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File: Future of the Internet.PPT 1 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet The Future of the Internet isn’t what it used to be October 2007 Copyright © 2007.

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Presentation on theme: "File: Future of the Internet.PPT 1 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet The Future of the Internet isn’t what it used to be October 2007 Copyright © 2007."— Presentation transcript:

1 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 1 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet The Future of the Internet isn’t what it used to be October 2007 Copyright © 2007 by Corvelle Management Consultants

2 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 2 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Management Consultants Yogi Schulz Biography r President of Corvelle Management Consultants r Information technology related management consulting r Project management and systems development r Computing Canada & Microsoft columnist r PPDM Association board member r Industry presenter: –Project World - 4 years –CIPS Informatics - 7 years –PMI - Information Systems SIG –PPDM Association - several years

3 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 3 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet The Future of the Internet at various points in the past r Secure communication system for US political and military leaders during nuclear war r System to conduct business r Cheap, fast, shared communication system for everyone r A whole new media channel r System to improve social life r Basis for warfare Estonia urged NATO to develop a unified strategy against "cyber-terrorists" today after suspected Russian hackers launched a third wave of attacks on leading government, banking and media websites this week. 19 May 2007

4 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 4 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Close to Home “Great news, Mrs. Janoski! We put a video of your tummy-tuck surgery on YouTube, And it’s currently ranked second!”

5 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 5 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Evolution from Web 1.0 to Web 2.0 Internet Mostly text content End-user generated content Web 1.0 Web 2.0 End-user input Multi-media content

6 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 6 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet End-user generated content

7 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 7 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Number of Web Sites on the Web Over 50 million sites World Wide Web map

8 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 8 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet World Wide Page Views

9 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 9 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet The Future of the Internet Outline r Social computing will expand to business r Internet access will be ubiquitous r The Web will become smarter r Security will improve r IT products will morph into services r Recommendations r Questions & Answers

10 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 10 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Social Computing Survey r created a personal profile on Facebook, MySpace, Second Life? r written personal Blog entries? r written a review at Amazon? r posted pictures at Flickr? r posted video at YouTube? r produced content for the Web? What about business possibilities?

11 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 11 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Number of Weblogs Over 70 million blogs Number of Weblogs

12 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 12 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Daily Weblog Postings 1.4 million posts per day Daily Weblog Postings

13 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 13 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Social Computing in Business IBM's new social computing platform, Lotus Connections, includes five basic components: r Profiles - Find the people you need r Communities - Work with people who share common interests and expertise r Blogs - Present your own ideas and learn from others r Dogear - Save and share bookmarks r Activities - Organize your work and tap your professional network

14 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 14 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet New Hobbies on the Internet How did anyone survive before the Internet? Isn’t it truly amazing how a day after Matthew takes of his shirt, we can all enjoy it?

15 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 15 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Internet Access Survey r experimented with VOIP? r used wireless access at Starbucks? Hotels? r found Internet access in remote corners of the world? r mooched Internet access from an open WiFi wireless access point? r surfed the Web using a phone? Internet essential to life?

16 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 16 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Internet Access will be ubiquitous r Internet 2 - backbone –More traffic –Better network management –Higher bandwidth applications –IP version 6 (IPv6) r Higher capacity – end-user –Wider cable/ADSL availability –gigabit Ethernet and ATM r VOIP to WiFi to cell phone and back hand-off The end of “getting away from it all”?

17 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 17 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet T-Mobile r + $ per month r In a Wi-Fi wireless Internet hot spot, all your calls are free r Phone hands off your calls from Wi-Fi network to cell network seamlessly and automatically r Includes a wireless router for your home

18 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 18 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet PCs vs. Cell Phones Projected Shipments Over 700 million phones

19 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 19 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Internet-Capable Cell Phones

20 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 20 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Revenge of the PCs?

21 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 21 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Smarter Web Survey r not found what you were searching for; even on the fifth page of the results set? r failed to re-find a page you’ve seen before? r become tired of typing the same personal information over and over and over? r received unexpected/embarrassing pages in the results set? r found exactly what you were looking for; only it’s in Chicago? Can our heightened expectations be met?

22 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 22 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet The Semantic Web Web characteristicTodayFuture Search evaluationString matching Contextual understanding Content importancePageRankEnd-user tagging Automated ranking Personal profilesLimited Sporadic Richer More consistent Spatial awarenessLimitedIntegrated GPS Multi-application integration Non- existent Noticeable through XML The Semantic Web is an extension of the current Web, in which information is given well-defined meaning, enabling computers and people to work in cooperation.

