Presentation on theme: "M EASURING A N ATION ’ S I NCOME ETP Economics 102 Lecturer: Jack Wu."— Presentation transcript:
M EASURING A N ATION ’ S I NCOME ETP Economics 102 Lecturer: Jack Wu
RECENT HOT MACROECONOMIC ISSUES Sovereign Bond Crisis in Europe QE policy in America Fiscal Cliff in USA Depreciation of Japanese Yen (Abenomics) Soft Landing in China Taiwan’s recession
MAJOR MACROECONOMIC CONCERNS National Income: Low Economic Growth Rate Employment Opportunity: High Unemployment Rate Cost of Living: High Inflation Rate Trade: High Trade Deficit Direct Investment: Low FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) Income Distribution: High Gini Coefficient Foreign Reserve: Shortage of foreign reserve
MAJOR ECONOMIC INDICATOR OF TAIWAN Year GDP Per Capita(US$) GDP Growth Rate(%) Average GDP Growth Rate(10 year,%) Unemployment Rate(%) CPI Growth Rate(%) AverageCPI Growth Rate(%) Gini coefficient Foreign reserve(billion US$) 197039311.409.41.703.603.40.294 19759784.90-2.405.20-0.312 198023857.809.81.2319.0010.40.277 1985329013.50-2.91-0.20-0.290225.6 199081243.807.71.618.104.22.1682724.4 1995129186.38-1.793.70-0.317903.1 2000147045.806.22.991.302.60.3261067.4 200113147-1.65-4.57-0.01-0.3501222.1 2002134045.26-5.17-0.20-0.3451616.6 2003137733.67-4.99-0.28-0.3432066.3 2004150126.19-4.441.62-0.3382417.4 2005160514.70-4.132.30-0.3402532.9 2006164915.44-3.910.60-0.3392661.5 2007171545.98-3.911.80-0.3402703.0 2008173990.73-4.143.53-0.3412917.1 200916359-1.873.25.85-0.870.90.3453482.0 2010185034.72-5.21-0.96-0.3423820.1 2011200064.07-5.391.42-0.3423855.5 2012203861.32-4.241.93--4031.7 Source: Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Statistic Abstract of National Income, Executive Yuan, Taiwan.
E XAMPLES OF M ACROECONOMIC Q UESTIONS Macroeconomics answers questions like the following: Why is average income high in some countries and low in others? Why do prices rise rapidly in some time periods while they are more stable in others? Why do production and employment expand in some years and contract in others?
E CONOMY ’ S I NCOME AND E XPENDITURE When judging whether the economy is doing well or poorly, it is natural to look at the total income that everyone in the economy is earning. For an economy as a whole, income must equal expenditure because: Every transaction has a buyer and a seller. Every dollar of spending by some buyer is a dollar of income for some seller.
G ROSS D OMESTIC P RODUCT Gross domestic product (GDP) is a measure of the income and expenditures of an economy. It is the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. The equality of income and expenditure can be illustrated with the circular-flow diagram.
D EFINITION OF GDP “ GDP is the Market Value... ” Output is valued at market prices. “... Of All Final... ” It records only the value of final goods, not intermediate goods (the value is counted only once). “... Goods and Services... “ It includes both tangible goods (food, clothing, cars) and intangible services (haircuts, housecleaning, doctor visits).
D EFINITION OF GDP “... Produced... ” It includes goods and services currently produced, not transactions involving goods produced in the past. “... Within a Country... ” It measures the value of production within the geographic confines of a country. “... “... In a Given Period of Time. ” It measures the value of production that takes place within a specific interval of time, usually a year or a quarter (three months).
C OMPONENTS OF GDP GDP includes all items produced in the economy and sold legally in markets. What Is Not Counted in GDP? GDP excludes most items that are produced and consumed at home and that never enter the marketplace. It excludes items produced and sold illicitly, such as illegal drugs.
F ORMULA OF GDP GDP ( Y ) is the sum of the following: Consumption (C) Investment (I) Government Purchases (G) Net Exports (NX) Y = C + I + G + NX
C OMPONENTS : C AND I Consumption (C) : The spending by households on goods and services, with the exception of purchases of new housing. Investment (I) : The spending on capital equipment, inventories, and structures, including new housing.
