Presentation on theme: "Chi-square and F Distributions"— Presentation transcript:
1Chi-square and F Distributions Children of the Normal
2QuestionsWhat is the chi-square distribution? How is it related to the Normal?How is the chi-square distribution related to the sampling distribution of the variance?Test a population value of the variance; put confidence intervals around a population value.
3QuestionsHow is the F distribution related the Normal? To Chi-square?
4DistributionsThere are many theoretical distributions, both continuous and discrete. Howell calls these test statisticsWe use 4 test statistics a lot: z (unit normal), t, chi-square ( ), and F.Z and t are closely related to the sampling distribution of means; chi-square and F are closely related to the sampling distribution of variances.
5Chi-square Distribution (1) z scorez score squaredMake it GreekWhat would its sampling distribution look like?Minimum value is zero.Maximum value is infinite.Most values are between zero and 1;most around zero.
6Chi-square (2)What if we took 2 values of z2 at random and added them?Same minimum and maximum as before, but now average should be a bit bigger.Chi-square is the distribution of a sum of squares. Each squared deviation is taken from the unit normal: N(0,1). The shape of the chi-square distribution depends on the number of squared deviates that are added together.
7Chi-square 3The distribution of chi-square depends on 1 parameter, its degrees of freedom (df or v). As df gets large, curve is less skewed, more normal.
8Chi-square (4) The expected value of chi-square is df. The mean of the chi-square distribution is its degrees of freedom.The expected variance of the distribution is 2df.If the variance is 2df, the standard deviation must be sqrt(2df).There are tables of chi-square so you can find 5 or 1 percent of the distribution.Chi-square is additive.
9Distribution of Sample Variance Sample estimate of population variance (unbiased).Multiply variance estimate by N-1 to get sum of squares. Divide by population variance to stadnardize. Result is a random variable distributed as chi-square with (N-1) df.We can use info about the sampling distribution of the variance estimate to find confidence intervals and conduct statistical tests.
10Testing Exact Hypotheses about a Variance Test the null that the population variance has some specific value. Pick alpha and rejection region. Then:Plug hypothesized population variance and sample variance into equation along with sample size we used to estimate variance. Compare to chi-square distribution.
11Example of Exact TestTest about variance of height of people in inches. Grab 30 people at random and measure height.Note: 1 tailed test on small side. Set alpha=.01.Mean is 29, so it’s on the small side. But for Q=.99, the value of chi-square is Cannot reject null.Note: 2 tailed with alpha=.01.Now chi-square with v=29 and Q=.995 is and also with Q=.005 the result is N. S. either way.
12Confidence Intervals for the Variance We use to estimate It can be shown that:Suppose N=15 and is 10. Then df=14 and for Q=.025 the value is For Q=.975 the value is 5.63.
13Normality AssumptionWe assume normal distributions to figure sampling distributions and thus p levels.Violations of normality have minor implications for testing means, especially as N gets large.Violations of normality are more serious for testing variances. Look at your data before conducting this test. Can test for normality.
14ReviewYou have sample 25 children from an elementary school 5th grade class and measured the height of each. You wonder whether these children are more variable in height than typical children. Their variance in height is 4. Compute a confidence interval for this variance. If the variance of height in children in 5th grade nationally is 2, do you consider this sample ordinary?
15The F Distribution (1)The F distribution is the ratio of two variance estimates:Also the ratio of two chi-squares, each divided by its degrees of freedom:In our applications, v2 will be larger than v1 and v2 will be larger than 2. In such a case, the mean of the F distribution (expected value) isv2 /(v2 -2).
16F Distribution (2)F depends on two parameters: v1 and v2 (df1 and df2). The shape of F changes with these. Range is 0 to infinity. Shaped a bit like chi-square.F tables show critical values for df in the numerator and df in the denominator.F tables are 1-tailed; can figure 2-tailed if you need to (but you usually don’t).
17F table – critical values e.g. critical value of F at alpha=.05 with 3 & 12 df =3.49
18Testing Hypotheses about 2 Variances SupposeNote 1-tailed.We findThen df1=df2 = 15, andGoing to the F table with 15 and 15 df, we find that for alpha = .05 (1-tailed), the critical value is Therefore the result is significant.
19A Look Ahead The F distribution is used in many statistical tests Test for equality of variances.Tests for differences in means in ANOVA.Tests for regression models (slopes relating one continuous variable to another like SAT and GPA).
20Relations among Distributions – the Children of the Normal Chi-square is drawn from the normal. N(0,1) deviates squared and summed.F is the ratio of two chi-squares, each divided by its df. A chi-square divided by its df is a variance estimate, that is, a sum of squares divided by degrees of freedom.F = t2. If you square t, you get an F with 1 df in the numerator.
21Review How is F related to the Normal? To chi-square? Suppose we have 2 samples and we want to know whether they were drawn from populations where the variances are equal. Sample1: N=50, s2=25; Sample 2: N=60, s2=30. How can we test? What is the best conclusion for these data?