Presentation on theme: "Howling in the Twilight Portfolio Analysis: Dashboard Diagnostics February 17, 2010 Presented by: Mark Robertson Founder and Managing Partner – www.manifestinvesting.com."— Presentation transcript:
Howling in the Twilight Portfolio Analysis: Dashboard Diagnostics February 17, 2010 Presented by: Mark Robertson Founder and Managing Partner – www.manifestinvesting.com
Dashboard Diagnostics 2 Club History & Characteristics Club Name: Wolves Location: Central Michigan # of Members: 15 (Mixed, Very Diverse) Founded: November 1993 The group includes a banker, a dentist, a dental hygienist, a hospital chief administrator, an insurance agent/owner, retail business owner, (3) librarians, (2) teachers, (2) IT professionals, a veterinarian and a small business owner... The club was founded by a group of teachers as an after-school activity. Five of the charter members are still active partners although they admit that they use MANIFEST, invest regularly and stay happy.
Dashboard Diagnostics 3 A Tribute To Librarians A Tribute To Librarians In a world that is increasingly oversaturated with a torrent of disconnected information, more and more we look to our librarians as the guides to the truth. – Vartan Gregorian, president of Carnegie Corporation of New York
Dashboard Diagnostics 4 A Tribute To Teachers A Tribute To Teachers
Dashboard Diagnostics 5 Club Long-Term Performance (5-Year Returns) The Wolves rank in the top percentile in this analysis profile of managed portfolios. The overall rating is based on (1) historical relative returns, (2) projected return and (3) quality.
Dashboard Diagnostics 6 Current Dashboard (Report Card) We talk about real stocks, real-time analysis and real opportunities here. Do your own homework. No investment recommendation is intended.
Dashboard Diagnostics 11 Challenge: Should we sell Infosys (INFY)... Lowest PAR? Sales Growth Forecast ~ 10%
Dashboard Diagnostics 12 Challenge: Should we sell Infosys (INFY)... Lowest PAR? Answer: No. A PAR of 8.6% is not different (enough) than a MIPAR of 9.6%... With its top shelf quality rating, wed watchfully hold INFY, monitoring profitability in particular. A sell condition would kick in if PAR wandered closer to 5-year T-bill yields (2.39%)
Dashboard Diagnostics 13 Purchase Candidates: FCN and AFAM With the next cash infusion, the Wolves will have 1.9% of assets to invest and (18) stocks... Making it clear that they are a mature club that needs to emphasize caretaking over shopping and identifying opportunity within the portfolio itself.
Dashboard Diagnostics 16 Accumulate 100 shares of FCN...
Dashboard Diagnostics 17 Think Results. Impact. Before and After. Bigger Picture. Before.After. The accumulation of FTI Consulting nudges the portfolio in the right direction. In the words of Faith Hill, Dont Hurry... But Dont Wait. Think cadence and steady discipline.
Dashboard Diagnostics 18 bivio dozen (2/17/2010) www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboard/12218 Published monthly, the bivio dozen is a listing of the top 1% of all stocks covered by MANIFEST – based on a combination of PAR and Quality.