Presentation on theme: "Financial Ratios FOUR BASIC TYPES - most commonly used for each - can be used for some financial companies. LIQUIDITY Current ratio = Current Assets."— Presentation transcript:
1Financial RatiosFOUR BASIC TYPES - most commonly used for each - can be used for some financial companies.LIQUIDITYCurrent ratio = Current Assets / Current LiabilitiesNot so relevant for financial firms - most assets liquid.MANAGEMENT SKILLTotal Asset Turnover = Sales / Total AssetsAgain, not so relevant because traditional sales are typically not very large. Interest and investment income is more relevant.
2PROFITABILITYOperating profit margin = Operating Profit/SalesReturn on Revenues = Net Income (or EBIT)/Tot. AssetsReturn on Assets = Net Income (or EBIT)/Total AssetsReturn on Equity = Net Income/EquityThese are measures of top-line profitability and bottom-line profitability, respectively. Similar for financial firms.FINANCIAL RISKDebt Ratio = Debt / AssetsTimes Interest Earned = Net Operating Income /Interest ExpenseLeverage and interest-paying ability - used for financials.
3Depository Institutions - Banks, S&L, Credit Unions Financial StatementsNational-charter banks must submit uniform accounting statements to the Comptroller of the Currency.State charter banks submit accounting statements to their state regulator.LIQUIDITY RISK - different than typical liquidity ratiosLiquidity ratio = (Cash+short-term securities)/AssetsLoans to Deposits = Loans/DepositsDeposits Times Capital = Deposits/EquityA mixture of profit potential and risk measures.
4MANAGEMENT EFFICIENCY Earning Assets to Total Assets = Assets-(Cash+Fixed Assets+Non-earning Deposits) / Total AssetsBurden = (Noninterest Exp.-Nonint. Inc.)/Tot. AssetsEfficiency = Nonint. Exp./(Nonint. Inc. + Net Int. Inc.)Asset Utilization = Total Operating Income / Total AssetsPROFITABILITYInterest Margin to Earning Assets = (Interest Income-Interest Expense)/Earning AssetsProfit Margin = Net Income/Total Operating IncomeReturn on Earning Assets = Net Income/Earning AssetsReturn on Equity = Net Income/Equity
5FINANCIAL RISKLoan Loss Coverage = (Pretax Income+Loss Provisions) /Net Charge-offsProvisions to Charge-offs = Loss Provisions/Net Charg.Loss Allowance to Loans = Loss Allow./LoansEquity to Assets = Equity / Total AssetsOther issues important to financial analysis of banksExamine assets for risky asset types (LDC debt, related party loans, allowance for loan loss etc.).Examine shareholder equity for unrealized gains/losses.
6Loan Loss Reserves (part of the common equity account) should be sufficient to meet actual and potential losses.Review footnotes and management discussion for disclosure of non-performing assets- observe trend.Review footnotes for data on Off-Balance Sheet Activities which can add risk and profits.Review trend in demand and time deposits - these are low-cost sources of funds.Examine “Other Income” typically from services - this income is more stable and desirable than interest income.
7Making Loans and Reserving for Losses Versus Guarantees Financial firms, particularly banks, can make risky loans or provide loan guarantees and both are conceptually the same.Risky loan value = risk-free value + loan guarantee valueWhen a loan is made, the bank earns interest above the risk-free rate. The premium above the risk-free rate is a premium for bearing risk as well as compensation for analyzing the and monitoring the borrower’s financial condition.Loan rate = risk-free rate + risk premium and compensation
8Effect of Loans vs. Guarantees on Financial Statements 1. The effects of loans - transparent.The loan appears as an asset on the balance sheet.A loan loss reserve appears as a contra-asset that reduces the loan value by an amount to cover the expected loss on the loan - a risk measure.Interest is collected periodically and appears on the balance sheet.2. The effects of loan guarantees - opaqueOff-balance sheet “intangible” liability - no contingent liability is booked. Footnote should provide some info.Large up-front fee may appear immediately on income statement or periodic fee shows up over time.
93. The cash payment for the guarantee goes to the cash account and a portion of the payment appears as a reserve for default and the rest goes to equity. The size of the reserve is supposed to be commensurate with risk of the borrower.4. Problems with guaranteesGuarantor may reserve too little when loan is not on balance sheet.If reserve is set properly, competitor lenders are able to see the value you place on particular customer’s creditworthiness.
10Insurance Companies FINANCIAL STATEMENTS State insurance regulators require annual reports based on statutory accounting practices (SAP).Reports are similar across states and focus on the balance sheet to help assure solvency for policyholders.A.M. Best provides “Best’s Insurance Reports” which rate insurance company financial strength.Ratios used by best include operating, profitability, leverage, liquidity ratios - specific to insurance type.Annual reports filed with the SEC follow GAAP.
