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© Crown copyright Met Office SWFDP: Met Office support for East Africa Rob Varley – Met Office Operations and Services Director
© Crown copyright Met Office SWFDP Support – East Africa SWFDP Aims Improve severe weather forecasting, Improve lead time and reliability of warnings, Improve interaction of NMHSs with media and with disaster management and civil protection authorities, SWFDP East Africa - Burundi, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) Nairobi - lead centre Regional Forecasting Support Centre (RFSC) Dar es Salaam - coordinates and provides specialised products from high-resolution NWP (LAM) over Lake Victoria. Regional centre needs: Model knowledge and interpretation Confidence and accuracy in issuing warnings; including increasing lead times Appreciation of impacts rather than thresholds WMO request for support from the Met Office Global Guidance Unit (GGU)
© Crown copyright Met Office Global Guidance Service September 2012 – 4 month pilot Met Office visit KMD and TMA to assess requirements and gain appreciation of working environment Met Office issue daily written guidance across all models available in region Regional centres use information to inform forecasts Feedback on forecasting accuracy February 2013 – Phase 2 KMD and TMA visit Met Office. Shadow forecasters, view facilities and processes Parameters for daily guidance agreed Met Office generate graphics-based guidance and establish Huddle site to share information Daily video conference call to share learning Met Office takes mentoring role, handing over responsibility to regional centres as confidence grows July 2013 KMD and TMA visit Rwanda to assess requirements & re-enforce national cascade
© Crown copyright Met Office Video conferencing discussions Met Office GGU Kenya (x region) Tanzania (Lake Victoria)
© Crown copyright Met Office Video conference development? Met Office GGU Kenya (x region) Tanzania (Lake Victoria) Rwanda
© Crown copyright Met Office Vision..... Met Office GGU Kenya (x region) Tanzania (Lake Victoria) Rwanda Uganda Burundi Ethiopia South Sudan Consensus Support Collaboration
© Crown copyright Met Office Timeline Time in project African Met Centres Responsibility for guidance Stage 1: Support -MO visit to NMHS -Needs assessed -Guidance generated -Feedback shared Stage 2: Mentoring - NMHS visit to MO - parameters agreed - video conferencing - mentoring relationship - case study collection - transfer of leadership Stage 3: Collaboration - Video conferencing led by Africa - Validation embedded - Continuous improvement - MO ongoing model data provision & and development GGU Met Office
© Crown copyright Met Office
SWFDP – Eastern Africa (pilot phase) Milestones (Planning and Management): Technical-Planning Workshop (Nairobi, Oct 2010) –Agreement that the SWFDP-EA.
Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) Peter Chen Chief, Data-Processing and Forecasting System Division Weather and Disaster Risk Reduction.
WMO Status and Plans of the SWFDP – Severe Weather Forecasting Development Project Ken Mylne Chair DPFS (Data-processing and Forecasting Systems) & Chair.
WMO Severe Weather Forecasting Development Project (SWFDP) Ken Mylne Chair DPFS (Data-processing and Forecasting Systems) & Chair SWFDP SG WMO; WDS.
World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water SWFDP - Eastern Africa Regional Training Workshop on Severe Weather Forecasting.
SWFDP-SA: Evolution, challenges and successes Mark Majodina South African Weather Service 1 October 20141FCAST-PRE
Implementing SWFDP in Eastern Africa: What our NMHS need from Regional and Global Centers Michael S.Z Nkalubo PR Uganda Chair EAC Heads of Met. Services.
Lessons from the Southern African Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) Eugene Poolman South African Weather Service Pretoria, South.
SWFDP Eastern Africa- Cascading Forecast By Ruben K. Barakiza Institut Geographique du Burundi( IGEBU) Meteorological Department P.O.BOX 331 BUJUMBURA.
WMO Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) and its Future Directions A. Soares Scientific Officer WMO Data-processing and Forecasting.
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Severe Weather Forecasting and Disaster risk reduction Demonstration Project (SWFDDP) Steve Ready.
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10/10/2014EC-LXI/Doc. 4.2, p. 3 World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water EC-LXII/Doc. 4.2 Expected Result 7 ENHANCED.
Washington, June, Lessons from the Southern African SWFDP and Mozambique NMS BY Moises Vicente Benessene Chair of Meteorological Association.
Africa Adaptation Programme NMS requirements for GFCS related research and capacity development Joseph D. Intsiful Data and information Management Expert.
Access to products from the SWFDP-EA RSMC, Nairobi web portal Vincent N. Sakwa KMD.
CLIMATE RISK: REVIEW OF PROGRESS IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY L.A.OGALLO IGAD CLIMATE AND APPLICATIONS CENTRE (ICPAC) Dept. of.
World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water WMO OMM WMO Climate & Water Department Global Framework for.
Regional Models Lake Victoria Model Prepared by C. Tubbs, P. Davies, Met Office UK Revised, delivered by P. Chen, WMO Secretariat SWFDP-Eastern Africa.
Eugene Poolman Chief Forecasting: Disaster Risk Reduction RSMC Pretoria South African Weather Service SWFDP Regional Frameworks and their Impact on Developing.
Working Group on Nowcasting Research Report Paul Joe WWRP JSC Feb 2011 Geneva.
POWERFUL WEATHER INTELLIGENCE. The SWFDP Concept PETER LENNOX, CHIEF EXECUTIVE PETER KREFT, CHIEF FORECASTER.
UNFCCC secretariat, Adaptation, Technology and Science Rocio Lichte, Programme Officer DEVELOPMENTS ON CLIMATE OBSERVATIONS AND RELATED NEEDS UNDER THE.
World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water EC-LXII/Doc. 3.1, Rep. 3.1 Enhanced Capabilities of Members to Produce.
WMO WMO INTEGRATED GLOBAL OBSERVING SYSTEM (WIGOS) REPORT TO EC-66 (Dr S. Barrell, Chair, ICG-WIGOS Prof B. Calpini, Co-chair) WMO; OBS.
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