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South Region LNG market changes and cross border flows SGRI – 15th November 2013.

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Presentation on theme: "South Region LNG market changes and cross border flows SGRI – 15th November 2013."— Presentation transcript:

1 South Region LNG market changes and cross border flows SGRI – 15th November 2013

2 Agenda 1.France Zone North – Zone South flows 2.France - Spain cross-border flows 3.Spain – LNG and Third country flows 4.Portugal – LNG and cross-border flows

3 Transmission demand in 2012 Main evolutions vs Drop of LNG supplies – -38% between 2011 and 2012 – -50% at Montoir Historical cold snap in February 2012 – 10 days at record levels with daily consumption above GWh/day Higher entries at Dunkirk (+12%) and Obergailbach (+38%) to offset LNG’s supplies Growing exports to Spain (+18%), decreasing to Italy (-34%) 3

4 Transmission demand in 2012 High rate of long term subscription : – PIR~100% Lesser bookings at PITS High utilization of subscribed capacities at PIR – Lesser use of regas capacities Maximum utilization of the North / South Interconnection Point All points used at least one time at their fully booked capacities 4 AA 88 % LT 100 % AA 82% LT 100% AA 32 % LT 100% AA 62 % LT 94% AA58 % LT 92% AA 19% LT 87% AA 63% LT W 61% LT S 89% AA 93% LT 100 % Annual Average LTsubscription Daily Maximum use below 100% AA 70% LT 100% AA 15% LT 100% AA8% LT15 %

5 Transmission demand in 2012 High use of capacities at PIRs reflecting the global increase of gas flows through pipelines in Rate of subscription

6 Transmission demand in 2012 Sharp drop at Oltingue and at PITTM, an increase at PIR Midi 6 OLTINGUE LNG MONTOIR LNG FOS MIDI Rate of subscription

7 North-South link (1/2) High rate of subscription and increased use in the current market situation 7 Firm capacities limited to 230 GWh/day between North and South Due to LNG drop, North South IP used at 93% on average in 2012 Average spread at 1.6 €/MWh in 2012 with higher points at 7 €/MWh Market coupling and joint transport storage services introduced to relieve the congestion Rate of subscription

8 North-South link (2/2) 8 Nota: Maximum technical capacity = Firm + Interruptible

9 Midi IP 9 Nota: Maximum technical capacity = Firm + Interruptible

10 Montoir 10 Nota: Maximum technical capacity = Firm + Interruptible

11 Fos 11 Nota: Maximum technical capacity = Firm + Interruptible

12 Agenda 1.France Zone North – Zone South flows 2.France - Spain cross-border flows 3.Spain – LNG and Third country flows 4.Portugal – LNG and cross-border flows

13 13 Larrau Interconnection Point (Historical) Winter Firm marketable capacities Subscribed capacities Average nominations Nominations * Rate of use of subscribed capacities Summer All firm marketable capacities (France  Spain) have been subscribed Between 2008 & 2012 shippers have used around 70 % of their capacities. Strong increase of rate of use for the last 3 years 50% en 2010 around 100 % in2012

14 14 Larrau Interconnection Point (2013) Capacity increase 1st april 99% rate of use 64% rate of use 10% rate of use

15 15 Biriatou Interconnection Point (2013) 76% rate of use

16 Agenda 1.France Zone North – Zone South flows 2.France - Spain cross-border flows 3.Spain – LNG and Third country flows 4.Portugal – LNG and cross-border flows

17 17 Utilisation of LNG terminals Decrease of LNG terminals use HUELVA BARCELONA CARTAGENA BILBAO

18 18 Utilisation of LNG terminals Decrease of LNG terminals use SAGUNTO REGANOSA * Data as from 1 April 2008

19 19 BARCELONA

20 20 HUELVA

21 21 CARTAGENA

22 BILBAO

23 SAGUNTO

24 REGANOSA

25 Utilisation of Third country IPs TARIFAALMERIA * Data as from March 2011

26 TARIFA

27 ALMERIA

28 Agenda 1.France Zone North – Zone South flows 2.France - Spain cross-border flows 3.Spain – LNG and Third country flows 4.Portugal – LNG and cross-border flows

29 29 Portugal – Spain Interconnections and Sines LNG Terminal IP 34 – Valença do Minho / Tuy (V.M./Tuy) IP 35 – Badajoz / Campo Maior (Badajoz/C.M.) Virtual Interconnection Point (VIP) Sines LNG Terminal Cross-border flows occur >99% through Badajoz/C.M. IP LNG / NG split is around 43%

30 30 LNG and Cross-border Flows Historical Data ( ) Sines LNG Terminal Cross-border - Import Cross-border - Export CAGR: -11.2% CAGR: +4.2% Physical flows in export direction only occur at V.M./Tuy IP

31 31 Sines LNG Terminal 2013 (Jan-Oct)

32 32 Interconnections Portugal-Spain 2013 (Jan-Oct)

33 Thank you for your attention


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