Introduction Desire to improve the accuracy/appropriateness of higher level skills course development Difference between LM Information and LM Intelligence Complexity of the London Story Changing labour market Work with UKCES and the key sectors’ report (AJ) Focus Group contribution (Appendix C) The preparation of a web-based Staff Guide or toolkit Conclusion and what next?
UKCES: 4 Key Labour Market Assessments National Strategic Skills Audit for England, Skills for Jobs: Today and Tomorrow 2010 UK Commission’s Employer Skills Survey 2012 Employer Perspectives Survey 2012 Working Futures 2012
UKCES: Key Findings of first 3 reports Expansion in jobs: most likely within higher skilled occupations (managers, professionals, associate professional & technical occupations) Skills shortage vacancies: professionals and associate professionals, skilled trades ‘Replacement demand’ is a key factor Under-employment: employees not fully utilising their skills is an issue Work readiness of education leavers: college v school leavers Workforce Development Apprenticeships
UKCES: Working Futures - Key Findings The working age population is projected to increase by 10% between 2010 and 2020 in London and London’s labour force predicted to grow by a third of a million. Unemployment is projected to decline, with the largest decline in London, where the number unemployed will be a quarter lower in 2020 than in 2010. Higher level occupations expected to show the most significant increases in employment over the next decade Replacement demands will lead to job openings for all industries and occupations including those in which the net level of employment is expected to decline significantly.
Future employment needs - Where will the growth come from in London? Projected UK employment change by sector (% change) in London and England between 2010-2020 Change (‘000s) -13 -137 -7 -80 3 -5 21 194 73 329 279 1,083 Sector Manufacturing Non-market Services Primary Sector & Utilities Construction Trade accommodation & transport Business & other services 7 (Source: Working Futures) % change London England
UKCES: Working Futures: Occupational Prospects 10 Net Job Openings (‘000s) Occupation Managers Professional Associate Professional Admin & Secretarial Skilled trades Caring, Leisure etc Sales Operatives Elementary 327 663 464 143 131 169 106 65 170 Projected England Job Openings 2010-2020 Job Creation Replacement Demand (Source: Working Futures)
We decided that without some acknowledgement of the considerable differences between local boroughs the report would not be helpful We studied data on Barking and Dagenham, Kensington and Chelsea and Camden – see report We hope this illustrates the diverse nature of London and the need to communicate regularly with the Inward Investment and Enterprise Teams in your locality Local Borough Study – 3 Boroughs
This is work in progress – paper copies available It has been informed by our work and research, and the recommendations of the focus group It needs to be updated and kept ‘live’ We hope you find it useful internally with your staff and suggestions for improvements are welcome Linking London will be responsible for uploading and updating the guide on our website www.linkinglondon.ac.uk and by linking through to IT at the AOC London.www.linkinglondon.ac.uk The web based staff guide
HEADLINES ‘Boom time as London drives recovery in UK’ – 17 th May 2013 ‘Our economy’s problem isn’t the dominance of finance – it’s the dominance of London’ – 26 th May 2013
Conclusion We are emerging from a ‘steady state’ of affairs 11% of HE in FE Progression to HE slightly declining
Conclusion Our work on this project BLP has taught us several things: Data is out there, but complex and often aspirational We will continue to work with UKCES and urge you to do the same (£4m) Local is very important and regular contact with local council critical Toolkit will be kept ‘live’ so please contribute Professional and managerial demand will continue Begs the development of core and optional modules Government needs an industrial strategy * It’s time for a change – for FECs to refresh their own higher level skills strategy We’re here to help!!