11Insurance Ratios MANAGEMENT EFFICIENCY Loss Ratio = Incurred Losses/Premiums EarnedExpense Ratio = (Sales + Service Expenses)/Premiums EarnedDividend Ratio = Dividends/Premiums EarnedCombined Ratio=Loss Ratio+Expense Ratio-Dividend RatioCombined Ratio after Dividends =Loss Ratio+Expense RatioIf the Combined Ratio after Dividends exceeds 1, then the company must rely on investment income for profit.
12Note: Earned premiums are premiums paid on policies with time elapsed - unearned premiums are paid but no time elapsed.PROFITABILITYInvestment Return =Net Investment Income/Premiums EarnedOperating Ratio = Combined Ratio After Dividends Investment ReturnOverall Profitability = Operating RatioReturn on Revenues = Net Income / RevenuesReturn on Equity = Net Income / Equity
13Other issues in financial analysis of Insurance Companies Look for significant differences between fair value of investments and their costs or amortized costs.Check the equity section for unrealized gains (losses).Check for a deferred policy acquisition cost buildup.Check that loss reserves grow adequately with insurance in force.
14Other Financial Companies’ Ratios and Financial Issues Other financial companies have more conventional financial statements and one can use the conventional ratios discussed at the beginning of this lecture.Issues for Securities Companies and Investment BanksLook for excess leverage using Equity to Assets.Examine the degree of long or short positions relative to total assets for extreme positions.Look at the list of securities held for large positions in risky securities.Is income largely from fees (more stable) or trading?
15Issues for Investment Companies - Mutual Fund Managers ExamineExpense Ratio = Expenses / Operating revenues, orExpense Ratio = Expenses / Assets Under ManagementMarketing Ratio = Marketing Exp. / Operating Revenues.Management Fee Ratio = Management Fees / Assets Under ManagementMany of the traditional ratios apply also.
16Issues for Finance Companies ExamineExpense Ratio = Expenses / Operating revenuesLoans to Equity = Loans / EquityReturn on Revenues = Net Income / RevenuesCan be treated similar to banks in many ways because they provide loans, otherwise, use traditional ratios.
17Issues for Real Estate Companies Focus on funds from operations = Earnings+Depreciation+Differed Taxes.Consider current value of real estate as market or discounted future income value, not book value.Short-term or variable rate debt used to fund real estate increases earnings risk.
18Dupont Analysis - ROEROE = (Net Income/Total Assets) x (Total Assets/Equity)= ROA x (Equity Multiplier)= (Net Inc./Total Operating Income) x (Total Operating Income/Tot. Assets) x (Total Assets/Equity)= (Profit Margin) x (Asset Utilization) x (Equity Mult.)This says that ROE is determined by; (1) how profitable a company’s products are; (2) how well it uses its assets and; (3) how much leverage it has.Net Income components to consider are Interest and Noninterest Income and Expenses, Taxes and Loan Loss Provisions. Financial firms’ tax rates don’t change much because they have few assets to depreciate or write down.
19Cash Flow Statement Illustration of Inflows and Outflows Inflows OutflowsOperations OperationsCash Revenues Payment for SuppliesCollection of A/R Wages, Rent, Tax, etc.Investments InvestmentsSell Securities, Assets Working CapitalFrom Subsidiaries Capital InvestmentsFinancing FinancingIssue Securities Pay Interest & DividendsObtain Loan Repay Loans and BondsRetire EquityHandout Cash Flow Statement or show on web.
20Ratio Analysis for Fleet Bank For a ratio analysis,Analyze at least 3 years to look for trends ( ).Compare to similar firms (average-$10 Billion Banks).% Fleet Comp. Fleet Comp. Fleet Comp.Lns/DepBurdenProv./ChInt. MargEq/AssetROEQuestion: Are there any trends in Fleet’s ratios?Question: Explain the changes in Fleet’s ROE year-to-year.
21The data for this example was taken directly from www. fdic. gov The data for this example was taken directly from It also has income statement, balance sheet, ratio and common size statements for banks and thrifts. Similar data can be found atRatios and financial data may also be found in analyst reports atFor other companies, use EDGAR-ONLINE and find the 10k statements for a company. Click on FDS to get spreadsheets with raw income statement and balance sheet data. Alternatively, use EDGAR at These sites also have quarterly data from 10Qs which can be used for more up-to-date analysis.For some Credit Union Data try
22Other Approaches to Financial Analysis 1. Common Size StatementsAll income statement lines expressed as percentages of total revenues.All balance sheet lines expressed as percentages of total assets.Compare changes in percentages over time and in comparison to industry (comparable group) average.For banks and thrifts, both of these are are available atHandout Financial Statement and Notes or use Web.