Presentation on theme: "1 Chapter 4 Time Value of Money. 2 Time Value Topics Future value Present value Rates of return Amortization."— Presentation transcript:
1 Chapter 4 Time Value of Money
2 Time Value Topics Future value Present value Rates of return Amortization
Value = FCF 1 FCF 2 FCF ∞ (1 + WACC) 1 (1 + WACC) ∞ (1 + WACC) 2 Free cash flow (FCF) Cost of debt Cost of equity Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) Net operating profit after taxes Required investments in operating capital − = Determinants of Intrinsic Value: The Present Value Equation...
4 Why is timing important? You are asked to choose from the following options: 1. Receive $1 million today 2. Receive $1 million 10 years from now Would you choose 1 or 2?
5 Most people prefer to receive it sooner rather than later because they place a higher value on the cash received earlier. Money has time value
6 Time value of money: Practical relevance Examples Retirement plan Mortgage payment Pricing a financial securities Helping your company to decide which project to undertake
7 Time lines show timing of cash flows. CF 0 CF 1 CF 3 CF I% Tick marks at ends of periods, so Time 0 is today; Time 1 is the end of Period 1; or the beginning of Period 2.
8 Time line for a $100 lump sum due at the end of Year Year I%
9 Time line for an ordinary annuity of $100 for 3 years I%
10 Time line for uneven CFs I% -50
11 Preparing BAII Plus for use Press ‘2nd’ and [Format]. The screen will display the number of decimal places that the calculator will display. If it is not eight, press ‘8’ and then press ‘Enter’. Press ‘2nd’ and then press [P/Y]. If the display does not show one, press ‘1’ and then ‘Enter’. Press ‘2nd’ and [BGN]. If the display is not END, that is, if it says BGN, press ‘2nd’ and then [SET], the display will read END.
12 FV of an initial $100 after 3 years (I = 10%) FV = ? % Finding FVs (moving to the right on a time line) is called compounding. 100
13 After 1 year FV 1 = PV + INT 1 = PV + PV (I) = PV(1 + I) = $100(1.10) = $110.00
15 After 3 years FV 3 = FV 2 (1+I)=PV(1 + I) 2 (1+I) = PV(1+I) 3 = $100(1.10) 3 = $ In general, FV N = PV(1 + I) N
16 Four Ways to Find FVs Step-by-step approach using time line (as shown in Slides 12-15). Solve the equation with a regular calculator (formula approach). Use a financial calculator. Use a spreadsheet.
17 Financial calculators solve this equation: FV N = PV (1+I) N There are 5 variables. If 4 are known, the calculator will solve for the 4th. Financial Calculator Solution
NI/YR PV PMTFV INPUTS OUTPUT 18 Here’s the setup to find FV
19 Spreadsheet Solution Use the FV function = FV(I, N, PMT, PV) = FV(0.10, 3, 0, -100) =
20 What’s the PV of $100 due in 3 years if I/YR = 10%? 10% Finding PVs is discounting, and it’s the reverse of compounding PV = ?
Solve FV N = PV(1 + I ) N for PV PV = FV N (1+I) N = FV N I N PV= $100 1 = $100(0.7513) = $
22 Either PV or FV must be negative. Here PV = Put in $75.13 today, take out $100 after 3 years N I/YR PV PMTFV INPUTS OUTPUT Financial Calculator Solution
23 Spreadsheet Solution Use the PV function: = PV(I, N, PMT, FV) = PV(0.10, 3, 0, 100) =
24 20% 2 012? Q: if deposit $1 today, and i=20%, when will it double? Finding the Time to Double
25 Time to Double (Continued) $2= $1( ) N (1.2) N = $2/$1 = 2 N LN(1.2)= LN(2) N= LN(2)/LN(1.2) N= 0.693/0.182 = 3.8
30 Spreadsheet Solution Use the RATE function: = RATE(N, PMT, PV, FV) = RATE(3, 0, -1, 2) =
31 Exercises Suppose you deposit $150 in an account today and the interest rate is 6 percent p.a.. How much will you have in the account at the end of 33 years? You deposited $15,000 in an account 22 years ago and now the account has $50,000 in it. What was the annual rate of return that you received on this investment? You currently have $38,000 in an account that has been paying 5.75 percent p.a.. You remember that you had opened this account quite some years ago with an initial deposit of $19,000. You forget when the initial deposit was made. How many years (in fractions) ago did you make the initial deposit?
32 Perpetuity 1 Perpetuity: a stream of equal cash flows ( C ) that occur at the end of each period and go on forever. PV of perpetuity =
33 Perpetuity 2 We use the idea of a perpetuity to determine the value of A preferred stock A perpetual debt
34 Perpetuity questions Suppose the value of a perpetuity is $38,900 and the discount rate is 12 percent p.a.. What must be the annual cash flow from this perpetuity? Verify that C = $4,668. An asset that generates $890 per year forever is priced at $6,000. What is the required rate of return? Verify that r = %
35 Ordinary Annuity Ordinary annuity: a cash flow stream where a fixed amount is received at the end of every period for a fixed number of periods.