23 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 23 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet r Mobile agents r RosettaNet r ebXML r UDDI r WS- E-commerce is resurgent Web Services will connect organizations } WS-Trust WS-Security Web Services Interoperability WS-MetadataExchange WS-Addressing WS-Eventing WS-ServiceGroup WS-BaseFaults

24 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 24 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Security Survey r actually produced a disaster recovery plan after deferring the work for many years? r been hesitant about creating a profile? r a paper shredder in use at home? r their social security number with them? r their password written on a sticky note? r a firewall, anti-virus and anti-spyware installed at home? Foil fraud artists

25 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 25 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Security will improve r Biometric identification: –Fingerprint, Palm vein –Iris, Lips –Keying behavior on keyboard r Technical identification: –SecurId –USB fob –Smart Card r Less total freedom to be irresponsible: –Authentication will be required –Repudiation will become more difficult The end of privacy & anonymity?

26 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 26 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Software & Hardware Survey r objected to software vendor licensing terms? –Made any headway? r used open source software? –Linux, Apache Web Server, MySQL PHP or Perl? r experimented with a Linux desktop? r installed OpenOffice? –Tried to inter-operate with Microsoft Office? r contracted for on-demand server computing?

27 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 27 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet IT products will morph into services Software as a Service r Open source software r Pay for software usage by the month r Web-accessible office software r IT infrastructure management Qbyte online A win-win for buyer and seller? Java Enterprise System

28 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 28 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet IT products will morph into services Hardware as a Service r Commodity computing r Service oriented architecture r Cluster r Grid A solution for unpredictable demand swings?

29 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 29 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet That’s nice... What does all this mean to oil & gas? r Enhancing distributed collaboration r Improving work/life balance r Enhancing supply chain performance r Improving integration of field and head office business processes r Addressing the potential of knowledge management

30 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 30 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Conclusions r The future of the Internet will surprise us r We tend to under-estimate the pace of progress in technology r We tend to over-estimate the pace at which people are prepared to adopt technology The Future of the Internet isn’t what it used to be

31 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 31 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Keeping Up Don’t languish behind, The Internet offers many possibilities!

32 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 32 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Recommendations r Monitor Internet technology developments r Experiment using emerging Web services r Match technology to business problems and opportunities r Pilot Web services in modest ways r Don’t over-commit to: –Benefits –Implementation costs & schedules –Customer adoption rates Can be rewarding & lots of fun

33 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 33 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Questions & Answers Elroy will explain it to you

34 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 34 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet 1800, th Ave. S.W. Calgary, Alberta Canada T2P 3H7 Phone: (403) Web: President of Corvelle Management Consultants Information technology related management consulting Project management and systems development Computing Canada & Microsoft columnist PPDM Association board member Future of the Internet isn’t what it used to be Management Consultants

35 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 35 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet r searched for Open Source software components? r contemplated installing the Compiere Open Source ERP software application? r read about the Open Source Website Content Management System? r participated in an Open Source community? r considered an open source application? Software Development Survey

36 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 36 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Software development will rely heavily on module re-use r Microsoft modules for re-use: –ActiveX controls marketplace –Language-specific code samples r Java modules for re-use: –Java applets –JavaBeans components r Reducing what developers have to code: –Operating system scope expanding –Application server software capabilities increasing –Open source modules increasing in scope/quality Hype: Software almost writes itself

37 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 37 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Supplemental Slides

38 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 38 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Bibliography - 1 r A Brief History of the World Wide Web –www.walthowe.com/navnet/history.html r A Little History of the World Wide Web –www.w3.org/History.html r Biometric Identification –et.wcu.edu/aidc/BioWebPages/Biometrics_Eye.html r Classmate PC by Intel –www.classmatepc.com/index.html r Creative Licensing –Erik Heinrich, EDGE, September 2004, p. 14 r Digital dilemmas –The Economist, Jan 23 rd, 2003 –www.economist.com/opinion/displayStory.cfm?Story_id= r Electrolux Screenfridge –www.electrolux.com/screenfridge

39 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 39 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Bibliography - 2 r Future of the Internet and Web –www.cs.purdue.edu/homes/bxd/inter/futureineweb.html r Hardware, On Demand Help Drive IBM's Profit –Erin Joyce, January 15, 2004 –www.internetnews.com/bus-news/article.php/ r Histories of the Internet –www.isoc.org/internet/history –en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_history –www.let.leidenuniv.nl/history/ivh/frame_theorie.html r Hobbes' Internet Timeline v7.0 –www.zakon.org/robert/internet/timeline r How the internet has woven itself into American life –www.pewinternet.org/PPF/r/148/report_display.asp r How big brother and big media can put the Internet genie back in the bottle –John Walker, Revision 4 -- November 4th, 2003 –www.fourmilab.ch/documents/digital-imprimatur

