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COMET Briefing to CNMOC 30 October2013. New COMET Business Model COMET Capacity TrendsNew Staffing Model 2 Core Staff = 24 ~ $4.3M –~60% of $6.3M –(Focused.

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Presentation on theme: "COMET Briefing to CNMOC 30 October2013. New COMET Business Model COMET Capacity TrendsNew Staffing Model 2 Core Staff = 24 ~ $4.3M –~60% of $6.3M –(Focused."— Presentation transcript:

1 COMET Briefing to CNMOC 30 October2013

2 New COMET Business Model COMET Capacity TrendsNew Staffing Model 2 Core Staff = 24 ~ $4.3M –~60% of $6.3M –(Focused on Sponsors) Temp/Casual Staff = 10 ~ $2M –~40% of $6.3M –(Focused on New Business Partners) New Sponsors Development –Univ/Private/Public = $2M Projected Budget in 3 to 5 years = $6-7M and COMET will utilize the 60/40 model Budget Down $2.3M/YR Over 3 YRS Staff Decreased 41-24 Over 3 YRS Implementing Formal Project Management to Ensure Effectiveness and Efficiency

3 COMET FY13 Milestones/Accomplishments Total Modules = 489 (FY-13 = 58) Modules translated = 143 (FY-13 = 27) Total Registered Users = 300,000+ (Sep 13) Total Education Users = 102,873 Total International Users = 101,781 Total U.S. Private Sector Users = 34,705 Modules Completed FY13 = 195,581 Number of Quizzes FY13 = 111,964 AVG Improvement between pre and post tests=59% (pre) to 81%(post) 3 COMET Budget is stable for FY-14 at $4.3M with a 7 person staff reduction and a 20% Reduction in Capacity

4 Funding Sources By Sponsor

5 5 Module Content/Recorded Lectures By Year Losing Capacity

6 MetEd Support and Upgrades 6

7 FY12-FY14 Budget Summary 7 FY12FY13FY14 Spending Plan (no Outreach) $ 5,210,000 $ 4,680,000 $ 4,300,000 Funding Assumption (no Outreach) NWS Base Funding $ 1,376,000 $ 1,000,000 $ - NWS NWP (*) $ 191,000 $ - $ 50,000 NWS Module Updates (O&M) $ 125,000 $ - NWS PNS funding $ 62,000 $ 32,000 $ 6,000 NWS Aviation $ 300,000 NWS Hydrology $ 74,000 $ 50,800 $ - NWS Climate $ 18,000 $ 52,000 $ - NWS International Activities $ 414,000 $ 127,000 $ 329,000 NWS AWIPS II Validation $ 83,000 $ 172,000 NWS Sandy Supplmental Potential Projects* $ - $ 475,000 NESDIS GOES-R $ 400,000 NESDIS JPSS $ 275,000 $ 325,000 $ 425,000 NESDIS (Hilding + GOESR Outreach Reallocation) $ 90,435 $ 125,000 NOS $ - $ 100,000 $ 75,000 NMOC $ 408,000 $ 473,000 $ 425,000 MSC (includes supplemental contracts) $ 342,000 $ 505,000 $ 551,000 Bureau of Reclamation $ 250,000 $ 263,000 $ 362,000 EUMETSAT $ 70,000 $ 73,000 $ 100,000 UCAR Climate Model Module $ 83,000 $ - FAA Safe Skies $ 300,000 $ 332,000 $ 333,000 Bureau of Meteorology of Australia $ 44,000 $ 52,525 $ 50,000 Commercial Sector (Ball, Fugro, etc.) $ - $ 200,000 WMO $ 104,000 One Time Projects (NWS NEEF NSF,etc) $ 523,000 $ 267,800 $ 15,000 Total Funding $ 5,255,000 $ 4,630,560 $ 4,393,000 Balance $ 45,000 $ (49,440) $ 93,000 * Some FY14 NWP Support and other potential project may be received through a contract for the Sandy Supplemental

8 FY13 Accomplishments and FY14 Plans 8

9 9 Aviation FY14 Projects may include: Update to DLAC 2 (NWS) Convective Lesson (NWS) Safe Skies for Africa Year Three (DOT) FY13 Published projects: Updated NAS Lesson (NWS) Aeronautical Continuing Professional Development Course for Caribbean (NWS IAO) Safe Skies for Africa Year Two (DOT)

