8 Effect of a pandemic in NSW - clinical capacity (assumes three month pandemic and 35 per cent attack rate) Expected hospitalisations Expected patients requiring mech. ventilation Inter-pandemic period325 0006 500 Mild pandemic (Hong Kong pandemic) 352 000 (8% )9 800 (50% ) Severe pandemic (Spanish influenza pandemic) 549 000 (70% )34 400 (430% )
9 Pandemic response Surveillance Containment Quarantine Act, 1908 Border control Social distancing Quarantine (contacts) and isolation (cases) Infection control Antivirals Immunisation Maintenance of health services
10 Vaccination program StartFinish Why contain?
11 Preparedness to date Area Pandemic Planning Executive - Coordination of plans for all areas and facilities (2007) Workforce Planning - Modelling the impact - The challenge of surge and business continuity Critical service identification Workforce profile & competencies Secondary workforce mapping to competencies Workshop 3 April 2008 - Health care worker perception survey
13 Corporate Public health OC&L Mental Health MWDU Nursing & Midwifery. Allied Health BioComms Clinical Operations HR PI Workforce Taskforce Comms Working Group Bio Nursing & Midwifery Working Group Allied Health Working Group MWDU Working Group Corporate PI Exec Mgt Comm. Clinical Operations PI Exec Mgt Comm. Mental Health Working Group OC&L Working Group Public health Working Group HR WG HNEH Pandemic Executive Workforce Planning & Development Unit Support PI Workforce Taskforce Structure
14 Preparedness to date Pandemic exercises Exercise Ring O’ Rosies (March 2008) Exercise Forest Gump (Sept 2008) – each ED/MPS, public health surveillance surge, community enquiries