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H:90 L:61 VIS 3-5 FG LUM: 98% Aft 09c 5-7 HZ SR:0700 NW-N 5-10 KT SS:1700 ROAD WARRIOR RESOLUTE 8 APR 2005 SOUTHERN IRAQ UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO RECENT ACTIVITY.

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Presentation on theme: "H:90 L:61 VIS 3-5 FG LUM: 98% Aft 09c 5-7 HZ SR:0700 NW-N 5-10 KT SS:1700 ROAD WARRIOR RESOLUTE 8 APR 2005 SOUTHERN IRAQ UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO RECENT ACTIVITY."— Presentation transcript:

1 H:90 L:61 VIS 3-5 FG LUM: 98% Aft 09c 5-7 HZ SR:0700 NW-N 5-10 KT SS:1700 ROAD WARRIOR RESOLUTE 8 APR 2005 SOUTHERN IRAQ UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO RECENT ACTIVITY 1)No Activity to report FOG DUST Smoke UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO 1 Key Blue represents 7 th Group attacks. HAZE DUST

2 H:86 L:57 VIS 3-5 FG LUM: 98% Aft 09c 5-7 HZ SR:0700 NW-N 5-10 KT SS:1700 ROAD WARRIOR RESOLUTE 8 APR 2005 BAGHDAD UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO RECENT ACTIVITY 1)7April-1015, IED found and cleared by a patrol in Baghdad MB )7April-1230, SAF attack on a TCP in Baghdad MB FOG UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO FOG Dust HAZE DUST

3 H:84 L:55 VIS 3-5 FG LUM: 98% Aft 09c 5-7 HZ SR:0700 NW-N 5-10 KT SS: ROAD WARRIOR RESOLUTE 8 APR 2005 CENTRAL IRAQ UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO RECENT ACTIVITY 1)7April-1419, IED attack on a patrol MB )7April-1138, IED found and cleared by a patrol MB )7April-1015, IED found and cleared by a patrol in Baghdad MB )7April-1023, IED attack on a patrol in Ramadi LB )7April-0743, IED attack on a patrol in Baghdad MC )7April-1016, IED found and cleared by a patrol in Baqubah MC )7April-0623, Indirect fire attack on a base in Baqubah MC FOG HAZE UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO 2 FOG Dust DUST

4 RECENT ACTIVITY 1)7April-0616, Indirect fire attack on a base in Bayji LD )7April-0750, IED attack on a patrol LE )7April-1133, IED found and cleared by a patrol in Hawija LE )7April-0953, Indirect fire attack in Kirkuk ME )7April-1220, Indirect fire attack on a base in Kirkuk ME )7April-1142, IED found and cleared by a patrol in Kirkuk ME )7April-1105, SAF attack on a patrol in Mosul LF )7April-1257, SVBIED attack on a patrol in Mosul LF )7April-0947, VBIED attack on a patrol in Tall Afar KF )7April-1343, Indirect fire attack on a base in Tall Afar KF H:70 L:44 VIS 3-5 FG LUM: 98% Aft 09c 5-7 HZ SR:0700 NW-N 5-10 KT SS:1700 UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO FOG HAZE FOG Smoke UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO 2 17 ROAD WARRIOR RESOLUTE 8 APR 2005 NORTHERN IRAQ UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO HAZE HAZE

5 H:83 L:58 VIS 3-5 FG LUM: 98% Aft 09c 5-7 HZ SR:0700 NW-N 5-10 KT SS:1700 ROAD WARRIOR RESOLUTE 8 APR 2005 KUWAIT FPCON:C+ ARMING STANCE NTV:AMBER BUS:AMBER TACT:AMBER ALL HVT/BUS ESCORT=AMBER RECENT ACTIVITY 1)No activity to report UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO FOG DUST FOG UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO DUST HAZE