40 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 40 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Bibliography - 3 r IBM - Capacity on demand –www-1.ibm.com/servers/eserver/iseries/ondemand/cod/ r IBM Makes Social Computing Push For Business –Internet News, January 23, 2007 –www.internetnews.com/ent-news/article.php/ –www-142.ibm.com/software/sw-lotus/products/product3.nsf/wdocs/connections r Inside Reality - Improve collaborative decision making –www.slb.com/content/services/software/virtual r Internet histories –www.isoc.org/internet/history r Internet Society –www.isoc.org r Internet2 –www.internet2.edu r IPhone-Free Cellphone News –By David Pogue, New York Times. July 5, 2007 –www.nytimes.com/2007/07/05/technology/circuits/05pogue.html?ex= &en= e9cee2fb&ei=5070

41 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 41 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Bibliography - 4 r Mobile Agents and the Future of the Internet –www.cs.dartmouth.edu/~dfk/papers/kotz:future2/ r NASA Research and Education Network (NREN) –www.nren.nasa.gov/about/index.html r On-Demand Computing –www.computerworld.com/hardwaretopics/hardware/report/0,11188, , 00.html r One Laptop per Child (OLPC) –laptop.org r Rich Internet application –en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rich_Internet_application –www.adobe.com/devnet/ria/ –theopensourcery.com/xmlria.htm r Software as a Service: Choosing an Effective Model –www.accelacomm.com/jlp/BellSaas-txtEm2/22/ /

42 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 42 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Bibliography - 5 r Taming the World Wide Web –A rising tide of companies are tapping Semantic Web technologies to unearth hard-to-find connections between disparate pieces of online data –by Rachael King –www.businessweek.com/technology/content/apr2007/tc _ htm ?chan=search

43 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 43 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Bibliography - 6 r Utility Computing –www.utilitycomputing.com r Unveiling the genius of multi-touch interface design –Jeff Han –www.ted.com/index.php/talks/view/id/65 r Voice over IP Juniper Networks –whitepapers.informationweek.com/detail/RES/ _513.html?src=mu_ p_j2e r W3C - One Web: Going Mobile –Steve Bratt, W3C - One Web: Going Mobile –www.w3.org/2006/Talks/1106-sb-OneWeb-Mobile2/#(1) r Web 2.0 Directory : eConsultant Web 2.0 Directory : eConsultant r World Wide Web Consortium World Wide Web Consortium

44 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 44 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet The Future of the Internet at various points in the past - 1 r Secure communication system for US political and military leaders during nuclear war r Fast communication system for US Department of Defense and its military contractors r Global system of hypertext linkages to cross- reference academic documents across computers r Fast, shared communication system for large corporations r A way to apply computing without sending vast sums of money to Microsoft

45 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 45 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet The Future of the Internet at various points in the past - 2 r Replacement for Fedexing documents r A whole new media channel for: –Distributing information –Delivering entertainment & education –Collaborating for business or pleasure r System to: –Perform rapid research (with limitations) –Conduct business with consumers – B2C –Improve social life r Get rich quick scheme based on dubious products & services

46 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 46 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet The Future of the Internet at various points in the past - 3 r A software distribution/update mechanism r Cheap, fast, shared communication system for everyone r System to conduct business: –Among businesses – B2B –With government r A turbo-charged way to: –Defraud the innocent & the naive –Aggravate & disrupt the lives of many –Operate a global casino without spending billions

47 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 47 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet The Future of the Internet at various points in the past - 4 r Basis for warfare: –Disrupt enemy communication –Disable enemy weapons –Freeze enemy financial assets –Avoid casualties on the evening news r Replacement for: –The telephone system –Video conferencing r A shared infrastructure to enable: –Media convergence –Wireless communication system –On-demand television

48 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 48 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet U. S. Page Views

49 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 49 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Non U. S. Page Views

50 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 50 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Media Web Site Traffic Blog sites have grown from 3 to 9 web sites on this chart in less than one year Media Web Site Traffic

51 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 51 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet A Brief History of the Internet Copyright © 2004 by Corvelle Management Consultants

52 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 52 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet A Brief History of the Internet - 1 r 1957 U. S. government forms Advanced Research Projects Agency (ARPA) as a defense initiative r 1968 ARPANET, the precursor of the Internet, is launched to connect Department of Defense (DoD) with military contractors r 1970s ARPA and Stanford develop packet switching - TCP/IP r 1971 Ray Tomlinson of ARPANET sent the world's first r 1972 Scientist start to use ARPANET for r 1973 The term Internet is first used r 1981 ARPANET grows to 213 hosts r 1982 first Newsgroups established r 1983 TCP/IP becomes the standard protocol r 1984 The term cyberspace is coined by author William Gibson r 1984 ARPANET grows to 1,000 hosts

