Presentation on theme: "2005 Full Year Results Presentation Wednesday, 23 November 2005."— Presentation transcript:
2005 Full Year Results Presentation Wednesday, 23 November 2005
Content Full year review and highlights (Andrew Lindberg) Financial performance (Paul Ingleby) Strategy and outlook (Andrew Lindberg)
Full year review and highlights Andrew Lindberg Managing Director, AWB Limited
NPAT before significant items ($m) Production tonnes (m) NPAT before significant items ($m) 2nd Half NPAT before significant items ($m) 1st Half Production (million tonnes) Diversification pays dividends Financial result – year ended 30 September ($m) 20042005Change (%) PBTA184.9184.5(0.2) NPAT before significant items96.9115.319 Reported NPAT96.9157.162.1
Financial highlights from the year AWB demonstrated the effectiveness of its diversification strategy and delivered profit before tax, sale of Futuris shares and amortisation (PBTA) of $184.5 million compared with $184.9 million in the pcp. First time AWB has increased its year on year NPAT (before significant items) when it has received lower year on year wheat volumes. Reported NPAT up 62% on the pcp to $157.1 million. (including the profit on sale of investment in FCL. NPAT before significant items was $115.3 million, up 19% compared to $96.9 million in the pcp. Reported EPS was up 59% to 45.7 cents per share. Final dividend has increased to 13 cents per share fully franked, bringing the total full year dividend to 29 cps, up 16%. Landmark integration targets of $24.5 million achieved since acquisition, against a target of $20-25 million. Landmark, Finance & Risk Management and Pool Management Services all demonstrated strong year on year growth.
Significant developments during the year The Landmark lending book continued its growth to over $1.5 billion, up 41% on the pcp. AWB maintained its leadership position in the harvest finance market with the AWB harvest loan book peaking at $1.1 billion. Deposits increased from $254m to $550m. AWB Group developed its own funding vehicle ‘Rural Trust’ - providing the platform for Landmark loan book growth and strengthened position in agri- finance market. Expansion of international trading in Geneva. Indian trading operations commenced. Establishment of strategic partnership in fertiliser with Elders and WMC Resources (now BHP Billiton), including the acquisition of 33% of Hi-Fert. Pool Management launched their ‘Shaping the Future’ strategy to strengthen their competitiveness in the international wheat market. New offices were opened in Singapore and Beijing. Positioned to move forward with a more integrated business model.
Our scorecard to date 2003200420053 year target EPS (cps)* 16.839.143.5 continual growth ROE (%)* 5.413.613.815 Dividend (cps) 25 29 stable dividend *Before significant items & amortisation of goodwill and software Diversification has made shareholder return less dependent on season downturns
Financial Performance Business Streams Paul Ingleby Chief Financial Officer, AWB Limited
Statement of financial performance AWB Group Summary ($m)Full Year Ended 30 September 2002200320042005 Revenue2,319.62,211.95,344.65,156.5 EBITDA165.393.0261.4251.2 Depreciation and amortisation14.529.883.279.3 EBIT150.863.2178.2171.9 Interest2.3-4.3-31.1-24.6 PBT153.158.9147.1147.3 Tax-45.3-14.7-49.4-31.7 Outside equity interest-0.6-0.3-0.8-0.3 NPAT before significant items107.243.996.9115.3 EPS (¢)39.215.928.833.5 Significant items after tax0.0 41.8 Reported NPAT107.243.996.9157.1 EPS (¢)39.215.928.845.7 Amortisation (goodwill and software) -2.437.837.2 PBTA153.161.3184.9184.5 NPAT before significant items and amortisation of 107.246.3131.5149.5 goodwill and software EPS (¢)39.216.839.143.5 Dividend per share$0.25 $0.29 ROE13.9%5.4%13.6%13.8%
Pool Management Services Pool Management Services contributed an EBIT of $36.3m for the full year, a 11% lift on the pcp. 20mt managed through the 2003/04 Pool and 14.6mt tonnes through the 2004/05 Pool. Total base fee for the 2003/04 Pool was $63.5m. 90% of the base fee for the 2004/05 Pool is now recognised, providing revenue of $58.6m. Costs allocated to Pool Management Services up 3% on the pcp, mainly due to expansion of AWB’s Asian office network and investment in technology and systems. Base fee has been de-linked from Pool value and fixed to the cost of providing services to the Pool. The Out Performance Incentive (OPI) structure is now divided into two tiers. Full Year Ended 30 September ($m) 20042005Change Revenue95.2100.96% EBITDA32.636.311% Depreciation and amortisation 0.0 0% EBIT32.636.311% EBITDA – Pool Management Services EBITDA $m
