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Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team.

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Presentation on theme: "Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team."— Presentation transcript:

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2 Update on CSF Pupil Forecasts April 2009 Pauline Davis County Planning Manager School Planning Team

3 Lack of willingness to engage with SW Herts group indicated by group’s need to to go and meet them at County Hall, Hertford.

4 Hertfordshire County Council circa 180 (10%)

5 Unclear what this includes (e.g. Does it include applicants from Bucks, Hillingdon, etc.). What has been used to forecast (overoptimistic central government predictions [e.g. Open an already too small M25], net migration of school applicants across county boundaries, etc)? Approximately 180 or 10% increase from 2009/10 forecast. So what are Herts CC going to do now in advance of this predicted problem?

6 Update On Secondary Transfer for Admission September 2009 Following Meeting with Croxley Green Parents Group Hertfordshire County Council Sarah Vize Senior Manager Admissions and Transport

7 Junior council officer indicates little Herts CC desire to engage.

8 Allocation Profile 2009: Three Rivers District (allocation day) Hertfordshire County Council Parish, Unparished Area or Town of Pupil Residence Number of Applicants Number allocated a Ranked School Number allocated a Non- Ranked School % allocated a Ranked School Abbots Langley % Chorleywood % Croxley Green % Rickmansworth (part) / Maple Cross % Sarratt % Watford Rural % Total for 3 Rivers District % Total for Watford District % Total for Hertfordshire children %

9 Rickmansworth/Maple Cross, Sarratt, Watford rural all lowest - especially low in comparison to County average. 914 Herts children did not get choice: 400 of these were in Watford and 3 Rivers (2 of 10 Herts districts) out-of-county go places.

10 Breakdown of allocations by Parish for Rickmansworth, St Clement Danes, St Joan of Arc and Westfield schools Hertfordshire County Council School Allocations to school as at Allocation Day 2009 by Parish of Pupil Residence Croxley Green Parish Elsewhere in Three Rivers District Watford Borough Outside Three Rivers District and Watford Borough Total Number% Rickmansworth School %185 St Clement Danes School %208 St Joan of Arc Catholic School %210 Westfield Community Technology College 65 (22%)123 (41%)109 (36%)3 (1%)1%300

11 188 Croxley Green and 3 Rivers total is more than 109 Watford!

12 Travel to Schools Hertfordshire County Council All pupils living in Croxley Green allocated Westfield CTC live within 2 miles of the school. There are several routes running from Rickmansworth, and spare seats can be purchased. Also, there are several local buses and by purchasing a Savercard, pupils will be able access travel to school in this way. Area Average Distance to Allocated School in Miles AllRankedNon-RankedAllRankedNon-Ranked Three Rivers District Watford Borough Hertfordshire

13 Give distance to Westfield from St. Peters school.

14 Croxley Green – 2009 admissions 183 Croxley Green parish places - School Allocated OfferedCI Rounds 1 and 2 Ranked Non Ranked Ranked Non Ranked Chesham High School1 1 Independent school01 Loreto College1 1 Queen Elizabeth's School, Barnet2 2 Queens' School2 1 Rickmansworth School69 74 St Clement Danes School9 9 St Joan of Arc Catholic School19 18 Watford Grammar School for Boys12 Watford Grammar School for Girls3 3 Westfield Community Technology College

15 No change between Continuing Interest Rounds 1 and 2. Only way to guarantee a place is to choose Westfields. But: Out-of-county get priority over Herts if they have ranked a Herts community school and Herts applicants have not.

16 Croxley Green – 2009 admissions Preference of Allocation Number of Children Continuing Interest 2 1st Preference nd Preference2524 3rd Preference2522 Non Ranked Allocation2926 As at allocation day, the breakdown of the 183 pupils resident in Croxley Green parish by preference of their allocated school was:

17 Croxley Green – 2009 admissions Hertfordshire County Council This year, the cohort from the maintained schools in Croxley Green totals 172, and this includes the following cohort sizes: 52 York Mead School, 90 Little Green Junior, and 30 Harvey Road. 183 Croxley Green applicants => 11 other applicants (private- or home-schooled, etc.?)

