Presentation on theme: "Urban Housing Policy Prof. Clark Weeks #13-14. Housing Policy Again, we just scratch the surface here.Again, we just scratch the surface here. Lets get."— Presentation transcript:
Housing Policy Again, we just scratch the surface here.Again, we just scratch the surface here. Lets get an overview of housing policy, and then we will look at a couple of specific policies (focus is on recent emphasis)Lets get an overview of housing policy, and then we will look at a couple of specific policies (focus is on recent emphasis) Federal, state and local governments intervene in housing markets.Federal, state and local governments intervene in housing markets. –Is there a market failure here? e.g., externalities?e.g., externalities? –What is a merit good?
Brief Overview of Housing Policy 1940’s to middle 1960’s:1940’s to middle 1960’s: –Urban renewal of blighted areas. –Eliminated neighborhoods with substandard housing and replaced with standard housing. 1960’s to middle of 1970’s1960’s to middle of 1970’s –Renewal replaced with supply side subsides to increase supply of standard housing. Late 1970’s to presentLate 1970’s to present –Emphasis on demand side subsidies, with no link to supply side.
Gabriel Article provided good overview Provides very nice overview of Housing Policy in U.S.
Gabriel’s points Overview of condition of housing over timeOverview of condition of housing over time –Consistent improvement –Overcrowding increased slightly for some (cultural explanation) –Quality has improved Removal of deficientRemoval of deficient Addition of higher qualityAddition of higher quality –Reduction in Supply of low-quality rental units has generated shortage
Gabriel Article Ownership issuesOwnership issues –We have promoted ownership for a long time through variety of policies Deductible mortgage interestDeductible mortgage interest InnovationsInnovations –Development of various mortgage instruments –Freddie Mac, Fannie-Mae (govt. sponsored finance agencies) –Secondary mortgage markets –Ownership has generally risen Peaked in 1980 (65.8%), and then didn’t start rising again until 1993 period, reaching 65.6% in 1996.Peaked in 1980 (65.8%), and then didn’t start rising again until 1993 period, reaching 65.6% in 1996. Minority rates have risen.Minority rates have risen.
Gabriel Ownership issuesOwnership issues –Volatile expected appreciation levels –Down payment problems State policies frequently address these issuesState policies frequently address these issues –Mortgage rates far below peaks during 1980’s. Some innovations have introduced low cost housing alternatives.Some innovations have introduced low cost housing alternatives.
Gabriel - Renters Shrinking stock of low rent optionsShrinking stock of low rent options –Supply side policies Section 236 programSection 236 program –Contract with developer to build unit –Rent subsidies to landlord tied to difference between market and “basic” rent Programs reduced in 1980’sPrograms reduced in 1980’s Public housing stock also decliningPublic housing stock also declining –Deterioration, celebrated disasters –End of high-rise centralized public housing –Life-cycle approach to budget allocations
Gabriel Shift to Demand Side StrategiesShift to Demand Side Strategies –Mobility issues and spatial mismatch –Cost issues
Section 8 Rent Certificates These are certificates that can be used anywhere.These are certificates that can be used anywhere. Means tested.Means tested. –Income<80% median family income for region. Qualifications:Qualifications: –Quality of housing must meet minimal standard. –Actual rent less than fair market rent. Subsidy=Actual Rent-0.3*Actual IncomeSubsidy=Actual Rent-0.3*Actual Income
Influence of Rent Certificates on Housing Choice SupposeSuppose –fair market rent=$400 –Actual rent=400. –Income=$600 Thus:Thus:Subsidy=400-0.3*600Subsidy=220 New Disposible Income=600+220=820New Disposible Income=600+220=820 Move decision depends on moving costs.Move decision depends on moving costs. Housing U1U1 Other Good 300 420 400 U2U2
Does this shift out budget line parallel by $220? No? Effect of subsidy depends on actual rent which must be less than $400. Thus, subsidy is not greater than $220, but it can be lower if actual rent is less than fair market rent level.
Housing Vouchers Again, housing vouchers may be used anywhere.Again, housing vouchers may be used anywhere. Means testedMeans tested QualificationsQualifications –Housing must be minimum quality –Subsidy depends on fair market rent, not actual rent. Subsidy=Fair Mkt Rent-0.3*Actual IncomeSubsidy=Fair Mkt Rent-0.3*Actual Income
Influence of Housing Voucher Choice SupposeSuppose –fair market rent=$400 –Income=$600 Thus:Thus:Subsidy=400-0.3*600 Subsidy=220 regardless of actual housing expense, if housing standard. Parallel shifts budget.Parallel shifts budget. Move decision depends on moving costs.Move decision depends on moving costs. Housing U1U1 Other Good 300 U2U2 220
Which are preferable, Rent Certificates or Vouchers? Vouchers less constrainingVouchers less constraining –Why? Which raises utility more?Which raises utility more?