C OMPONENTS : G AND NX Government Purchases (G) : The spending on goods and services by local, state, and federal governments. Does not include transfer payments because they are not made in exchange for currently produced goods or services. Net Exports (NX): Exports minus imports.
TAIWAN’S GDP (2012) Consumption8465030 (Million) Investment2795080 (Million) Government Purchase1746482 (Million) Export10325648 (Million) Import9254141 (Million) GDP14077099 (Million) Net Income from Abroad454191 (Million) GNP14531290 (Million)
N OMINAL V ERSUS R EAL GDP Nominal GDP values the production of goods and services at current prices. Real GDP values the production of goods and services at constant prices.
GDP DEFLATOR An accurate view of the economy requires adjusting nominal to real GDP by using the GDP deflator. The GDP deflator is a measure of the price level calculated as the ratio of nominal GDP to real GDP times 100. It tells us the rise in nominal GDP that is attributable to a rise in prices rather than a rise in the quantities produced.
THE GDP DEFLATOR The GDP deflator is calculated as follows:
THE GDP DEFLATOR Converting Nominal GDP to Real GDP Nominal GDP is converted to real GDP as follows:
GDP AND E CONOMIC W ELL -B EING GDP is the best single measure of the economic well-being of a society. GDP per person tells us the income and expenditure of the average person in the economy. Higher GDP per person indicates a higher standard of living. GDP is not a perfect measure of the happiness or quality of life, however.
GDP AND E CONOMIC W ELL -B EING Some things that contribute to well-being are not included in GDP. The value of leisure. The value of a clean environment. The value of almost all activity that takes place outside of markets, such as the value of the time parents spend with their children and the value of volunteer work.
O THER M EASURES OF I NCOME Gross National Product (GNP) Net National Product (NNP) National Income (NI) Personal Income (PI) Disposable Personal Income (DPI)
G ROSS N ATIONAL P RODUCT GNP is the total income earned by a nation’s permanent residents. It differs from GDP by including income that citizens earn abroad and excluding income that foreigners earn here.
N ET N ATIONAL P RODUCT NNP is the total income of a nation’s residents (GNP) minus losses from depreciation (“consumption of fixed capital).
N ATIONAL I NCOME NI is the total income earned by a nation’s residents in the production of goods and services. It differs from NNP by excluding indirect business taxes (such as sales taxes) and including business subsidy.
P ERSONAL I NCOME PI is the income that households and non- corporate businesses receive. Unlike NI, it excludes retained earnings and subtracts corporate income taxes and contributions for social insurance. It also includes interest incomes from holding government bonds and government transfer payments.
D ISPOSABLE P ERSONAL I NCOME DPI is the income that households and non- corporate businesses have left after satisfying all their obligations to the government (such as personal taxes).
G REEN GDP Green GDP is an index of economic growth with the environmental consequences of that growth factored in. Green GDP=Traditional GDP- environmental/ecological costs
GDP(PPP) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
GDP PER CAPITA 2012 GDP per capita (nominal) GDP per capita (Purchasing Power Parity) Singapore5116260410 Japan4673636266 Hong Kong3666751494 South Korea2311332272 Taiwan2032838749 Malaysia1030416922 China60769162 Thailand567810126
GDP PER CAPITA (PPP) WORLD RANKING RankingGDP (PPP)RankingGDP(PPP) 3. Singapore6041019. Taiwan38749 5. Hong Kong5149420. Belgium37883 6. USA4992221. Denmark37657 8. Switzerland4541822. UK36941 9. Canada4273423. Finland36395 10. Australia4264024. Japan36266 11. Austria4240925. France35548 15. Sweden4119126. Israel32312 18. Germany3902827. Korea32272
D ISCUSSION QUESTIONS Identify the immediate effect of each of the following circumstances on U.S. GDP and its components. a. James receives a unemployment compensation check. b. John buys an Italian sports car. c. Henry buys domestically produced tools for his construction company.