18 How many places were offered at each school? The allocations as at National Allocation Day, 2 March 2009 were as follows: Hertfordshire County Council SchoolNumber Allocated Number Accepted Published Admissions Bushey Hall Francis Combe Westfield Total

19 Westfields: 3 school forms allocated (300) more than Published (210). If forecast is correct, this will increase by 10-11% or 30 allocations (i.e. another form). Why cannot this extra capacity be provided in Rickmansworth/Maple Cross or Croxley Green?

20 How many people have accepted? Currently there are 186 families who have not responded to the offer of a place at these schools. We are continuing to liaise with these parents and provide support concerning the acceptance or rejection of the places offered. We have met our duty in offering a local school place to these children. Hertfordshire County Council

21 This Herts CC belief that it has provided its obligation is reinforced by following slide’s performance measurements.

22 In the second round of allocations, how many places have been offered out in the other nine schools? Hertfordshire County Council The total number of NRAs for Three Rivers District Council has decreased from 204 to 182 (a decrease of 10.78%) and the total number of NRAs for pupils who originally ranked their nearest secondary school has decreased from 80 to 74 (a decrease of 7.5%). The satisfaction level for Three Rivers has increased from 81.57% at allocation day to 83.60% post CI 1. The total number of NRAs for Watford has also decreased from 193 to 183 (a decrease of 5.18%). The satisfaction level for Watford has increased from 81.65% at allocation day to 82.70% post CI 1. Putting People First – 2004 Provide community groups with the knowledge and Understanding of how the County Council operates to enable participation in the service development and improvement. Our aim is to remove barriers to participation and develop improved ways of consulting where this is necessary so that groups can be fully involved in consultation processes. Putting People First – 2004 We believe in openness and equality in our dealings with each other and in the way we provide services to members of the community. Every individual is entitled to dignity and respect. Care for the users of our services goes hand in hand with care for our employees. We aim to ensure that all groups and individuals within the community are given full opportunity to benefit from the services and job opportunities we provide.

23 Summary of NRAs post CI 1 Hertfordshire County Council District Council Area Parish Allocation DayCI Round 1CI Round 2 Pupils allocated a non-ranked school Pupils who originally ranked their nearest school allocated a non-ranked school Pupils allocated a non-ranked school Pupils who originally ranked their nearest school allocated a non-ranked school Pupils allocated a non-ranked school Pupils who originally ranked their nearest school allocated a non-ranked school Three Rivers District Abbots Langley Chorleywood Croxley Green Rickmansworth (part) / Maple Cross Sarratt Watford Rural Total for District Watford District Watford Total for District

24 Little change between Continuing Interest Rounds 1 and 2.

25 How many parents are appealing? There have been no appeals logged for Francis Combe or Westfield. As Bushey Hall is a Foundation school we do not have details of any appeals that may have been logged. Hertfordshire County Council

26 Transport to Westfield Community Technology College To arrive at 8.15am: 7.47 am - bus 6a goes from Croxley Green, Sherborne Way. Arrives at Watford Hagden Lane at There is then an 8-10 minute walk to the school am - bus 830 goes from Croxley Green, Metropolitan Station. Arrives at Watford Hagden Lane at 8.06 am - again an 8-10 minute walk to the school. To arrive at 10am: 9.25am - there is a no.6 bus that goes from Barton Way, Croxley Green arriving at Watford Hagden Lane at 9.32am. There is then an 8-10 minute walk to the school am - there is a no.5 bus that goes from Barton Way, Croxley Green arriving at Watford Hagden Lane at 9.45am -10 minute walk to the school. Return child fare - £1.25. Child 28 day pass - £35.

27 Any questions? Hertfordshire County Council

28 Thank you Hertfordshire County Council


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