36 What’s the FV of a 3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%? % FV = 331
37 Have payments but no lump sum PV, so enter 0 for present value N I/YR PMT FVPV INPUTS OUTPUT Financial Calculator Solution
38 Spreadsheet Solution Use the FV function: = FV(I, N, PMT, PV) = FV(0.10, 3, -100, 0) =
39 What’s the PV of this ordinary annuity? % = PV
40 Have payments but no lump sum FV, so enter 0 for future value NI/YR PV PMTFV INPUTS OUTPUT Financial Calculator Solution
41 Spreadsheet Solution Use the PV function: = PV(I, N, PMT, FV) = PV(0.10, 3, 100, 0) =
42 Annuity, find FV You open an account today with $20,000 and at the end of each of the next 15 years, you deposit $2,500 in it. At the end of 15 years, what will be the balance in the account if the interest rate is 7 percent p.a.? PV=-20000, PMT=-2500, N=15, I/Y=7, FV=?
43 Annuity, find I/Y You lend your friend $100,000. He will pay you $12,000 per year for the ten years and a balloon payment at t = 10 of $50,000. What is the interest rate that you are charging your friend? PV=-100,000, FV=50,000, PMT=12,000, N = 10, I/Y=?
44 Annuity, find PMT Next year, you will start to make 35 deposits of $3,000 per year in your Individual Retirement Account (so you will contribute from t=1 to t=35). With the money accumulated at t=35, you will then buy a retirement annuity of 20 years with equal yearly payments from a life insurance company (payments from t=36 to t=55). If the annual rate of return over the entire period is 8%, what will be the annual payment of the annuity?
45 Annuity Due Annuity due: a cash flow stream where a fixed amount is received at the beginning of every period for a fixed number of periods.
46 Ordinary Annuity PMT 0123 I% PMT 0123 I% PMT Annuity Due Ordinary Annuity vs. Annuity Due
47 Ordinary Annuity vs. Annuity Due T = 0 $300 T = 1 $300 T = 2 T = 3 T = 0T = 1 $300 T = 2 T = 3 $300
48 a relationship between ordinary annuity and annuity due? PV of annuity due = (PV of ordinary annuity) x (1 + r) FV of annuity due = (FV of ordinary annuity) x (1 + r)
49 Find the FV and PV if the annuity were an annuity due % 100
50 PV and FV of Annuity Due vs. Ordinary Annuity PV of annuity due: = (PV of ordinary annuity) (1+I) = ($248.69) ( ) = $ FV of annuity due: = (FV of ordinary annuity) (1+I) = ($331.00) ( ) = $364.10
51 PV of Annuity Due: Switch from “End” to “Begin” N I/YR PV PMT FV INPUTS OUTPUT BEGIN Mode
52 FV of Annuity Due: Switch from “End” to “Begin” N I/YRPV PMT FV INPUTS OUTPUT BEGIN Mode
53 Excel Function for Annuities Due Change the formula to: =PV(0.10,3,-100,0,1) The fourth term, 0, tells the function there are no other cash flows. The fifth term tells the function that it is an annuity due. A similar function gives the future value of an annuity due: =FV(0.10,3,-100,0,1)
54 What is the PV of this uneven cash flow stream? % = PV
Solving with Calculator Input cash flows in the calculator’s “CF” register: Press CF key CF 0 = 0, ENTER, C01 = 100, ENTER, F01=1, ENTER, C02 = 300, ENTER, F02=2, ENTER, C03= 50, +/- key, ENTER, F03=1, ENTER, Press NPV key, I = 10, ENTER, press CPT key to get NPV = (Here NPV = PV.) 55
56 Excel Formula in cell A3: =NPV(10%,B2:E2)
57 In-class group project You will need to pay for your son’s private school tuition (first grade through 12th grade) a sum of $8,000 per year for Years 1 through 5, $10,000 per year for Years 6 through 8, and $12,500 per year for Years 9 through 12. Assume that all payments are made at the beginning of the year, that is, tuition for Year 1 is paid now (i.e., at t = 0), tuition for Year 2 is paid one year from now, and so on. In addition to the tuition payments you expect to incur graduation expenses of $2,500 at the end of Year 12. If a bank account can provide a certain 10 percent p.a. rate of return, how much money do you need to deposit today to be able to pay for the above expenses?
58 Nominal rate (I NOM ) Stated in contracts, and quoted by banks and brokers. Not used in calculations or shown on time lines Periods per year (M) must be given. Examples: 8%; Quarterly 8%, Daily interest (365 days)
59 Periodic rate (I PER ) I PER = I NOM /M, where M is number of compounding periods per year. M = 4 for quarterly, 12 for monthly, and 360 or 365 for daily compounding. Used in calculations, shown on time lines. Examples: 8% quarterly: I PER = 8%/4 = 2%. 8% daily (365): I PER = 8%/365 = %.
