Presentation on theme: "Election Campaign 2014: What the PSA UMR Survey told us about our members and their concerns May 2014 Conor Twyford PSA Campaign Organiser."— Presentation transcript:
Election Campaign 2014: What the PSA UMR Survey told us about our members and their concerns May 2014 Conor Twyford PSA Campaign Organiser
Background information Main purpose – to test members’ issues of concern, enrolment status, voting patterns and social media use 1,000 PSA members completed the survey by during 1 st week of March Comparable with UMR’s NZ-wide fortnightly Omnibus survey
1. What are our members concerned about?
What is the biggest single issue facing NZ?
What should the PSA campaign on?
2. Enrolment and voting … or, the world is run by those who turn up
Are you enrolled to vote? In the 2008 election, only 81% of young Kiwis were registered to vote – the number of unenrolled (19% or 78,000) was nearly as many as all the other age groups combined. In the 2011 election, only 77% of New Zealanders aged 18 to 24 were enrolled by the Friday before polls closed. %YesNoUnsure PSA PSA all9137 NZ NZ generally94 Source: UMR, Statistics NZ
Young people and non-voting Non-voting by age (in %) Non-voting by age (%) In New Zealand elections since 1987, 25 – 40% of eligible voters under the age of 25 have not voted. In 2011, 42 percent of people aged 18–24 years DID NOT VOTE Source:
Did you vote in the 2011 general election or were you unable to for some reason? %YesNoUnsure PSA PSA all8892 NZ NZ generally6931 More non-voters in younger age group There are more non-voters aged 18–24 years than in the older age groups. Only 5.2 percent of people aged 65 or over did not vote in the last general election, compared with 42 percent of people aged 18–24. Source: UMR, Statistics NZ
3. Group discussion: Why do people not vote?
Main reasons you didn’t vote? Source: UMR, Statistics NZ PSA 18-39PSA allNZ all Can’t remember/unsure 87 Couldn’t be bothered (includes forgot) Didn’t enrol/can’t vote 1612 Busy (includes sick) Forgot45 Overseas/away Health issues812 Arrived in NZ recently Couldn’t get to booth214.4
Young people say… “I don’t think my vote will make a difference”: All politicians are the same; my vote won’t change anything. “I’m in the dark”: I don’t understand the political system and I don’t know enough about the candidates. “It’s not on my wavelength”: Politics is nasty and boring; I’m just not interested. “Voting doesn’t matter to me or to anyone else”: There are no benefits in voting; I don’t feel I have a duty to vote. Source: Electoral Commission
4. Other useful stuff
How did you party vote in 2011? PSA 18-39PSA allNZ all National Labour Green NZF236.6 Maori Party321.4 Conservatives Other113
How do you intend to cast your party vote in 2014? PSA 18-39PSA all National2322 Labour4753 Green2217 NZF34 Maori Party21 Mana Party01 Conservatives11 Other11 For a look at how the polls vary across ages, see:
PSA members’ election activity Activity2011 (actually did) 2014 (willing to) Attend stop work16% Attend workplace meeting51.5% Attend public meeting20%27.7% Attend a CTU forum2.3%6% Hand out leaflets at work11%22% Share campaign materials online8.7%14.5% Put up posters at work13.7%25.3% Participate in a digital campaign32.9% None of the above47%20.6%
Social media use is BIG Members aged are much more active on social media Facebook – 81% (cf 57% of all members) YouTube – 44% (cf 25%) Instagram – 14%(cf 6%) Twitter – 10%(cf 4%) We also know: 32% of younger members rely solely on their mobile (i.e., have no landline) compared to 19% of members overall 84% browse the internet/check their s on their mobile compared to 57% of members overall
Conclusions Members are concerned about survival – pay, wages, cost of living Overall PSA members tend to be enrolled and to vote – but what about our friends and contacts? There is a lot of potential to mobilise our members – especially around a digital campaign, and especially younger members How can we help Get Out the Vote?