10 10 Climate and Water FY13 Published projects: Held two 3-day residence courses for water resource practitioners (Reclamation) Developed curriculum outlines for 1) Water Temperature Impacts and 2) Sedimentation and River Hydraulics (Reclamation) Complete first pilot video project (Reclamation) Initiate conversion of HIUCC course to virtual format (Reclamation) Initiate business development activities leading to offering registration courses with CEUs (Reclamation) Climatology for the Operational Forecaster (Navy) Hold 1 CVCVC offering and publish select lectures (NWS)

11 11 FY14 Projects may include: Develop training lessons/courses for Water Temperature Impacts topic area (Reclamation) Complete additional videos (Reclamation) Deliver HIUCC course in virtual format (Reclamation) Further business development leading to registration courses with CEUs Will require development of curriculum outlines for remaining PCUs, Landcover Response, and Water Quality Impacts (Reclamation) Climate FY14 Plans

12 12 Emergency Management FY14 Projects may include: Conversion of SOS Course [Science of Oil Spills] to distance learning (NOS) FY13 Published projects: Aerial Surveillance of Oil Spills Lesson (NOS)

13 13 Fire Weather FY13 Published projects: Severe Fire Weather Patterns in Southeastern Australia (BoM Australia) FY14 Possible new Fire Weather Pattern lesson (BoM Australia)

14 14 Numerical Weather Prediction FY13 Published Projects: Introduction to Climate Models (UCAR) Introduction to Ensemble Forecasting Hurricane Sandy (Navy) Note: NWS NWP funding and work suspended FY14 Plans include: Completion of NWP Course 3 (contingent on NWS funding) Updates to the NWP Model Matrix (contingent on NWS funding) Ensembles lesson (MSC)

15 15 Satellite Meteorology FY13 Published projects: GOES-R ABI: Next Generation Satellite Imaging Advances in Space-Based Nighttime Visible Observation (on DNB) Significant Updates to 4 NPOESS/JPSS modules Satellite Monitoring of Atmospheric Composition (with EUMETSAT) Monitoring the Climate System with Satellites (with EUMETSAT) 3 ASMET 7 case-study lessons (EUMETSAT) 2 Satellite Feature Identification lessons: Jet Streams and Inferring Three Dimensions from Water Vapor Imagery (MSC) Infused GEO and LEO data and products into all applicable lessons Designed, hosted, and facilitated first Virtual Satellite Science Week event Published ESRC in French, moved site from behind registration, and continued to populate with content Initiated projects: How Satellite Data Inform NWP lesson Imaging with VIIRS, 3 rd edition (with new VIIRS data)

16 16 Satellite Meteorology FY14 Continue infusion of GEO and LEO data into all applicable lessons Develop and publish, GOES-R GLM lesson Complete How Satellite Data Inform NWP lesson Complete Imaging with VIIRS, 3 rd Edition Update additional NPOESS/JPSS modules (based on sponsor priorities) Facilitate additional Satellite Proving Ground virtual events (per sponsor request) Initiate lesson on Polar Communications and Weather Satellite to become part of a new “Are you Advanced Satellite Ready?” DL Course Continued support of the ESRC Develop and offer Satellite Meteorology Virtual Courses (tentative) Initiate EUMETSAT Webcast, Topic TBD Satellite Feature Identification: Conveyor Belts (MSC)

17 * pending VCP funding FY13 Funding for VCP projects held up in legal tangle between WMO and State Department WMO provided separate funding for priority projects which includes: Limited Spanish translations Facilitation of Basic Hydrologic Science DL Course for Africa Ongoing support for hydrology DL courses offered by RTCs Completion of AeroCPD modules Internationalization of Volcanic Ash lessons Completion of Tropical Synoptic Meteorology Course Package WMO Related 17

18 * pending VCP funding FY14 Spanish translations Ongoing hydrology Dl course support Climate and Climatology Course Package: Year 1 of 2 Critical Training for RA-V: Year 1 of 3 (RAM-DL for Australia, Island Meteorology, Island Hydrology) Tropical Synoptics Online Course Adoption Workshop (with WMO) Global Campus Prototype*** * Assumes VCP funding issues are resolved and FY12-13 work proposals are still valid WMO Related 18

19 19 Winter Weather FY13 Winter Weather Course, Fall 2012 (MSC) FY14 Winter Weather Course, Fall 2013 (MSC)

20 20 Other FY13 Spark collaboration GLOBE collaboration Heliophysics demonstration project (NASA) Dynamics Learning Objects: PGF (UCAR) Radiation Learning Object (BoM) FY14 Heliophysics (NASA) Electromagnetic/Electro-optic Propagation (Navy) Weather Observing: Shore and at Sea (Navy) Storm Surge lesson * Tropical Meteorology lessons * *Contingent on NWS Sandy Supplemental Funding

