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Stock analysis British Telecommunications and British Petroleum.

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Presentation on theme: "Stock analysis British Telecommunications and British Petroleum."— Presentation transcript:

1 Stock analysis British Telecommunications and British Petroleum

2 Stock prices British Telecommunications and British Petroleum Dot-com bubble

3 Return British Telecommunications and excess market return British Telecommunications Mean0,002338 Kurtosis1,822862 Skewness-0,69309 Var0,006586 SD0,081157

4 Return British Petroleum and excess market return British Petroleum Mean0,004837 Kurtosis4,452819 Skewness-0,99296 Var0,004735 SD0,068808

5 Return British Petroleum and excess market return 01/1997 – 12/1999 (bull market) whole sample regression R^20,412791 standart error of the slope0,059692 beta0,919617 intercept0,005352

6 Return British Telecommunications and excess market return 6/1999 – 12/2003 (bear market) whole sample regression R^20,353851 standart error of the slope0,073868 beta1,004233 intercept0,002901

7 Conclusion Both stocks have a negative skewness, i.e. greater-than- normal probability of big negative returns Both stocks have a beta close to 1, i.e. neither aggressive nor defensive stocks (but BT more aggressive than BP) Both regressions have a low R^2, i.e. bad fit of the OLS Regression


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