Discrimination in Housing and Mortgage markets Housing marketHousing market –Some evidence to suggest this is a problem in both owner- occupied and rental markets. LendingLending –Home Mortgage Disclosure Act data reveal problems in many cities/neighborhoods Policy response has been on detectionPolicy response has been on detection –Statistical modeling using HMDA data and other data on sales –Fair housing audits EnforcementEnforcement –DOJ, FRB Modifying underwriting standards to enhance approval rates in low income neighborhoods.Modifying underwriting standards to enhance approval rates in low income neighborhoods.
“New Housing Landscape” Republican control in (post 1994) Congress has resulted in budget cutsRepublican control in (post 1994) Congress has resulted in budget cuts –Shift of control from Federal to state level HUD’s ability to address needs diminished by budget cuts.HUD’s ability to address needs diminished by budget cuts. –Consolidation is occurring –Restructuring of HUD WarningWarning –Limited ability to improve efficiency at HUD –Resources needed to improve supply of low income rental units
Homelessness is a significant problem in some U.S. cities Look at insights from Ellickson article.
What should be done about the homeless problem?
Rent Control as Housing Policy There are arguments for and against rent control.There are arguments for and against rent control. –Economic arguments for the policy are quite weak. –Arguments against are compelling. Rent control is a prime example of misdirected public policy which hurts the poor more than it helps them.Rent control is a prime example of misdirected public policy which hurts the poor more than it helps them. Lets look at the issues.Lets look at the issues.
Rent Control Graphically Rent Rent Quantity S D ReRe QeQe R max QDQD QSQS
Rationale for Rent Control Helps the PoorHelps the Poor –This presumes that those who end up in rent controlled are poor. No strong evidence to suggest this is the case.No strong evidence to suggest this is the case. –Inefficient since payments in kind are inferior to payments in cash. –Inequitable, since only landlords bear the burden of the subsidy. –Assumes quality doesn’t adjust over time. –Supply decreases over time implying fewer beneficiaries.
Other Arguments: Rent Control reduces Inflation Although housing carries a relatively large weight in the CPI, rent control is too limited in scope to have an influence here.Although housing carries a relatively large weight in the CPI, rent control is too limited in scope to have an influence here. By reducing rents in housing sector, disposible income rises, and spending in other sectors increases also.By reducing rents in housing sector, disposible income rises, and spending in other sectors increases also. Finally, Friedman is probably rightFinally, Friedman is probably right –Inflation is always a monetary phenomenon
Other Benefits Cited Benefits minoritiesBenefits minorities –Probably leads to racial discrimination as other allocation mechanisms are used. Reduce tenent evictions.Reduce tenent evictions. –Given the waiting list for these apartments, it should increase, not decrease evictions. Prevents price gougingPrevents price gouging –Price gouging assumes landlords have monopoly power. Not likely.
Cited Benefits-continued Reduces slums and enhances qualityReduces slums and enhances quality –Has just opposite effect, as housing falls out of housing stock as a result of diminished expected returns. –Optimal maintenance falls.
Real Disadvantages Reduction in mobilityReduction in mobility –Residents more likely to hold on to RC units. –May increase unemployment as a result. While not eliminating new construction, it is discouraged.While not eliminating new construction, it is discouraged. –Diminished profit motive. –Firms opt for other investments Reduced maintenance leads to more rapid depreciation.Reduced maintenance leads to more rapid depreciation.
Rent Control Graphically Rent Rent Quantity S D ReRe QeQe R max QDQD Q S’ S’ Worsening shortage in controlled market
Disadvantages (continued) Inefficient means to redistribute income.Inefficient means to redistribute income. –If purchasing power is problem, then attack problem directly. By contrast, rent control policies benefits some (not necessarily the poor) at the expense of others (likely the poor)!By contrast, rent control policies benefits some (not necessarily the poor) at the expense of others (likely the poor)!
The Uncontrolled Market Rent Rent Quantity S D ReRe QeQe R max S’ The excess demand for rent contolled units shifts some households to the uncontrolled market. Thus, those in contolled units benefit at the expense of others! D’ ReRe Q e’
Conclusions In general, economists have long had a problem with public policies which “arrest the price mechanism”.In general, economists have long had a problem with public policies which “arrest the price mechanism”. Rent control has never lived up to its billingRent control has never lived up to its billing –Remains in place today because of the acceptance of its false promises. –Politically difficult to remove controls. However, a little economic logic reveals much better alternatives.However, a little economic logic reveals much better alternatives.