21 21 MetEd Updates

22 Meted Support and Upgrades 22

23 23 Most Viewed Description Pages (May 2012 – May 2013) Courses S-290 Intermediate Wildland Fire Behavior Course105,502 Visits SKYWARN Spotter Training Course 64,669 Modules Role of the Skywarn Spotter26,158 Visits Skywarn Spotter Convective Basics 21,691

24 Certificate Cost Recovery Program 24 MetEd Annual Support Costs ~ $400k Cost Recovery Focused on S-290 Wild Land Fire and Skywarn Spotter Course Fee for Certificate is Optional and Does Not Affect Report of Course Completion Fee’s Collected Will Be Used As Cost Recovery To Support MetEd

25 25 Proposals and Business Development

26 - Proposals- New Business Development Climate Partner with NCAR on five climate proposals Teledyne, Campbell Instruments, Weather Metrics Training Video Productions Ball Aerospace Satellite training module on OMPS and Others AADT Weather Service East Africa Full Aviation Weather Service Capability – COMET doing training needs assessment Weather Decision Technologies Installation of Weather Radar Systems in SE Asia – COMET doing training. UKMET College and EUMETSAT Implementing Training in Aviation and Satellite Sensors (cost recovery) AWIPS AWIPS II algorithm validation project (Two years, funded May 2013) 26

27 - Continuing - Project Extensions in FY2014 USBR Year Three Continue conversion to virtual courses, implement business plan, modules to support the Climate and Water Resources PDS DOT Safe Skies for Africa Year Three Completion of modules, case study development and adaptations, and RAMDL- Africa Course, facilitation for RMTC implementation Australia Tropical cyclone intensity module, dynamic learning object: monsoon circulations, monsoon trof migration, trade wind diurnal cycle, etc. EUMETSAT New modules, TBD 27

28 Business DevelopmentFY14FY15 *NWS/International VCP$380,000$350,000 *Safe Skies for Africa Year 3 and Beyond$330,000TBD *Reclamation Year 3 and Beyond$250,000TBD * NASA/Heliophysics [thru UCAR VSP Program] $100,000$105,000 * EUMETSAT $90,000 * Australia $60,000 * National Ocean Service $75,000 AMDAR [WMO]$100,000$50,000 Climate partner w/NCAR [5 Proposals]?? Private Sector [Ball, Fugro, Unisys, etc.]$200,000 28 *Assumed in FY14 plan

29 Initiating new projects with US Bureau of Reclamation as lead agency Curriculum Development Effort Prerequisite DL Module Two Residence Courses in FY13 (Surface hydrology and Agricultural foci) New CA with DOI/USBR began in FY11 (partners include USACE, USGS, NOAA, EPA, Denver Water, Seattle Public Utilities, and RISAs) Great interest and need! Initial challenge to engage extensive water community beyond USBR Off to a great start Ambitious timeline Initial Perceptions Bureau of Reclamation 29

30 Consult with stakeholders to identify training gaps Develop plan to enhance African aeronautical meteorological training Adapt priority training resources and publish preliminary version of African Review of Aeronautical Meteorology Distance Learning (RAMDL) course Phase 1 (2012): Define Goals and Methods, Produce Initial Education and Training Complete adaptations and develop additional RAMDL content Begin French translations of high priority modules Develop African RAMDL case studies Begin developing instructor resources for residence and DL courses at RTCs Phase 2 (2013): Refinement of the African RAMDL Course Publish final version of African RAMDL course: ~60 hours Complete French translations of key modules Help organize and facilitate a test online RAMDL-based courses Complete instructor guides for African RAMDL course Disseminate training/performance support using mobile learning strategies Phase 3 (2014): Publish Revised RAMDL, Facilitation, Implementation Develop and adapt aeronautical meteorology training for African forecasters to meet WMO competencies qualification requirements by November 2013 Safe Skies for Africa 30

31 Additional Business Development Ideas Homeland Security and FEMA Bogdan and Rayder are helping to make inroads to FEMA Korea Meteorological Administration Jeffries and Muller are corresponding with KMA about the winter Olympics UNESCO/JCOMM Private Sector USGIF/IDC/NGA Ball Campbell Instruments UNISYS 31

32 Challenges/ Sponsor Support 32

33 Stable/Timely funding Timely SME support for projects Meeting private sector timelines Sponsorship for transition to APPs Developing Decision Science Support Services Market identification/Niche products Integration into higher education distance learning support Staff talent management Development of new temporary/casual staff Access to new geosciences SMEs 33 COMET’s Greatest Challenges and Threats Sponsors

34 Questions/ Discussion? 34

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