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Addressing the Low Carbon Skills Challenge (16.03.11) Phil Ford : Skills Strategy Manager.

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Presentation on theme: "Addressing the Low Carbon Skills Challenge (16.03.11) Phil Ford : Skills Strategy Manager."— Presentation transcript:

1 Addressing the Low Carbon Skills Challenge (16.03.11) Phil Ford : Skills Strategy Manager

2 Page 2 The prospects for construction in Scotland ●According to latest ONS data construction output in Scotland in the first half of 2010 was 11% up on the previous half year and 8% above the same period of 2009 in current prices ●The strongest sectors in the first half of 2010 were infrastructure, public non-residential and industrial construction, the last albeit from a very low base ●New orders were also stronger in the first half of the year than they have been for a while – up by 23% compared with the previous half year and 10% compared with the first half of 2009 ●Other evidence on the strength of construction in Scotland is more mixed. The Experian monthly survey of activity shows an index of under 50 for March to July, indicating falling activity, although it did go over 50 for August and September. The FMB’s activity balance for Scotland has remained negative throughout 2010 so far

3 Page 3 Output in Scotland

4 Page 4 Long term trends in Scottish construction

5 Page 5 Employment forecasts for Scotland

6 Page 6 Annual recruitment requirement for Scotland

7 Page 7 Regional/devolved nation comparisons – output and employment Average annual output growth rate, %, 2011-2015 Total employment growth rate, %, 2011-2015 UK average

8 Page 8 “ No one should underestimate the sheer scale of the opportunity the transition to a low carbon economy will offer the construction industry. The requirement for low carbon construction is probably the biggest change management programme that the industry has faced since Victorian times." Government's chief construction adviser Paul Morrell: March 2010

9 Page 9 Low Carbon Timeline - Scotland 12.5% CO2 reduction targets for UK 50% waste recycled and composted. 14% waste used for energy and 36% waste to landfill Fuel poverty to be eradicated as far as possible Phased zero net carbon emissions - space heating, hot water, lighting and ventilation by 2016-17 Policies/Drivers 2012 2013 2016 Deadlines 42% reduction in CO2 emissions 80% renewable generation 11% heat generated from renewable sources 60% waste recycled and composted 25% waste used for energy and 15% waste to landfill 2020 Renewables Action Plan 31% energy generated from a renewable source 70% waste recycled and composted 25% waste used for energy and 5% to landfill 2011 2025 Fuel Poverty Zero Carbon Climate Change Act Renewables AP Renewable Heat AP Zero Waste Plan Kyoto Protocol – Interim Targets Outcome

10 Page 10 Other Drivers for Change ●Policy/Regulation –Energy Efficiency Action Plan –Scottish Building Regulations –Low Carbon Economic Strategy –Sustainable Procurement Action Plan –Green Deal ●Electricity/gas prices increasing – North Sea Grid ●Feed in Tariffs/Renewable Heat Incentive ●Technology - Pace of change with new products and processes ●Social/community considerations in new developments

11 Page 11 Impact on Skills 5 Broad Areas of Focus: –Microgeneration – solar, PV, wind, biomass, heat pumps –Macro generation – hydro, wave, tidal, wind –Energy Efficiency – retrofit/building fabric –Innovative Methods of Construction – offsite manufacture, new technologies/materials, lean construction etc) –Waste Areas of skills impact: –Qualifications (Modern Apprenticeships, SVQs etc) and multi-skilling –Accreditation Schemes and recognition of competence –Flexible delivery models

12 Page 12 Key Questions ●What is the current and future demand for low carbon skills, training and qualifications? ●What is the current and future required capacity within the supply side to deliver these low carbon skills? ●What actions need to be taken in the short, medium and long term to balance the demand and supply equation?

13 Page 13 Measures and Installers – who does what? Measure Trade Cavity Wall InsulationInsulation Installers Loft Insulation Solid Wall Insulation (internal or external) Fuel switching and heating controlsElectrical trades and installation GlazingGlaziers Boiler UpgradePlumbing, Heating and Air conditioning trades Solar Water Heating Biomass Boilers Air Source Heat Pump Ground Source Heat Pump Micro wind and micro hydroElectrical trades and installation

14 Page 14 Potential Number of Homes benefiting from various measures Measure Realistic Potential (no. of homes - '000) Cavity Wall Insulation625 Loft Insulation1,550 Solid Wall Insulation (internal or external)460 Short-term Upgrade2,235 Glazing500 Boiler Upgrade1,588 Solar Water Heating1,870 Biomass Boilers200 Air Source Heat Pump290 Ground Source Heat Pump30 Reduced Energy Behaviour2,585 Source: Consultation on the energy efficiency action plan for Scotland, October 2009

15 Page 15 Total number of FTE equivalent jobs estimated to be linked to energy efficiency and micro generation measures in Scotland, 2010-2020

16 Page 16 Potential Training Demand for Solid Wall Insulation: 2010 – 2020 Source: ConstructionSkills

17 Page 17 Impact on Qualifications Fusion Offsite Activity Modern Methods 2000-2008 Built Heritage Pre 1919 Traditional Construction 1920 - 2000 UK Contractors Group Large regional Bldg contractors Civil Engineering Contractors Big SMEs and R&M Specialist Contractors Industry Activity Training and quals Qualifications Apprentices New credit system to meet changing needs ConstructionSkills and Partner SSCs Manufacturers Existing qualifications expanded to address carbon agenda + Refurb / Insulator quals

18 Page 18 Construction Industry HousingCommercial BlgPublic BlgCivil EngEnergy New buildR & MOffices, Hotels, Supermarkets Education, NHS, Defence, MOJ Road, Rail, Water etc Wind, wave, Nuclear, Groundsource etc SocialSpeculative Pre 1919 1920+ NewRefurbNewRefurb Qualifications Craft, management and professional occupations

19 Page 19 Construction Industry Housing New build SocialSpeculative Training/qualification framework in home building sector for a volume housebuilder Waste WRAP Recycling Waste Minimisation Waste management Plan People waste Climate Change Mitigation Adaptation Energy Usage and minimisation of: Carbon Water Energy Building Regulations Flooding Renewable energies Air tightness Cold Bridging Existing Stock Building Regs Part J Retrofit renewables Insulation Condensation Productivity Offsite activity and type Lean Manufacturing Robotics

20 Page 20 Registration/Accreditation ●Certification of Construction: Electrical Installations; Drainage, Plumbing and Heating work. ●Microgeneration Certification Scheme (MCS): operates to support the installation of a range of microgeneration technology, which is now linked to the Feed-In Tariff. To be eligible for the FIT an installation must be carried out by an MCS accredited installer. ●Energy Assessors: have to by certified by an approved organisation, which is an institute who have signed an agreement with Scottish Ministers. ●Competence cards: there are a number of card schemes that operate across the construction industry such as CSCS/SCORE etc

21 Page 21 Meeting the Challenge ●Consistent methodology to determine demand and supply ●Qualifications and MA reform (new and existing) ●Promotion of Career pathways across the Built Environment ●Clarity over routes to competence and accreditation schemes ●‘Training the Trainers’ ●Flexibility of funding and training delivery

22 Page 22 Questions?

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