Presentation on theme: "Purpose/Agenda Purpose: Describe the concept for a MORS conference on the Analytic Agenda Agenda: Conference overview Opening plenary Analytic Agenda Deep."— Presentation transcript:
1 MORS Analytic Agenda Conference Working Brief As of: September 15, 2009
2 Purpose/AgendaPurpose: Describe the concept for a MORS conference on the Analytic AgendaAgenda:Conference overviewOpening plenaryAnalytic Agenda Deep DivesSpecial topicsClosing plenaryAdmin/logistics
3 MORS Analytic Agenda Conference Overview Title: Analytic Agenda Way AheadDate: March 1-4, 2010Co-Chairs: Al Sweetser and COL Steve CharbonneauLocation: Northrop Grumman Heritage Conference Center, Chantilly, VAObjectives:Broaden understanding of attendees on Analytic Agenda processes and productsDevelop recommendations for improvementClassification: SECRET REL ACGU (all sessions); an unclassified report will be producedProposed schedule:MondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayPMAMTutorialsAnalytic Agenda OverviewPolicyJoint StaffPA&EJDS user’s guideDevelopment PlanningPlenaryPolicy/JS/ PA&E panelService panelCOCOM panelAnalytic Agenda Deep DivesStudy adminWarfight DPS/MSFDSSSP/ISP AnalysisHomeland Defense ToolsIW MetricsDataSpecial TopicsData/Tools mgmt/VV&AC4ISR/IO/EW analysisDevelopment planningInteragency collaborationOutbriefsDeep Dive WGsSpecial topic WGsSynthesis WG
4 Organizing Committee Chairs: Al Sweetser, COL Steve Charbonneau Host Organization Rep: Richard Miller, NGCSponsors:CAPE: Jim BexfieldJS: Lisa DisbrowServices: John Robertson (Army), Tom Neal (Navy), Mike Bailey (USMC), Joe Seidl & Mary Cerniglia-Mosher (USAF)JCS: COL Steve CharbonneauBulldog: Royce ReissWorking Group Chairs: See next slide
5 Key Personnel/Working Group Leads ChairCo-ChairTutorialMike Wilmer, BAHPlenaryCAPT Tom Neal, USN N81WG 1: WarfightCOL Steve Charbonneau, JS J8MAJ Eric Murphy, JS J8WG 2: SSSP/ISPJohn Robertson, G8WG 3: Homeland Defense/Defense Support to Civil AuthoritiesTBDWG 4: Irregular WarfareLtCol Kirsten Messer, CAPEWG 5: Data/Tools/VV&AWG 6: C4ISR/EW/IONorm Yarbrough, OSD NIIJoe Seidl, USAF A9WG 7: Development PlanningPeter Lierni, OSD AT&LWG 8: Inter-agency/International collaborationMary Cerniglia-Mosher, USAF A9SynthesisAnnie Patenaude, BAH
6 Monday, March 1, 2010: Opening Tutorials Organizer: Mike Wilmer, BAHTentative schedule:1300: Policy overview/Defense Planning Scenarios1340: JS overview/Multi-Service Force Deployment Data1420: Break1430: CAPE overview/Future Year Analytic Baselines1515: JDS overview/Data management and Tools1600: AT&L overview/Development Planning
7 Tuesday, March 2, 2010: Opening Plenary Organizer: CAPT Tom Neal, N81Tentative schedule:0800: Sponsor’s welcome (PA&E and Joint Staff)/Admin announcements0830 Keynote speaker: TBD0915 BreakPanel discussions0930: Policy/Joint Staff/PA&E perspective1030: Service/SOCOM perspective1130: COCOM/other DoD perspectives (NORTHCOM?, AT&L?, etc.)Each panel begins with presenter highlighting:How does my organization participate in the Analytic Agenda?How does my organization use Analytic Agenda products?What are my recommendations to improve Analytic Agenda processes and products?Q&A follows each group of presenters
8 Plenary Speaker Bio’sMr. Jim Bexfield, FS, is the Director of the Study and Analytical Support Division of the Office of Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation (CAPE) in the Office of the Secretary of Defense. He supervises the Studies and Analyses Center, which provides analytical support to all of PA&E; and the Joint Data Support (JDS) office, which collects data to support campaign analyses for the DoD. He is the U.S. representative to the Joint Concepts and Analysis Panel in The Technical Cooperation Program (TTCP). Previously he was an analyst with the Institute for Defense Analyses and served in the United States Air Force. During his 23-year career in the Air Force he specialized in operations research, which included serving as Chief Analyst, Air Force Studies and Analyses. In this position, he was the principal military consultant to the general officer who provided analytical support to the Chief of Staff and the Secretary of the Air Force. Mr. Bexfield has been active in the Military Operations Research Society, serving as its president in In 1993 he was elected a Fellow of the Society and in 1994 he received the Vance R. Wanner award.Lisa DisbrowKeynote speaker
9 Analytic Agenda Deep Dives Timing: end of opening plenary to mid-day WedTopics/leadsWarfight; lead J8 WADSSSP/ISP; lead ArmyHomeland Defense; lead TBDIrregular Warfare; lead CAPEPotential questions for discussion:Review DPS: what were the DPS challenges? Was the range of military options explored within the DPS? How can this be addressed? Were significant risks to the defense strategy omitted when a single challenge was selected for MSFD development? How can that risk be mitigated?Review MSFD: describe red/blue/green forces & CONOPS; were there strategy gaps in the DPS that had to be addressed in the MSFD or could not be addressed in the MSFD development? What were they? How do we preclude that from happening?Review Analytical Baseline: were there gaps in the MSFD that had to be addressed in the study? What were they? Were there data sets that were missing that should/could have been included? What were the tools & metrics used? What was the review process? What insights were obtained? What excursions were assessed & why? How could the analysis have been improved?Downstream use: present examples of the subsequent use of this DPS/MSFD/Analytical Baseline; how well did the Analytic Agenda process support CONOPS and capabilities development or programming? How can we improve the feedback mechanism of the Analytic Agenda
