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Energy Requirements and Planning in North America: 2018 The Trilateral Commission, North American Regional Meeting November 22, 2008 Hal Kvisle President.

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Presentation on theme: "Energy Requirements and Planning in North America: 2018 The Trilateral Commission, North American Regional Meeting November 22, 2008 Hal Kvisle President."— Presentation transcript:

1 Energy Requirements and Planning in North America: 2018 The Trilateral Commission, North American Regional Meeting November 22, 2008 Hal Kvisle President and CEO TransCanada Corporation

2 Forward-Looking Information This presentation may contain certain information that is forward looking and is subject to important risks and uncertainties. The words "anticipate", "expect", "may", "should", "estimate", "project", "outlook", "forecast" or other similar words are used to identify such forward-looking information. All forward-looking statements reflect TransCanada’s beliefs and assumptions based on information available at the time the statements were made. Actual results or events may differ from those predicted in these forward-looking statements. Factors which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from current expectations include, among other things, the ability of TransCanada to successfully implement its strategic initiatives and whether such strategic initiatives will yield the expected benefits, the operating performance of the Company’s pipeline and energy assets, the availability and price of energy commodities, regulatory processes and decisions, changes in environmental and other laws and regulations, competitive factors in the pipeline and energy industry sectors, construction and completion of capital projects, labour, equipment and material costs, access to capital markets, interest and currency exchange rates, technological developments and the current economic conditions in North America. By its nature, such forward ‑ looking information is subject to various risks and uncertainties, which could cause TransCanada's actual results and experience to differ materially from the anticipated results or expectations expressed. Additional information on these and other factors is available in the reports filed by TransCanada with Canadian securities regulators and with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on this forward ‑ looking information, which is given as of the date it is expressed in this presentation or otherwise, and to not use future-oriented information or financial outlooks for anything other than their intended purpose. TransCanada undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward ‑ looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.

3 Pipeline and Energy Assets Pipelines Proposed Pipelines Gas Storage Facilities Power plants: Gas (52%) Nuclear (23%) Coal (15%) Hydro (5%) Wind (5%) GTN System Tuscarora North Baja Tamazunchale Foothills/BC Iroquois Portland ANR Alberta System Canadian Mainline TQM Great Lakes Northern Border Pipelines 59,000 km (36,500 mi) of wholly-owned natural gas pipeline, and interests in an additional 7,800 km (4,800 mi) 235 Bcf of regulated natural gas storage capacity Average daily volume of 15 Bcf Keystone oil pipeline 1.1 MMb/d Energy 19 power plants, 10,900 MW Diversified portfolio, primarily low-cost, baseload generation 120 Bcf of non-regulated natural gas storage capacity MacKay River Redwater Sheerness Cancarb Carseland Sundance A&B Bear Creek Cartier Wind Grandview Bécancour Portlands Bruce Power Ocean State TC Hydro Halton Hills Ravenswood Coolidge Kibby Wind Keystone

4 North American Petroleum Overview 2007/2030 (MMb/d) Production Net Petroleum Imports/Exports Demand 3.3 0.9 2.4 7.3 13.7 21.0 3.3 1.4 2.1 2007 5.5 3.2 2.5 8.0 13.5 21.5 3.3 0 3.3 2030 CANADA USA MEXICO

5 Crude Oil: Canada Production Forecast Reference: CAPP June 2008 Canadian Crude Oil Production & Supply Forecast (2008-2020) ActualForecast Pentane s Conventional Light Conventional Heavy Eastern Canada Mining In-Situ 2007 CAPP Forecast

6 Canada 2.3 U.S. 20.8 Mexico 2.0 Crude Oil: Canada Exported 1.8 MMb/d Worth $41 Billion to the U.S. in 2007 2007 Crude Oil Demand (MMb/d)

7 Keystone Oil Pipeline Port Arthur Houston Keystone Gulf Coast Expansion Pipelines Proposed Pipelines Gas Storage Facilities Cushing Patoka Wood River Hardisty * Comprises Keystone and Keystone Gulf Coast Expansion. Keystone in construction Keystone System* 1,090,000 B/d capacity 830,000 B/d binding contractual commitments for an average term of 18 years Future expansion potential to 1,500,000 B/d capacity US$12.2 billion, TransCanada 79% In service 2009 – 2012 Keystone Steele City

8 Keystone Under Construction Schedule: 2008 Construction Conversion 4 pipeline spreads 27 pump stations 3 tanks 2009 Construction 7 pipeline spreads 40 pump stations 3 terminals 2010 Construction 3 pipeline spreads 50 pump stations

9 North American Gas Demand Bcf/d HistoryForecast Residential & Commercial Other Industrial Electric Generation

10 North American Gas Supply U.S. Other Gulf of Mexico WCSB U.S. Rockies Eastern Canada Bcf/d North LNG Mexico Demand HistoryForecast

11 North American Natural Gas Resources Muskwa, Besa & Horn River Shales Montney Shale Colorado Group Shales Lewis & Mancos Shale Woodford Shale Feyetteville Shale Haynesville Shale Barnett Shale Atrim Shale New Albany Shale Ohio Shale Utica, Trenton Black River & Marcellus Shale Major conventional natural gas basins in North America marked in green Emerging shale natural gas basins (marked in brown) in North America may add significant supply WCSB UINTA BASIN PARADOX BASIN SAN JUAN BASIN WILLISTON BASIN DENVER BASIN ANADARKO BASIN FT. WORTH BASIN ILLINOIS BASIN BLACK WARRIOR BASIN MISSISSIPI SALT BASIN GULF COAST BASIN APPALACHIAN BASIN ALASKA MACKENZIE DELTA Natural Gas Basins Shale Gas Basins

12 North American Natural Gas Supply Pipelines Proposed Pipelines Gas Storage Facilities Conventional Shale Non Conventional Shale LNG Flow patterns will shift Committed to playing a role in meeting the growing needs for energy infrastructure Progressing options for Midwest and Northeast U.S. markets to access incremental supply from the largest continental basins Leveraging our existing, integrated footprint across North America to deliver the most cost-effective and timely solutions

13 Western Canada Gas Supply and Demand

14 Natural Gas: Canada Exported 10.5 Bcf/d Worth $28 Billion to the U.S. in 2007 Canada 8.5 U.S. 62.1 Mexico 5.8 2007 Natural Gas Demand (Bcf/d)

15 Potential Mexico Pipeline Projects CD Juarez Nogales Mexico City M é rida Tula Naco L á zaro C á rdenas Guadalajara Altamira Tamazunchale Expansion and Extension Manzanillo Guaymas Chihuahua Valladolid Reynosa Monterrey Tijuana Topolobampo Mazatl á n Mexicali Cancun Guadalajara Pipeline Tamazunchale Pipeline Pemex Pipeline Private Open Access Pipeline Potential Projects Legend Chihuahua Pipeline Toluca Salina Cruz Veracruz Poza Rica to Santa Ana Pipeline Poza Rica

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