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Richelle Winkler & Collin Payne Wisconsin High School Graduate Projections Presentation for the University of Wisconsin System March 13, 2008.

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Presentation on theme: "Richelle Winkler & Collin Payne Wisconsin High School Graduate Projections Presentation for the University of Wisconsin System March 13, 2008."— Presentation transcript:

1 Richelle Winkler & Collin Payne Wisconsin High School Graduate Projections Presentation for the University of Wisconsin System March 13, 2008

2 State of Wisconsin: High School Graduate History and Projections,

3 How do APL projections compare to WICHE?

4 Why are graduates projected to decline? K-12 School Enrollment is declining. Between , 69% of school districts declined. Age structure of K-12 students is older. Births in Wisconsin were low in 1990s and early 2000s.

5 Wisconsin’s K-12 School Enrollment, Fall 2006

6 Births to Wisconsin Mothers,

7 Wisconsin Births by Race/Ethnicity,

8 Wisconsin Workforce Development Areas

9 Projected % Change in Graduates by WDA,

10 Projected Change in High School Graduates

11 High School Graduate Projections by Sex,

12 Public High School Graduate Projections by Race/Ethnicity

13 The proportion of graduates who are persons of color is increasing

14 Wisconsin Age Structure by Race/Ethnicity

15 Public High School Graduation Rates by Race/Ethnicity

16 Public High School Graduation Rates by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, 2003

17 Plans to Pursue a College Education by Race/Ethnicity

18 Plans to Pursue a College Education by WDA

19 Summary Points  Peak numbers 2008, then projected decline  Similar trends for males and females overall  Similar for different race/ethnic groups, except Hispanics who will see substantial increase  Changing race/ethnic make-up of population under 18 will likely introduce new challenges and opportunities Wisconsin’s Public School Enrollment: Past, Present, Future


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