10 WG1, Warfight - Charter and Approach Chair: COL Steve Charbonneau, JS J-8Co-Chair: Maj Eric Murphy, JS J-8Synthesis members:MissionApproachGoals
14 WG 3: Homeland Defense/Defense Support to Civil Authorities - Charter and Approach Chair: TBDCo-Chair: TBDSynthesis members:MissionApproachGoals
15 WG 3: Homeland Defense/Defense Support to Civil Authorities – Draft Schedule Tues PMWed AM
16 WG 4: Irregular Warfare - Charter and Approach Chair: Lt Col Kirsten MesserCo-Chair:Synthesis members:MissionApproachGoals
17 WG 4: Irregular Warfare – Draft Schedule Tues PMWed AM
18 Special Topics Timing: mid-day Wed to mid-day Thurs Topics/leads/agendasData/Tools mgmt/VV&A/phenomenology: lead TBDHow can JDS improve support to the Analytic Agenda and DoD?C4ISR/IO/EW analysis: lead NII; co-lead A9How can studies better incorporate these capabilities and their effects into analysis?Development planning: lead AT&LHow can the Analytic Agenda support early development of new acquisition programs?How would consideration of new capabilities in development affect Analytic Agenda processes?Interagency collaboration: Lead A9; co-lead DHS?How can interagency participation in Analytic Agenda processes be improved?How can representation of interagency capabilities be improved?Should there be an interagency Analytic Agenda?
19 WG 5, Data/Tools/VV&A - Charter and Approach Chair:Co-Chair:Synthesis members:MissionApproachGoals
20 WG 5, Data/Tools/VV&A - Charter and Approach Wed PMThurs AM
21 WG 6: C4ISR/EW/IO - Charter and Approach Chair: Norm Yarbrough, OSD NIICo-Chair:Synthesis members:MissionApproachGoals
23 WG 7: Development Planning – Charter and Approach Chair: Peter LierniCo-Chair:Synthesis members:MissionApproachGoals
24 WG 7: Development Planning – Draft Schedule Tues PMWed AM
25 WG 8: Inter-agency/International collaboration - Charter and Approach Chair: Mary Cerniglia-MosherCo-Chair:Synthesis members:MissionApproachGoals
26 WG 8: Inter-agency/International collaboration – Draft Schedule Wed PMThurs AM
27 Plan for Synthesis Group Members/assignmentsApproachAttendee survey?
28 Plenary Session Thursday 1300-1700 1250 Introductory remarks: Chair/Co-ChairSynthesis group outbrief1330 WG 1 outbrief1345 WG 2 outbrief1400 WG 3 outbrief1445 WG 4 outbrief1500 Q&A for WGs 1-41520 break1530 WG 5 outbrief1545 WG 6 outbrief1600 WG 7 outbrief1615 WG 8 outbrief1630 Q&A for WGs 5-81650 Recognitions & Sponsor’s concluding remarks
29 Logistics/Admin Site POC: Richard H. Miller (firstname.lastname@example.org) Site layout:
31 Logistics/Admin Requirement: Catering for morning & afternoon breaks MORS POC: Colette to make arrangements (contract) directlyLunchesWorking groups will plan on 60 minute lunch breaksWorkshop attendees lunch as individualsPls provide some details on lunch optionsMixer?MORS POC: Colette to make arrangementsIs this part of the conference?
32 Logistics/Admin IT support? Pls provide details Hardware Log-in Ability to classified presentations to site?Procedure for obtaining conference electronic files?Security issuesDisposal of classified paper?Process to take classified notes?Processing of clearancesForeign VisitorsUS Visitors
33 Logistics/Admin Disclosure forms needed for all presentations Plenary Working groupsWGs that are unclassified: NONEMORS Office will make copies of WG agendas and distribute to all attendeesWorking group chairs need to work with the MORS Office to ensure the people you want are invitedProvide addresses so MORS office can send information orYou may want to them and suggest that they go to the MORS website for an application (www.mors.org)
34 Disclosure Forms Received in the MORS Office As of: Name, presentation
35 Workshop ProductsAn executive summary addressing the findings, conclusions, and recommendationsCommon issues of concern among participantsPotential solutions in terms of tools, methods, and dataProposals for future collaboration on analysis and development of tools, methods, and dataA PHALANX articleA proceedings document containing the summaries of all sessions and copies of appropriate briefing slides and presentations (unclassified)Will need scripted out-brief from the Working Group Chairs about 30 days after workshopCoordination/writing session Friday after the workshop for group leads
36 Attendance Status So, xx people have indicated they plan to attend Allies/Non-DoDUnited Kingdom #Canada #Australia #DHS #Total: ##By Work GroupProgram Staff #Synthesis 7WG 1: 39WG 2: 19WG 3: 27WG 4: 13Plenary Only 2Others 5Grand Total 114USOSD #JS #Army #Navy #USAF #COCOMs #
38 Site Issues – Hotels / Transportation MORS HotelMORS Office has arranged for xx to be the workshop headquarters hotelBus or shuttles?
39 Hot Actions WG action plans Synthesis group action plan Confirm panel participants for opening plenaryIdentify/invite keynote speakerUpdate TORDevelop PHALANX articleHow do we deal with issues not easily binned – lunchtime hot topics?Unclassified scenarios?Use of AB products across DoD?Hybrid warfare?