Grain Acquisition & Trading contributed EBIT of $75.9m, 26% below the pcp, attributed mainly to adverse conditions in the Australian grain trading operations. Expanding international trading business continued to provide favourable trading results and remains a strong platform for the Group. Chartering continued to perform well through trading freight forward agreements (FFA’s) within predetermined limits. More difficult trading and seasonal conditions reduced the contribution from Australian Trading. Livestock trading experienced favourable margins in buoyant market conditions and traded over 65,000 of cattle. Grain Acquisition & Trading Full Year Ended 30 September ($m) 20042005Change Revenue2207.22348.46% EBITDA104.777.9-26% Depreciation and amortisation 1.92.00% EBIT102.875.9-26% EBITDA – Grain Acquisition & Trading EBITDA $m
Supply Chain & Other Investments Full Year Ended 30 September ($m) 20042005Change Revenue108.876.6-30% EBITDA14.56.7-54% Depreciation and amortisation 12.713.20% EBIT1.8(6.5)> -100% Supply Chain & Other Investments incurred an EBIT loss of $6.5m for the year, compared to $1.8m profit in the pcp. Grain Centres experienced competitive pressures and difficult seasonal conditions. Receivals of over 1.3m tonnes were down from over 1.8m tonnes in the pcp. Melbourne Port Terminal (MPT) and overseas investments overall contribution remained steady. MPT’s contribution to the Group decreased compared to the pcp, primarily due to lower throughput volumes for the year. Overseas investments maintained their EBIT contributions at a comparable level to the previous year. EBITDA $m EBITDA – Supply Chain & Other Investments
Finance & Risk Management Products The EBIT contribution from Finance & Risk Management Products was $36.3m for the year, 15% higher than the pcp. AWB’s Harvest Finance market share remains stable, reflecting AWB’s extensive industry expertise. The contribution from Harvest Finance products decreased compared to the pcp mainly due to lower wheat prices and production. AWB’s Risk Management business performed well, mainly attributable to increased activity from the OTC desk in the Portland office. Strong contribution from Treasury Management. Full Year Ended 30 September ($m) 20042005Change Revenue1284.2701.6-45% EBITDA31.736.315% Depreciation and amortisation 0.0 0% EBIT31.736.315% EBITDA $m EBITDA – Finance & Risk Management Products
Landmark Landmark contributed an EBIT of $81.3m for the year, 6% higher than the pcp. Merchandise and fertiliser sales increased by 3% compared with the pcp. Livestock gross profit was comparable to the pcp. Higher cattle prices offset by reduced volumes and lower sheep prices offset by higher volumes. Real Estate sales increased by 5% on the pcp. Increase in prices driven by excellent demand for prime rural property. Wool gross profit was down by 7% on the pcp, primarily due to a reduction in wool prices and a reduction in volumes. Finance gross profit increased on the pcp. 41% increase in the loan book to a balance of $1.6b. Interest bearing deposits increased 86% to $550m. Insurance gross profit increased compared with the pcp. Full Year Ended 30 September ($m) 20042005Change Revenue1646.21682.62% EBITDA93.094.31% Depreciation and amortisation 16.313.00% EBIT76.781.36% EBITDA $m EBITDA – Landmark
Corporate Items Corporate division contributed an EBIT expense of $51.4m, compared with a $67.4m expense in the pcp. Decrease in Corporate overheads mainly due to non-recurring integration and restructuring costs associated with Landmark acquisition incurred in the pcp. Full Year Ended 30 September ($m) 20042005Change Revenue3.0246.4> 100% EBITDA(15.1)(0.3)-98% Depreciation and amortisation 52.351.1-2% EBIT(67.4)(51.4)-24% EBITDA $m EBITDA – Corporate Items 2002200320042005
