Presentation on theme: "Modernization, Dependencia, and Import Substitution Industrialization"— Presentation transcript:
1Modernization, Dependencia, and Import Substitution Industrialization Brazil
2100 Years of HistoryLatin American independence movements ( ) relied on a new sense of nativismThe revolts were started by the Creole eliteElites appealed to the masses’ identity based on birthplace: AmericanContinuing social, economic, and political inequality would continue unchangedThe "Progress" movement, popular in the industrializing West, reached Latin America in the 1850sLiberals use promises of political and social reforms as well as economic progress to come to power; largely unfulfilledThe ignored middle and lower classes turn to nationalism“That everybody belonged, that the benefits of Progress should be shared, and that industrial development should be the priority”The Latin American wars of independence begin around 1808 and end around 1824 with the Battle of Ayacucho
3Theory and Policy: Overlapping Concepts Economic Theory: Modernization v. DependencyEconomic Policy: Export-led Growth v. Import Substitution Industrialization
4Modernization Theory Modernization is a revolutionary process Modernization is a complex processModernization is a systemic processModernization is a global processModernization is a lengthy processModernization is a phased processModernization is a homogenizing processModernization is a irreversible processModernization is a progressive processSamuel Huntington. "The Change to Change: Modernization, Development, and Politics" (1971)
5Modernization in Brazil Economic modernization led to mass urban migration in the early 1900s and, in turn, destabilized the rural political oligarchyPresident Getúlio Vargas ( , Liberal Alliance): Vargas overcame a coup attempt by coffee elites, marking Brazil’s transition away from a traditional, rural economy established the modernizing – and Fascist - Estado Novo dictatorshipJuscelino Kubitschek ( ): populist president who promises Brazilians 'fifty years of progress in five‘; industrialization progressed quickly, but so did inflation and debtEconomic modernization: the creation of banks, railroads, ports, industry, etc shifts the locus of political and economic power deinitively to the cities.July 16, 1934: a new, fascist constitution is enacted (supported by Vargas)Established state-led industrialization aimed at reducing foreign dependencyUses nationalist rhetoric to harness the working class and mediate class disputes
6Modernization in Brazil From 1900 to 1980 the average annual rate of GDP growth was 5.7%, while industry grew by about 7.1% per year1930: Vargas Elected1932: Coffee coup defeated1934: Fascist constitution adopted1937: Estado Novo established, Vargas assumes dictatorial powers1942: Vargas sides with Allied forces in WWII1945: Military coup overthrows Vargas1951: Vargas elected to the presidency, again1954: Facing a military coup, Vargas commits suicide1956: Kubitschek elected to the presidency1956: work on Brasília begins1960: Brasília becomes the national capital1964: Military coup
7Brasília: the High-Modernist City Brasília was to be the city of the future, of a modern BrazilPlanned and developed in 1956, Brasília became the capital in 1960“Brasília made no reference to the habits, traditions, and practices of Brazil's past or of its great cities”functionalist principles: dispersion and functional segregation“The death of the street”
8Brasília: the High-Modernist City By1980, 75% of the population of Brasília lived in settlements that had never been anticipated, while the planned city had reached less than half its projected population of 557,000Estrutural, a slum near Brasília, is home to over 20,000 peopleThe pattern of urban modernization pushing the poor to the edge of the city is common
9Dependency TheoryUnderdevelopment in less developed countries is the result of development in the WestInternational capitalism has set up a global economic system with a division of labor that maintains the periphery in a subservient position relative to the coreDependent nations develop dual economiesModern sector is entirely dependent on the international economic system – for resources (capital, technology, and materials) and markets; a “collaborating class” formsTraditional sector is not, but it is eroded by the activities of the modern sectorDependent nations are adversely affected by unequal terms of trade: they export cheap raw materials and import expensive, finished, manufactured products; the core relies on this imbalance for its prosperity, the core must break it if it is to develop
10Import Substitution Industrialization ISI policies may be consistent with several types of economic theories, though it is most closely associated with Dependency TheoryDomestic production of substitutes for imported commoditiesProtectionist barriers to international trade in order to encourage a domestic marketGovernment financing for new industrial projectsState-led economic policyISI policies may be consistent with several types of economic theories: mainly those based on economic nationalism of whatever sort, left of right (see Vargas)
11Dependency in Brazil Fernando Henrique Cardoso After the 1964 military coup Cardoso went into exile; he returned in the 1980sIn the 1970s Cardoso was addressing the weaknesses of Dependency Theory: limited development is possible despite significant dependence; poor nations must develop as much as possible within the global economy.President of Brazil,While president, Cardoso followed standard neoliberal economic policies
12ISI in Brazil Timeline 1945-1962 period characterized by intense ISI : GDP growth averages over 7%, industry growth averages over 9%Imports (esp. fuels and machinery) increased more than exportsLarge foreign debt: the industrial sector stagnated as a result of adverse macroeconomic conditions: rapid industrial expansion and modernizationImport controls regulated through a multiple exchange rate system that prioritized certain goods (fuels and machinery) by treating them with a preferable rate while imports of goods that could be produced domestically faced a higher rate.
13ISI in BrazilNationalism: Vargas gained support for ISI policies in the working and middle classes through the explicit use of nationalist rhetoricDevelopment:gains in industrial work are offset by massive rural to urban migration and thus un/underemployment and the resulting lowering of the standard of living in urban areas despite increasing labor regulationspolitical conditions deteriorate into Fascism and military dictatorship in which the working class is included but subordinated through populist structuresRural poverty and landlessness increase as farming is mechanized and the Amazon is opened to industrial development; demands for land redistribution growAmazon: logging, mining, smelting, and industrial agriculture
14Dependency TheoryWhat role do political forces play in economic development? To what extent do/can domestic political circumstances influence the national economy?Does dependency theory put too much emphasis on the power of capitalism to shape the circumstances of underdeveloped countries?