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Fair Winds Calm Seas & Sunny Skies Future Trends For LG 2020 Annimac / Anni Macbeth Futurist & Trend Forecaster www.annimac.com.au 2006 Annual LGMA Conference.

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Presentation on theme: "Fair Winds Calm Seas & Sunny Skies Future Trends For LG 2020 Annimac / Anni Macbeth Futurist & Trend Forecaster www.annimac.com.au 2006 Annual LGMA Conference."— Presentation transcript:

1 Fair Winds Calm Seas & Sunny Skies Future Trends For LG 2020 Annimac / Anni Macbeth Futurist & Trend Forecaster www.annimac.com.au 2006 Annual LGMA Conference Esplanade Hotel 27 October 2006 Fremantle WA

2 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 2 Smooth sailing through 2020 It’s not what happens but how you deal with what happens that makes a successful journey

3 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 3 Successful Navigation LG  survive the rough seas  identify the best destination  chart the best course  thrive on the journey

4 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 4 Few Stormy Squalls Ahead 1. speed of all change 2. Peak Oil 3. climate change 4. demographic pressures 5. shifting politico economic values

5 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 5 Squalls are creating for LG  diversity of client demands  changing role of governance

6 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 6 Decisions decisions decisions …

7 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 7 Navigating the Challenges 1. speed of all change 2. Peak Oil 3. climate change 4. demographic pressures 5. shifting politico economic values

8 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 8 Exponential Amount of change in 1 day grandparents had in 1 year Younger means faster Navigating the Challenges 1 : Speed of Change

9 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 9 I’m never having kids. I hear they take nine months to download.

10 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 10 By 2020 70 % of job types then do not exist now because Driving all Change : Technology Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change

11 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 11 By 2020 80 % technology then not imagined yet Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change

12 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 12 Imagine what those jobs in LG might be... Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change

13 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 13 Your future receptionist ? Japanese Robanoid 2006

14 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 14 Likely jobs in next 15 years ? Director of Neighbour Relations Virtual Parks Manager Planner of Nano Environment Chief Imagination Officer Hacker Relations Manager Virtual Information Librarian Director of Emerging Thought Holographic Traffic Manager Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change

15 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 15 Technology

16 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 16 Navigating the Challenges 1. speed of all change 2. Peak Oil 3. climate change 4. demographic pressures 5. shifting political economic values

17 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 17 Cost of fuel

18 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 18 Navigating the Challenges 2 : Peak Oil Peak Oil - oil depletion When demand for oil exceeds supply  industry experts say by 2010 - 2014  max range by 2007 - 2020

19 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 19 Peak Oil - depletion forecasts Navigating the Challenges 2 : Peak Oil

20 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 20 LG can lead by example  Downsize energy use  Localise - self sufficiency - trade & barter  Innovate - population migration - sea/tree changers - bio/passive fuels Navigating the Challenges 2 : Peak Oil

21 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 21 Hybrid Electric Diesel Bus

22 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 22 Solar Thermal Energy Production Woking UK

23 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 23 Navigating the Challenges 1. speed of all change 2. Peak Oil 3. climate change 4. demographic pressures 5. shifting political economic values

24 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 24 Trends of Climate Change Global warming : +2° - +4° Changing rainfall : “ Eastern desert moving West Coastal tropics moving South ” Navigating the Challenges 3 : Climate Change

25 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 25 Calling for Help

26 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 26 LG can lead the way Adapt planning schemes Diversity rural zoning Innovate agri biz Waterwise incentives Navigating the Challenges 3 : Climate Change

27 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 27 Navigating the Challenges 1. speed of all change 2. Peak Oil 3. climate change 4. demographic pressures 5. shifting political economic values

28 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 28 Sea / Tree changers ?

29 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 29 Demographic Changes Trends in Rural WA  Farming communities downsizing  Family farms corporatising  Urban encroachment  Ageing population  Succession : youth issues  Women as farm biz managers  Slow uptake : tech & knowledge  Sea / tree change Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures

30 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 30 Generational gap

31 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 31 Generational Differences  Gaps widening - technology driven  Baby Boomers 45-60 not handing over  Gen X 30-40 frustrated Me journeys  DotComs 15-30 choosing virtual world  Ferals -15 driving major change Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures

32 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 32 New client demands

33 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 33 Clients’ Changing Demands personal service personal options environmental concerns social concerns ageing population issues Q B L quadruple bottom line Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures

34 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 34

35 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 35 LG can lead the way : values Customer driven : community first Communication skills Cooperation Teaming Flexibility eg zoning, management Innovative thinking Risk taking Multi tasking Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures

36 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 36 Different Thinking Models

37 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 37 Navigating the Challenges 1. speed of all change 2. Peak Oil 3. climate change 4. demographic pressures 5. shifting politico economic values

38 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 38 Virtual Life

39 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 39 Public Attitudes shifting distrust of leaders increased global knowledge want options & say local power faster decisions, less bureaucracy less governance Navigating the Challenges 5 : Politico Economic Values Shifts

40 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 40

41 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 41 Two Tiered Government two tiers eventually LG gaining relevance regional structures less so likely trend : Federal with decreased powers LG with increased powers Navigating the Challenges 5 : Politico Economic Values Shifts

42 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 42 Big Biz & Community

43 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 43 Big Biz vs Community corporate social responsibility rising community engagement rising QBL values partnership model win – win – win biz + people + planet Navigating the Challenges 5 : Politico Economic Values Shifts

44 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 44 Albany Highway Williams 2004 Changing agribiz attitudes

45 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 45 Fair Winds Calm Seas & Sunny Skies Future for LG 2020 Increasing role in governance Increasing partnerships biz community govt agencies Increasing charting of future course

46 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 46 Facing the future successfully :

47 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au 47 thank you www. annimac.com.au


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