6 Date 08 Apr FRI 09 Apr SAT 10 Apr SUN 11 Apr MONNORTH HILO HI / LO 75 / 52 WEST HILO HI / LO 84 / 5588/ 55 EAST HI / LO 86 / 57 SOUTH HI / LO 90 / 61 FOG DUST C = Ceiling V = Visibility TS = Thunderstorm R = Rain W = Wind T = Temperature FZ = Freezing Precip FOG DUST Baghdad Mosul AM FOG Smoke UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO 4 Day Weather Forecast 4 Day Weather Forecast AM FOG HAZE 72 / / / / / / 5789 / / 54 89/ / 50 Dust Haze Dust Haze Dust Haze Dust Haze

7 REGIONAL ASSESSMENTS: (S//REL MCFI) SOUTHERN IRAQ: With the Bridge on MSR Tampa closed until June ASR Circle will become more dangerous. Expect convoy harassment and criminal activity. BAGHDAD: Craters caused by IEDs have restricted movement on ASR Sword. Check points on MSR Tampa south of Baghdad have seen an increase in IED activity. Attack on Abu Ghurayb prison near ASR Sword/MSR Mobile intersection. CENTRAL IRAQ: There will be an increase in civilians traveling on foot on ASR Jackson and ASR Miami due to their religious pilgrimage. Salman Pak is becoming more of a threat, ASR Detroit will become more dangerous because insurgents are becoming more aggressive in attacking convoys in the area with SAF and multiple IEDs. NORTHERN IRAQ: Samarra, Mosul, Tikrit, and Kirkuk continue to be the focal points of insurgent attacks. Kurdish political groups were not happy about the election results and have been pushing for a separatist movement. UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

8 3 DAY ATTACK ROLLUP SOUTHERN IRAQ: (First Map) Expect increased attacks on ASR Circle near Safwan. As you cross the border, you skirt the edge of the town of Safwan. From Safwan to Scania mostly criminal activities and hijackings. 0 IED attacks 1 Direct Fire attack 0 Indirect Fire attacks. BAGHDAD: (Second Map) Expect attacks to increase near Salman Pak. This is a HOT SPOT. 4 IED attacks 2 Direct Fire attacks 0 Indirect Fire attacks CENTRAL: (Third Map) Expect to see an increase in VBIEDs in Ramadi HOT SPOTS: Taji, Balad, Fallujah, Ar Ramadi and BaQubah 8 IED attacks 0 Direct fire attacks 1 Indirect fire attacks NORTHERN IRAQ: (Fourth Map) Expect increased attacks in Mosul, and Samarra. HOT SPOTS: Tikrit, Kirkuk, Samarra, and Mosul. This is a NEW HOT SPOT. 14 IED attacks 8 Direct fire attacks 8 Indirect fire attacks UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

9 AT LEAST 300 INSURGENTS INTEND TO ATTACK AGIF BETWEEN 07 APRIL 2005 AND 09 APRIL THE INSURGENTS GROUP CONDUCTING THE ATTACK IS PRIMARILY SAUDI. IT IS UNKNOWN WHO IS SPONSORING THE ATTACK. THE INSURGENTS WILL MOVE INTO KHANDARI AT THE EARLIEST POSSIBLE OPPORTUNITY. IF UNABLE TO MOVE INTO THE TOWN BEFORE THE DEMONSTRATION TAKES PLACE, THE INSURGENTS WILL TRAVEL TO AGIF BY CONCEALING THEMSELVES WITHIN THE DEMONSTRATION. EXPECT THE INSURGENTS TO ATTACK WITH SMALL ARMS, RPG'S, GRENADES, AND MORTARS. THE INSURGENTS WOULD ALSO LIKE TO USE VEHICLES TO CONSTRUCT VBIEDS. Current threat advisory UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

