: "Introduction of the new ILO Labour Statistics Standards: Implications for the new Employment and Skills Strategy 2014-2020 Farhad Mehran, ILO Consultant."— Presentation transcript:

1 Introduction of the new ILO Labour Statistics Standards: Implications for the new Employment and Skills Strategy Farhad Mehran, ILO Consultant & Pranvera Elezi, INSTAT Tirana, 7 February 2014 IPA 2010 Project on Human Resources Development in Albania Project funded by European Union Project implemented by International Labour Organisation

2 Contents International standards on labour statistics Work, employment and labour underutilization Reprocessed LFS results, 2012 Subsistence foodstuff producers Seasonal variations Employment and skills strategy targets Improving INSTAT labour force survey programme 2

3 International standards concerning labour statistics ICLSYearTopic 19 th ICLS2013Statistics of work, employment and labour underutilization ……… 13 th ICLS1982Statistics of the economically active population, employment, unemployment and underemployment ……… 8 th ICLS1954Statistics of the labour force, employment and unemployment ……… 1 st ICLS1923Statistics of wages and hours of labour, Statistics of industrial accidents, Classification of occupations 3 en/index.htm International Conference of Labour Statisticians (ICLS)

4 Work All activities Work Own-use production work Employment Unpaid trainee work Volunteer work Other work Other activities ILO, Resolution concerning statistics of work, employment and labour underutilization (Geneva, 19 th ICLS, 2013). Any activity performed by persons of any sex and age to produce goods or to provide services for use by others or for own use Not defined, e.g., unpaid community service and unpaid work by prisoners, when ordered by a court or similar authority Non-compulsory work performed for others without pay Work performed for others in exchange for pay or profit Work performed for others without pay to acquire workplace experience or skills Production of goods and services for own final use Activities not involving production of goods or services (begging, stealing), self-care (personal grooming, hygiene) and activities that cannot be performed by another person on one’s own behalf (sleeping, learning, own recreation) 4

5 Labour force and labour underutilization framework Population Labour force Employed Other employed Time-related underemployed Unemployed Outside the labour force Potential labour force Other outside the labour force Labour underutilization 5

6 Albania LFS 2012 (2012 Q2 – 2013 Q1) Working age population (Pop 15+) = 2’228’500 Labour force = 997’100 Labour force = 997’100 Subsistence foodstuff producers = 309’600 Subsistence foodstuff producers = 309’600 Work force = 1’264’900 Subsistence foodstuff producers in the labour force = 41’800 6

7 Source: INSTAT, Labour force surveys 2012 Q2 to 2013 Q1. Reprocessed data according to the international standards adopted by the 19th International Conference of Labour Statisticians, Geneva,

8 Labour force status of the working age population, Albania LFS 2012 Labour force status Reprocessed 2012 Q2 – 2013 Q1 1 INSTAT Working age population (15+ yrs)2’228’5002’229’700 Labour force997’1001’290’600 -Employed779’8001’117’100 (time-related underemployed)(47’900)- -Unemployed217’300173’400 Outside thelabour force1’231’400939’100 (potential labour force)(325’100)- Source: 1 INSTAT, Labour force surveys 2012 Q2 to 2013 Q1. Reprocessed data according to the international standards adopted by the 19th International Conference of Labour Statisticians, Geneva, INSTAT, Labour Market

9 LU1 = Unemployment rate LU2 = Combined rate of unemployment and time-related underemployment LU3 = Combined rate of unemployment and potential labour force LU4 = Composite rate of labour underutilization Source: INSTAT, Labour force surveys 2012 Q2 to 2013 Q1. Reprocessed data according to the international standards adopted by the 19th International Conference of Labour Statisticians, Geneva,

10 Regional comparison Data may not be comparable due to differences in survey definitions and methods CountryYearLFPREmp-PopUR Albania %35.0%21.8% Kosovo %25.5%30.9% Macedonia %38.1%31.0% Montenegro %40.2%19.7% Serbia %35.5%23.9% Source: National labour force surveys. For Albania, INSTAT reprocessed LFS data, annual average 2012 Q2 – 2013 Q1. For Kosovo, Macedonia, and Montenegro data derived from ILOSTAT databases/lang--en/index.htmhttp://www.ilo.org/global/statistics-and- databases/lang--en/index.htm For Serbia, Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia, LFS

11 Source: INSTAT, Labour force surveys 2012 Q2 to 2013 Q1. Reprocessed data according to the international standards adopted by the 19th International Conference of Labour Statisticians, Geneva, LU1 = Unemployment rate LU2 = Combined rate of unemployment and time-related underemployment LU3 = Combined rate of unemployment and potential labour force LU4 = Composite rate of labour underutilization 11

12 Rotation sample design Year 1Year 2 Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4 xxxxx xxxx xxx xx x xxxxx xxxxx xxxxx xxxx xxx xx x Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q Overlap Quarter-to-Quarter 80% Year-to-Year 50% Quarter-same-Quarter 20% Overlap Quarter-to-Quarter 80% Year-to-Year 50% Quarter-same-Quarter 20% PSU Household PSU Household Start of regular pattern

13 Employment and Skills Strategy Targets2012BaselineTarget Employment-to-population ratioLFS35.0%xxx Informal employment (in non-agriculture employment)LFS39.6%30% Work force by main economic sectors - Agriculture - Industry - Services - Other not classified by sector LFS100.0% 48.2% 16.0% 33.0% 2.7% xxx Long-term unemployment shareLFS75.1%60% Youth unemployment rate (15-24 yrs)LFS40.3%20.5% Gender gap in employmentLFS16.4 p.p.10 p.p. Employment-population ratio(Vocational training grads)LFS54.7%xxx Employment rate(Vocational training graduates)LFS15.7%xxx Persons (25-64 yrs) participating in lifelong trainingLFS1.1%4% Labour force participation rateLFS44.7%- Youth neither in employment nor education or trainingLFS31.3%- Source: INSTAT, Labour force surveys 2012 Q2 to 2013 Q1. Reprocessed data according to the international standards adopted by the 19th International Conference of Labour Statisticians, Geneva,

14 Improving INSTAT labour force survey programme Questionnaire redesign – Adoption of a modular approach Sample size and sample allocation Quality reporting – Sampling errors – Non-sampling errors Use of panel data – Gross flow statistics – Measurement of job creation Use of administrative sources – New registered jobseekers at NES (Monthly trend) – Small area statistics (Prefectures and districts) Retrospective adjustment of time series Communication of results 14

15 THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! IPA 2010 Project on Human Resources Development in Albania Project funded by European Union Project implemented by International Labour Organisation


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