Presentation on theme: "NATIONAL TRACKING POLL May 2-4, 2014 N=1,595 Likely 2014 Voters Margin of Error: +/- 2.5% #140405."— Presentation transcript:
NATIONAL TRACKING POLL May 2-4, 2014 N=1,595 Likely 2014 Voters Margin of Error: +/- 2.5% #140405
2 RD Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? WT TotalBy PartyBy Age RDWTRDWTRDWTRDWTRDWTRDWTRDWT NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK ACCORDING TO VOTERS. DEMOCRATS ARE THE DRIVING FORCE OF VERY LIMITED OPTIMISM (INDIES NOT SO ROSY).
3 ApDis TotalBy PartyBy Age ApDisApDisApDisApDisApDisApDisApDis OBAMA JOB APPROVAL INVERTED, NEARLY TWO-TO- ONE DISAPPROVAL AMONG POLITICAL INDEPENDENTS. ALSO NOTE GENERATIONAL SHIFT. And, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
4 Education Immigration Reform Health Care Federal Budget Deficit and Debt Jobs/Unemployment The Economy Medicare and Social Security Foreign Policy Energy Policy PRIORITIES FOCUSED TOWARD FISCAL ISSUES, THOUGH A NUMBER OF ITEMS HAVE A MAJORITY SAYING “TOP” OR “ONE OF THE TOP” PRIORITIES. Thinking about the same list of issues, how high of a priority do you think each one should be for the federal government over the next six months before the 2014 Congressional elections? Should it be… The top priority, One of the top priorities, A mid-level priority, …or… Not a priority? “Top”“One of Top” DEMGOP 41%40% 42%39% 37%44% 43%37% 46%35% 48%32% 41%44% 46%38% 43% Generic Preference among “Top” or “One of”
5 GENERIC BALLOT REMAINS EVEN. GOP HAS SLIGHT ADVANTAGE WITH INDIES. DEM And, when you think about the upcoming 2014 elections for U.S. Senate happening in some states, which is your preference for the outcome of the election? Is it… GOP TotalBy Party R+4R+2 DEMGOPDEMGOPDEMGOPDEMGOP DEM D+1
6 Sup Will your vote this November for federal offices such as U.S. Senate and U.S. House be a vote to… Send a signal of support for President Obama, Send a signal of opposition to President Obama, OR Not send a signal either way about President Obama? Opp * “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report. Includes (in alphabetical order): AK, AR, CO, GA, IA, KY, LA, MI, MT, NC, NH, WV No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. TotalsBy Party SupOpp No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. Opp No Sig. INDEPENDENTS TWICE AS LIKELY TO WANT TO SEND A SIGNAL OF OPPOSITION TO OBAMA THAN A SIGNAL OF SUPPORT. Sup