Statement of financial position Year Ended 30 September ($m)20042005 Cash48.254.2 Working Capital Items535.3611.9 Grower Loan Receivables575.2410.9 Advanced & Deferred Payment Products273.2167.0 Finance Options for Growers848.4577.9 Investments681.0561.1 Property, Plant, and Equipment319.6277.7 Short Term Deposits515.8393.2 Interest Bearing Deposits (Landmark) (304.4) (535.4) Deposits - AWB National Pools (1,108.9) (565.9) Bank Loans (488.8) (257.3) Net Debt (1,386.3) (965.4) Net Assets1,046.21,117.4 Shareholders' Equity1,046.21,117.4
Cashflow Full Year Ended 30 September 2005 ($m)20042005 Profit before tax147.1202.6 Add: depreciation & amortisation83.379.3 Less: profit on sale of n/c assets (5.5) (60.5) Add: other non-cash items (53.9)18.8 170.9240.1 Increase in working capital balances (147.3) (76.6) Finance options for growers (367.4)270.6 Income taxes paid (net)8.7 (63.2) Cash flows from operating activities (335.1)370.9 Payments for pp&e* (net) (19.7) (7.9) Proceeds on sale of investments (net) (32.3)148.7 Proceeds from short term deposits (479.8)122.6 Cash flows from investing activities (531.8)263.4 Proceeds from issues of shares75.78.3 Net decrease in interest bearing liabilities839.2 (543.5) Dividends paid (54.6) (93.1) Cash flows from financing activities860.3 (628.3) Net increase / (decrease) in cash held (6.6)6.0 *property, plant & equipment
Capital expenditure ($m)Full Year Ended 30 SeptemberChange 20042005% Grain Centres construction1.97.2279% System development & other plant & equipment25.130.0020% New building costs8.50.0-100% Total35.537.25% Depreciation and amortisation *56.251.2-9% * excludes goodwill amortisation
A-IFRS impact First A-IFRS compliant reporting will be 31 March 2006 Project to manage transition has been completed and remaining tasks have been transferred to existing functional areas AWB expects to fully comply Major impacts: –Goodwill amortisation replaced by impairment testing –Grain centres reduced carrying value on transition –Expense share based payments –No hedge accounting for derivatives –Grain trading inventory at fair value
A-IFRS Analysis - High Impact AASB RefDescriptionImpact AASB 1First Time adoption – elections available Grain centre plant and equipment at fair value (see also AASB 136) No AASB 139 comparatives. No AASB 3 re-opening of business combinations No AASB 121 transfer of cumulative translation differences to opening retained earnings. AASB 2Expensing share based payments Black Scholes modelling of executive performance rights with 4 year amortisation period – used for current AASB 1046 compliance. Other schemes expensed as incurred. Loan schemes currently an IFRIC issue, however treatment as a financial instrument is preferred. AASB 136Goodwill impairment testing30 September 2004 carrying value supported by impairment testing at 30 September 2005. 2005 amortisation entries will be reversed for A-IFRS comparatives. AASB 136Grain centre impairment testingUse of discounted expected future cash flows from grain centre assets will result in recognition of lower carrying value on transition. AASB 102InventoriesFull P&L for trading businesses as inventory standard is not applicable to commodity traders (fair value less costs to sell permitted). Landmark inventory remains lower of cost or net realisable value. AASB 139Derivative HedgesNo hedge accounting sought. Full P&L given onerous documentation and transaction matching requirements combined with complimentary treatment of inventory and forwards
A-IFRS financial impact Sept 2005 Impact$'000 Share Based PaymentsNegative Increase in operating expenses2,154 Reduction in opening equity226 Increase in equity reserves2,380 Business CombinationsPositive Reduction in operating expenses27,190 Property, Plant and EquipmentNegative Reduction in P, P&E30,658 Reduction in opening equity30,658 Reduction in depreciation expense2,725 Software Development reclassifiedNeutral Increase in intangible assets47,225 Reduction in P, P&E47,225
Strategy and outlook Andrew Lindberg Managing Director, AWB Limited