60 The Impact of Compounding Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or smaller if we compound more often, holding the stated I% constant? Why?
61 The Impact of Compounding (Answer) LARGER! If compounding is more frequent than once a year--for example, semiannually, quarterly, or daily--interest is earned on interest more often.
62 Common examples Compounding period Compounding frequency Six-months / semiannual 2 Quarter4 Month12 Day365
63 When frequency of compounding is more than once a year ‘n’ = number of years ‘m’ = frequency of compounding per year ‘r’ = nominal rate
64 Effective Annual Rate (EAR = EFF%) The EAR is the annual rate that causes PV to grow to the same FV as under multi-period compounding.
65 Effective Annual Rate Example Example: Invest $1 for one year at 12%, semiannual: FV = PV(1 + I NOM /M) M FV = $1 (1.06) 2 = $ EFF% = 12.36%, because $1 invested for one year at 12% semiannual compounding would grow to the same value as $1 invested for one year at 12.36% annual compounding.
66 $100 at a 12% nominal rate with semiannual compounding for 5 years = $100(1.06) 10 = $ I NOM FV N = PV 1 + M M N 0.12 FV 5S = $ x5
67 FV of $100 at a 12% nominal rate for 5 years with different compounding FV(Ann.)= $100(1.12) 5 = $ FV(Semi.)= $100(1.06) 10 = $ FV(Quar.)= $100(1.03) 20 = $ FV(Daily)= $100(1+(0.12/365)) (5x365) = $ How to solve with financial calculator?
68 Comparing Rates An investment with monthly payments is different from one with quarterly payments. Must put on EFF% basis to compare rates of return. Use EFF% only for comparisons. Banks say “interest paid daily.” Same as compounded daily.
69 EFF% = 1 + − 1 I NOM M M EFF% for a nominal rate of 12%, compounded semiannually = 1 + − = (1.06) = = 12.36%.
70 EAR (or EFF%) for a Nominal Rate of of 12% EAR Annual = 12%. EAR Q =( /4) 4 - 1= 12.55%. EAR M =( /12) = 12.68%. EAR D(365) =( /365) = 12.75%.
71 Can the effective rate ever be equal to the nominal rate? Yes, but only if annual compounding is used, i.e., if M = 1. If M > 1, EFF% will always be greater than the nominal rate.
72 When is each rate used? I NOM :Written into contracts, quoted by banks and brokers. Not used in calculations or shown on time lines.
73 I PER :Used in calculations, shown on time lines. If I NOM has annual compounding, then I PER = I NOM /1 = I NOM. When is each rate used? (Continued)
74 When is each rate used? (Continued) EAR (or EFF%): Used to compare returns on investments with different payments per year. Used for calculations if and only if dealing with annuities where payments don’t match interest compounding periods.
75 Annuity with semiannual compounding You would like to accumulate $16,500 over the next 8 years. How much must you deposit every six months, starting six months from now, given a 4 percent per annum rate with semiannual compounding?
76 Loan Amortization Amortization is the process of separating a payment into interest payment and repayment of principal. Amortization schedule is a table that shows how each payment is split into principal repayment and interest payment.
77 Amortization Example 1 Construct an amortization schedule for a $1,000, 10% annual rate loan with 3 equal payments.
PMT % -1, INPUTS OUTPUT N I/Y R PV FV PMT Step 1: Find the required payments.
79 Step 2: Find interest charge for Year 1. INT t = Beg bal t (I) INT 1 = $1,000(0.10) = $100
80 Repmt = PMT - INT = $ $100 = $ Step 3: Find repayment of principal in Year 1.
81 Step 4: Find ending balance after Year 1. End bal= Beg bal - Repmt = $1,000 - $ = $ Repeat these steps for Years 2 and 3 to complete the amortization table.
82 Amortization Table YEAR BEG BALPMTINT PRIN PMT END BAL 1$1,000$402$100$302$ TOT1, ,000
83 Interest declines because outstanding balance declines.
84 Amortization tables are widely used--for home mortgages, auto loans, business loans, retirement plans, and more. They are very important!
85 Example of loan amortization 1 You have borrowed $8,000 from a bank and have promised to repay the loan in five equal yearly payments. The first payment is at the end of the first year. The interest rate is 10 percent. Draw up the amortization schedule for this loan.
86 Example of loan amortization 2 1) Compute periodic payment. PV=8000, N=5, I/Y=10, FV=0, PMT=? Verify that PMT = -2,110.38
87 Example of loan amortization 3 Suppose we want to work out the remaining balance immediately after the 2 nd payment. Press [2ND], [AMORT] to activate the Amortization worksheet in BA II Plus. Press P1=2, [ENTER], , Press P2=2, [ENTER], , You will see BAL=5,248.20
88 Press again and you see the portion of the year 2 payment going towards repaying principal, PRN = -1, Press again and you see the portion of year 2 payment going towards interest, INT = To get out of the Amortization schedule, press [2ND], Quit. Example of loan amortization 4