Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Dr. Nancy Szofran, Provost community colleges of Spokane

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "Dr. Nancy Szofran, Provost community colleges of Spokane"— Presentation transcript:

1 Dr. Nancy Szofran, Provost community colleges of Spokane
Big Data: Opportunities and Challenges in today’s competitive environment Dr. Nancy Szofran, Provost community colleges of Spokane

2 Highpoint: in 1973 Current: 5.57 in 2013

3 EMSI Executive Summary January 2011 The Economic Contribution of Washington Community and Technical Colleges

4 Economic Growth Analysis:
Findings: Economic Growth Analysis: $822.4 million – Income to WA Economy Each Year $746.6 million – Operations of 34 Community & Technical Colleges $75.9 – Spending of International Students Economic Impact Analysis at a Glance Added Income College Operations Effect $746,568,000 Student Spending Effect $ 75,869,000 Total Spending Effect $822,438,000 Student Productivity Effect $10,225,902,000 GRAND TOTAL $11,048,339,000

5 $10.2 Billion in State Income Higher earnings of students and increased output of businesses

6

7 Washington benefits from:
Improved Health Reduced Welfare Reduced Unemployment Reduced Crime Savings to the public of $50.7 million per year

8 Taxpayer Return on Investment

9 Washington Community and Technical Colleges are a
Sound Investment Colleges enrich the lives of students and increase life-time income. Taxpayers see increased revenues from an enlarged economy and a reduction in the demand for taxpayer supported social services. Colleges contribute to the vitality of state and local economics.

10 Total Job Postings in the Health Care Industry, Spokane Region
January 2010 – June 2014 Due to the economic growth and improved data-mining software, Burning Glass Labor/Insight ™ recognizes 62 percent more total job postings starting in Q The data from Q to Q has been normalized to reflect this change.

11 Digital Footprints

12 Student Transition Information Project (STIP)
“Empowering Community Colleges to Build the Nation’s Future” 41 School Districts 73 High Schools Enhance the data reporting that guides local and policy-level career and college readiness decision making

13 Key Findings Report – Change from 2011
No significant changes in benchmark aggregate scores since 2011 survey

14 Next Steps We will examine these results in more detail throughout the year Experiment with the use of CCSSE item responses as predictors of student success: Identify groups of students who may need additional help May help target the specific kinds of interventions required We will also examine results of the Community College Faculty Survey of Student Engagement (CCFSSE) Perception-matching between students and faculty

15 Today — CCFSSE: Online survey administered to the same faculty whose classes were selected for the CCSSE sample – 206 instructors district- wide 96 items that are matched to student items in CCSSE 85-90% are significantly different* We’ll examine items that show some of the greatest difference in perceptions between instructors and students District results, not college-specific

16 How students spend their time:
Students said they are spending more time preparing for class than faculty believed. 11 or more hrs/week Faculty: 31% Students: 42% ¾ of students said they are not participating in extra-curricular activities at all! Faculty: 90% said 1 or more hour Students: 25% said 1 or more hour

17 Building the model – Operating Philosophy
Find and use leading predictors of change along with known enrollment data from current year.

18 Building the model – Behavioral Influences
We examined dozens of potential economic variables. Variables that panned out: Job-related (Annual employment, Change in annual employment, Net change in jobs, Unemployment rate) Wage-related (Annual total wages, Change in wages, Average annual weekly wages) Tuition (State resident tuition, change in annual resident tuition)

19 Building the model – Validation
Model slightly over-estimates upward trend change, and under- estimates downward trend change, but only by 2-3%.

20 Ancillary Findings Race/Ethnicity and Financial Aid variables were overshadowed by other predictors. Ratio of females to males is predictive for certain groups – some variables serve as proxies for things that can’t be directly measured. Average credit load decreasing  more part-time students  higher per credit revenue.

21 Predictive analytics “An area of statistical analysis that deals with extracting information using various technologies to uncover relationships and patterns within large volumes of data that can be used to predict behavior and events.”

22 Smart Companies: Holistic Approach to Big Data – Strategies That Enable Solutions
Predictive Analytics uses data science to build highly predictive models of future outcomes. Predictions based on student characteristics and behaviors

23 How will predictive analytics help our students?
Help define new student groups Capacity to predict behaviors from day zero What variables have greatest predictive power Create dashboard of student level data Evaluate existing student success interventions

24 This project has been able to specifically identify points of loss.
WICHE Big Data Project Student Success This project has been able to specifically identify points of loss.

25 Quantified Intervention Effectiveness Results
Actionable Models Quantified Intervention Effectiveness Results Closed Loop Field Tests (at-risk) Tutoring Student Services Text Message Alerts Institutional Benchmarks Collaborative Community of Experts

26 Student Services questions
Who are our students? What support services are most effective and in what sequence? What course sequencing is beneficial vs toxic? Early alert system: is the system actionable, meaningful?

27 Predict student behaviors
Learning outcomes Recruitment Retention Aim is to make positive changes throughout the student life-cycle Increase operational efficiency Demonstrate accountability for accreditation Demonstrate positive efforts to legislature, et al.

28 Not a Silver bullet Cannot measure: homesickness, missing girl/boy friend, emotionally unprepared for the freedom of living away from home.

29 Learner analytics Can assignments/
activities be a proxy for engagement? Successful behaviors in a class Course sequencing Rate of student progress Features of the learning environment that lead to better learning

30 Learner analytics, cont.
Impact of attendance Indicators of satisfaction and engagement Classroom – virtual or traditional Keeping the most personal aspects of teaching in place.

31 Challenges Resources: time and people Data cleaning
Data formatting and Data alignment Choosing what data to mine Involve stakeholders early and often Articulate clearly how data is collected and how it will be used

32 Challenges, cont. Technologies: interoperability
Ability to translate data into action Resources for interventions Philosophically - Intrusive approach vs Privacy Right to Fail

33 Are you ready? What questions are you trying to answer?
Will data mining help you answer the questions? Do you have a culture of evidence-driven decision making?

34 Next steps President and Provost are supportive?
Capacity to collect and disseminate information? ROI should be quantifiable and clear.

35 The more data we have about more people, the more we can improve services to individual students. We can begin to offer more customized, personalized choices to help them meet their educational goals. conclusion


Download ppt "Dr. Nancy Szofran, Provost community colleges of Spokane"

Similar presentations


Ads by Google