Landmark back office integration complete 1. Customer Management 2. Product Development 3. Channel Strategy Channel management to optimise AWB-Landmark’s combined distribution network Integrated customer management developed across the distribution network combining systems and processes to better understand and serve our customers Back office integration is complete, our focus has shifted to implementation of the IBM New products and bundles being developed incorporating products from across Landmark and AWB range to better meet our customers needs Integration Integrated Business Model “generating new revenue growth opportunities”
Looking forward… AWB’s strategy is to be Australia’s leading agribusiness through becoming the ‘business partner of choice’ for primary producers and end customers Execution of this vision will enable AWB to deliver its financial objectives of: –Strengthening core business. –Growing and diversifying to improve the quality of the earnings and reducing the share of ‘Pool’ based earnings.
Looking forward… In the medium term, AWB expects to be less reliant on Pool and Pool related earnings. AWB will achieve its financial objectives by working towards substantial growth in the following three segments: Rural Services Commodity Management Financial Services People and Capability
Commodity Management How will we achieve our financial objectives? Diversification into select profitable segments (eg livestock, other origin grains) and niche assets. Expansion and diversification of the international trading network. What we’ve done this year… Our international presence has continued to grow with the recent opening of an AWB office in New Delhi. Livestock trading is now fully integrated into the AWB Group.
Financial Services How will we achieve our financial objectives? Growing the lending and insurance business. Moving into selected new products and services. What we’ve done this year… Developed our own funding vehicle ‘Rural Trust’ for the lending business. Recently launched a new set of price risk management products. Released new harvest finance products.
Rural Services How will we achieve our financial objectives? Optimising network operations. Growing merchandise, fertiliser and real estate. Retaining market share and managing profitability in livestock and wool. What we’ve done this year… Established strategic partnership in Fertiliser, including the acquisition of 33% of Hi-Fert. Further growth targeted in the rural residential sector. Landmark back office integration completed, focus now on implementation of the integrated business model.
Outlook – Commodity Management AWB’s 2005/06 forecast for domestic wheat production is 23-25m tonnes World wheat production in 2005/06 is estimated to be around 608m tonnes, around 17m tonnes less than the previous season. Global wheat consumption will continue to increase and remain ahead of world production (2005/06 consumption forecast is 619mt) AUD is expected to weaken against the US into late 2005 and early 2006 Continued offshore expansion within the Group is expected. 440 490 540 590 640 92/9393/9494/9595/9696/9797/9898/9999/00 2000/012001/022002/032003/042004/05 2005/06F Tonnes (million) World ProductionWorld Consumption World Wheat Production & Consumption
Outlook – Financial Services Landmark remains a genuine alternative to the banks, with complete lending solutions offered through the Group’s recently established ‘Rural Trust.’ Lending growth for the last year was well above the industry trend and that growth is expected to continue going forward.
Outlook – Rural Services Australian beef exports remain strong and are still benefiting from the absence of US and Canadian beef exporters in our traditional markets. Some potential for softening of livestock prices when the US regains market access into the Korean and Japanese markets. Merchandise and fertiliser looks promising with good seasonal conditions also supported by Landmark business set to benefit from synergy benefits. In the Real Estate market, property prices are expected to ease after a strong two years. Wool prices are expected to remain flat in the short term, as they remain highly sensitive to the AUD/USD exchange rate.
Outlook – AWB Group profit for 2006 AWB is expecting pre tax profits to be around 10% higher than this year’s PBTA of $184.5 million, subject to normal seasonal and operating conditions. A more robust business platform and improvements in key market drivers will support the lift.