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Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier

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Presentation on theme: "Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier"— Presentation transcript:

1 Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. Covering analyst: Christian Meunier

2 Business Overview ›Founded in 1956 ›Headquartered in Riverside, California ›5 th largest deposit market share in Riverside County. ›$1.5 Billion in assets, $971.4 million in deposits ›Community Savings and Loan bank

3 Products and Offerings ›Community Banking –Single-Family Mortgages –Multi-Family Mortgages –Commercial Real Estate Mortgages –Commercial and Consumer Loans ›Mortgage Banking - Origination for sale of Single-Family Mortgages ›Volume of loan origination has gone up last 3 years.

4 Loans held for investment analysis

5 Market/Location ›15 banking offices in Riverside County ›Inland Empire ›18 mortgage offices in California

6 Operations

7 Loans Originated, Sold, and Purchased ($thousand)

8 Revenue

9 Savings and Loans ›Struggling Industry. ›Expected to see an annual growth percentage of -1.8% –Regulation –Commercial Banks –Still seeing impact of housing collapse –Low interest rates

10 Prime Rates ›Current Prime Rate is 3.25% (record low) –Available to most credit worthy customers ›“Operation Twist” will keep rates low till 2015 ›Growth will come

11 Housing Price Index ›Captures trends in the national housing market ›Peaked in 2006 ›Growth is forecasted until 2018

12 Local Economy ›Riverside hurt by housing collapse –3.1% drop in average wages –Housing prices fell 55% ›Currently fastest growing recovery –Housing prices increased 10.9% –Housing inventory down 32.3% –65% decrease in foreclosures –8 months of home sale improvement –10.5% unemployment –Still poor compared to national economy

13 Comparable ›PACW -35% ›PPBI -35% ›BOFI -15% ›HMST -15% ›SMPL -0%

14 Valuation

15 Beta ›Regressions came out to around 0.44 –High standard deviation ›Used Hamada to get 0.96 –Closer to industry beta –More reasonable

16 Excess Return ›Used Excess Return Model –Pin-pointing debt is difficult in banks –Does not use WACC –Depreciation and Amortization –Capital Expenditure –Only take into account equity –Trust Book Value (financials more likely to be at market value)

17 Valuation

18 Final Valuation

19 QUESTIONS?

20 Recommendation ›Buy for Svigal and Tall Fir portfolios


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