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 A way of showing the possibilities of two or more events  Simple diagram we use to calculate the probabilities of two or more events.

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Presentation on theme: " A way of showing the possibilities of two or more events  Simple diagram we use to calculate the probabilities of two or more events."— Presentation transcript:

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2  A way of showing the possibilities of two or more events  Simple diagram we use to calculate the probabilities of two or more events

3 H H H T T T HH HT TH TT 2 nd 1 st Possible Outcomes

4 Attach probabilities H H H T T T HH HT TH TT 2 nd 1 st ½ ½ ½ ½ ½ ½ P(H,H)=½x½=¼ P(H,T)=½x½=¼ P(T,H)=½x½=¼ P(T,T)=½x½=¼ INDEPENDENT EVENTS – 1 st spin has no effect on the 2 nd spin

5 Calculate probabilities H H H T T T HH HT TH TT 2 nd 1 st ½ ½ ½ ½ ½ ½ P(H,H)=½x½=¼ P(H,T)=½x½=¼ P(T,H)=½x½=¼ P(T,T)=½x½=¼ Probability of at least one Head? * * *

6 For example – 10 coloured beads in a bag – 3 Red, 2 Blue, 5 Gold. One taken, colour noted, returned to bag, then a second taken. B RR 2 nd 1 st B B B R R R R G G G G RBRB RGRG BRBR BB BGBG GRGR GBGB GG INDEPENDENT EVENTS

7 B RR 2 nd 1 st B B B R R R R G G G G RBRB RGRG BRBR BB BGBG GRGR GBGB GG Probabilities P(RR) = 0.3x0.3 = 0.09 P(RB) = 0.3x0.2 = 0.06 P(RG) = 0.3x0.5 = 0.15 P(BR) = 0.2x0.3 = 0.06 P(BB) = 0.2x0.2 = 0.04 P(BG) = 0.2x0.5 = 0.10 P(GR) = 0.5x0.3 = 0.15 P(GB) = 0.5x0.2 = 0.10 P(GG) = 0.5x0.5 = 0.25 All ADD UP to 1.0


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