53 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 53 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet A Brief History of the Internet - 2 r 1985 NSFNet begins; takes over Internet r 1985, 15 March – first registered domain name was symbolics.com r 1989 Tim Berners-Lee wrote the first web client and server r 1990 Tim Berners-Lee’s specifications of URIs, HTTP and HTML refined as Web technology spread r 1990 The phrase World Wide Web is coined by Tim Berners-Lee. He is considered the inventor of the Web r 1990 NSF lifts ban on commercial hosts on Internet r 1990 Archie, first search engine, developed at McGill University r 1991 PSI Net begins as first commercial ISP r 1991 Gopher system - improvement on ftp retrieval developed r 1992 Network Solutions wins bid to register domain extensions r 1992 Internet reaches 1,000,000 hosts r 1993 MOSAIC browser developed at University of Illinois under federal grant

54 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 54 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet A Brief History of the Internet - 3 r 1993 Internet reaches 2,000,000 hosts r 1993 Netscape Communications is founded r 1994 The first bank opens online r 1994 Pizza Hut offers online pizza order and delivery r 1994 first International World Wide Web Conferences held r 1994 Yahoo starts as "Jerry's Guide to the World Wide Web" r 1994, 7 July – Fraunhofer Society released the first MP3 software r 1995 Internet access providers Compuserve, Aol and Prodigy began r 1995 PC-to-PC Voice over IP began by hobbyists in Israel r 1995, 3 September – eBay launched r 1995, 15 December – AltaVista launched as an Internet search engine r 1995 Amazon.com launched r 1996 Microsoft feels threatened by Internet growth in importance; re- prioritizes software development

55 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 55 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet A Brief History of the Internet - 4 r 1996 Yahoo Internet search engine is launched r 1997 The one millionth domain name is registered r 1997 Net2Phone Direct (Phone-to-Phone Over IP) launched in the USA r 1998 More than 300 million web pages exist; growing by 1.5 million pages per day r 1998 VOIP first PC-to-Phone and later Phone-to-Phone connections r 1998, 7 September – Google Inc.opens for business r 1999 B2C E-commerce, portals and electronic auctions become popular r 1999 Consumer high-speed access widely adopted r 1999 MySpace.com is launched r 2000 B2B E-commerce gains momentum r 2000 AOL Time Warner merger announced

56 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 56 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet A Brief History of the Internet - 5 r 2001 B2B Marketplaces experiment with mixed success r 2001 Internet startup frenzy implodes r 2001 eBay reaches $10 billion sales; exceeds 35 million users r 2001 W3C Publishes Web Services Description Language (WSDL) r 2001 Napster litigation forces it to suspend service r 2001 The first live distributed musical r 2001 launches r 2001 European Council finalizes an international cyber-crime treaty r 2001 Code Red worm and Sircam virus infiltrate thousands of web servers and accounts r 2002 Having your own Blog becomes hip r 2002 A distributed denial of service (DDoS) attack struck the 13 DNS root servers

57 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 57 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet A Brief History of the Internet - 6 r 2003 Spam, unsolicited , becomes a server-clogging menace. It accounts for about half of all s r 2003 The first official Swiss online election takes place in Anières r 2003 SQL Slammer worm causes one of the largest and fastest spreading DDoS attacks r 2003 Flash mobs, organized over the Net, start in New York and quickly form in cities worldwide r 2003 first Weblog site launched r 2003 Second Life launched r 2003 Taxes make headlines as larger US Internet retailers begin collecting taxes on all purchases r 2003 The Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA) sues 261 individuals for distributing copyright music files r 2003 Internet users illegally download about 2.6 billion music files each month

58 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 58 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet A Brief History of the Internet - 7 r 2003 Apple Computer introduces Apple iTunes Music Store r 2003 Last Abilene Internet segment upgraded to 10Gbps r 2004 WS-Security r 2004 Google IPO r 2004 more instances of DNS root servers outside the USA r 2004 VeriSign (VNDS) begins updating authoritative name servers in near real-time r 2004 CERNET2 – first backbone IPv6 network in China r 2004 Internet Worm, called MyDoom or Novarg, spreads through Internet servers r 2004 Online spending reaches a record high - $117 billion, a 26% increase over 2003 r 2004, 9 November – Firefox Internet browser released

59 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 59 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet A Brief History of the Internet - 8 r 2005 YouTube.com is launched r 2005 News Corporation's Fox Interactive Media buys MySpace r 2006, 14 November Microsoft launches Zune r 2006 Google buys YouTube r 2007 – Amazon.com sales exceed $ 3 Billion Internet Archive:

60 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 60 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Collaboration Software r BaseCamp BaseCamp r Huddle Huddle r Zimbra Zimbra r Asoboo Asoboo r PHProjekt PHProjekt r Mindquarry Mindquarry r Zoho Zoho

61 File: Future of the Internet.PPT 61 Yogi Schulz Future of the Internet Volunteer Collaboration on large projects


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