10 Current enemy TTPs Booby trapping dead bodies Suicide bombers with ball bearing filled vests. Using road crews to emplace IEDs, poss along major routes used by MNF. Rocket attacks including 57mm, 107mm, and 122mm improvised firings. AIF utilizing vehicles as mobile caches to avoid MNF C&S/Raids and possibly to establish pre-arranged munitions and weapons for planned operations. AIF increasingly using complex attacks against MNF incorporating various methods of attack. AIF resorting to drive-by shooting, sniper attacks and use SAF suppressors to conceal flash-to-bang noise and decrease delectability. AIF using concrete encased IEDs to blend in with natural surroundings. Rapid emplacement of firing mechanisms into IEDs IOT allow the IED to be in place while unarmed. Use of multiple IEDs placed in the same vicinity designed to be detonated simultaneously or separately to attack convoys based on estimated spacing intervals between CF vehicles. Use of command wire detonated mobile rocket platforms in the form of donkey carts. The rockets are being stored on top of and below the cart. Insurgents continuing to target specially trained personnel (EOD) with stacked IEDs, secondary explosions, or SAF. Distribution of DVDs and video-CDs of beheadings to both recruit and threaten the Mosul populace. Using part of the Warlock antenna (perhaps other military equipment) as an IED. The AIF has taken a piece of the Warlock antenna and attached it to the explosive which is buried. The two are attached with wire and when a soldier picks up the equipment the wires detonate the explosive. VBIED attacks on camps followed by mortar fire and small arms fire. General increase in VBIED activity in the last 30 days. UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

11 MSR/ASR BREAKDOWN TAMPA 21 DOVER 6 DETROIT 7 VANESSA 1 CHERRY 5 PEPPER 2 MILTON 1 CHEYENNE 3 TACO 3 CLEMSON 2 GOLDEN 1 DENI 3 HERSHEY 1 GRAPE1 HEATHER1 LINDA1 TRANS AM2 MANDY1 GINGER1 PRUNE1 Information for this analysis came from MNF-I database of SIGACTs TOTAL: 234 DETONATIONS: 112 DISCOVERIES: IED EVENTS ON MSRs/ASRs 30 DAY IED BREAKDOWN on MSRs/ASRs UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

12 CONCEALED IN 5 GARBAGE BAGS 2 DIRT MOUND 1 CONCRETE 1 SAND BAGS 1 ANIMAL CARCASS 1 METAL BOX 1 EMBEDDED IN ROAD LOCATION OF DETONATION 2 FIRST VEHICLE 2 SECOND VEHICLE 2 THIRD VEHICLE 1 TRAIL VEHICLE 1 DETONATED AFTER CONVOY PASSED COMPLEX ATTACKS 14 SAF WITH IED (1using RPG) 11 SECOND IED FOUND 9 DAISY CHAIN IED 3 THIRD IED FOUND 3 THROWN FROM VEHICLE 2 BAIT IED RECAP OF TTPs IED EMPLACEMENT 9 SHOULDER OF ROAD 6 TRAFFIC CIRCLE 2 MEDIAN 1 CULVERT 2 DITCH 2 SURFACE LAID 2 BRIDGE 1 BURRIED UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

13 MUNITIONS USED 155MM MM 9 130MM 7 125MM 2 122MM 2 120MM MM 5 100MM 0 80MM 1 82MM 7 76MM 1 60MM 2 57MM 0 LAND MINE 5 PROPELLENT 3 ROCKET 3 PE-4 2 RPG 2 GRENADE 1 SMOKE ROUND 1 FIRE EXT 1 TNT 1 HE (10-15LBS) 1 IED BREAKDOWN UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

14 MNF-W VBIED Activity 9 VBIEDS Jan-Present MNB-NW VBIED Activity 58 VBIEDS Jan-Present MND-NC VBIED Activity 24 VBIEDS Jan-Present MND-Baghdad VBIED Activity 27 VBIEDS Jan-Present MND-CS VBIED Activity 6 VBIEDS Jan-Present MND-SE VBIED Activity 6 VBIEDS Jan-Present UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

15 Significant dates: 08 AprilFoundation of Iraqi Baath Party 09 AprilAnniversary of Baghdad falling to MNF (Declared a National Holiday) 28 AprilSaddam Husseins birthday UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO


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