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Preliminary Election Results and Analysis National Cotton Council November 7, 2012
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House 112 th Congress Republicans240 Democrats190 Vacancies 5 113 th Congress Republicans 233 Democrats192 Too close to call* 9 Runoff—LA 3 merged *NC 7 McIntyre; FL 18 West; AZ 9 new; AZ 2 Barber (Giffords); AZ 1 new; CA 36 Bono Mack; CA 52 Bilbray; CA 7 Lungren 1
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Senate 112 th Congress Democrats51 Republicans47 Independents* 2 Lieberman (CT) & Sanders (VT) caucused with Democrats 113 th Congress Democrats53 Republicans45 Independents* 2 *Sanders (VT) will caucus with Democrats & King (ME) expected to caucus with Democrats
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House Agriculture Committee Republicans Lucas (OK) Goodlatte (VA) Johnson (IL) King (IA) Neugebauer (TX) Conaway (TX) Fortenberry (NE) Schmidt (OH) Thompson (PA) Rooney (FL) Stutzman (IN) Gibbs (OH) Scott (GA) Tipton (CO) Southerland (FL) Crawford (AR) Roby (AL) Huelskamp (KS) DesJarlais (TN) Ellmers (NC) Gibson (NY) Hultgren (IL) Hartzler (MO) Schilling (IL) Ribble (WI) Noem (ND) Democrats Peterson (MN) Holden (PA) McIntyre (NC)* Boswell (IA) Baca (CA) Cardoza (CA) Scott (GA) Cuellar (CA) Costa (CA) Walz (MN) Schrader (OR) Kissell (NC) Owens (NY) Pingree (ME) Courtney (CT) Welch (VT) Fudge (OH) Sablan (MP) Sewell (AL) McGovern (MA) *too close to call
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Senate Agriculture Committee Democrats Stabenow (MI) Leahy (VT) Harkin (IA) Conrad (ND) Baucus (MT) Nelson (NE) Brown (OH) Casey (PA) Klobuchar (MN) Bennet (CO) Gillibrand (NY) Republicans Roberts (KS) Lugar (IA) Cochran (MS) McConnell (KY) Chambliss (GA) Johanns (NE) Boozman (AR) Grassley (IA) Thune (SD) Hoeven (ND)
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Cottonbelt House Results NC: Kissell (D) lost; McIntyre (D)-Rouzer (R) too close to call, 378 vote margin for McIntry, recanvas Nov. 16 SC: Rice (R) wins new 7 th district GA: Barrow (D) re-elected LA: Incumbents Boustany (R) 44.7% and Landry (R) 30% in run-off AR: Cotton (R) wins seat vacated by Ross (D) TX: Canseco (R) loses; Weber (R) wins seat vacated by Paul (R) OK: Bridenstine (R) wins seat vacated by Boren (D) AZ: Salmon (R) wins new 5 th District; in district formerly represented by Giffords (D) now Barber (D), McSally (R) may have narrowly won; Districts 1, 2 and 9 too close to call CA: LaMalfa (R) [rice farmer} wins seat vacated by Herger (R); Baca (D) [member of Ag Committee] defeated in District 35; Capps (D) defeats Maldanado (R) [former Lt Governor]; Valadano (R) [dairyman] wins District 21; Bono Mack (R) too close to call; Stark (D) [20 term member Ways & Means] defeated; McCarthy, Nunes, Denham, Costa all reelected Overall: 23 incumbents (9 Democrats and 14 republicans) have lost re- election bids as of Nov. 11; several more are in jeopardy of losing
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Cottonbelt Senate Results VA: Kaine (D) defeated former Senator Allen (R) for seat vacated by Webb (D) FL: Nelson (D) re-elected MS: Wicker (R) re-elected MO: McCaskill (D) re-elected TN: Corker (R) re-elected TX: Cruz (R) elected to seat vacated by Hutchison (R) NM: Heinrich (D) elected to seat vacated by Bingaman (D) AZ: Flake (R) elected to seat vacated by Kyl (R) CA: Feinstein (D) re-elected
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Possible Changes in 113 th Congress and Administration Senate Ag Committee leaders unlikely to change; 2 new Democrats and 1 new Republican will be selected to replace departing members Senate Appropriations Ranking Member could be Shelby (AL)—Cochran term-limited out of RM position by Caucus rules Senate Ag Appropriations Subcommittee Chair could either be Johnson (SD) or Pryor (AR) –Kohl retired
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Possible Changes in 113 th Congress and Administration No change expected in House Ag Committee leadership Kaptur (OH) or Lowey (NY) likely to be new Ranking Member of the House Appropriations Committee- Dicks (WA) retired Latham (IA) likely to Chair House Ag Appropriations Subcommittee- -Kingston term-limited by Caucus rule If Vilsack does not continue as Secretary of Agriculture candidates could be: former Senators Lincoln or Conrad Other likely Cabinet vacancies include USTR, State and possibly Transportation, EPA and Energy
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Cottonbelt Senators 113 th Congress StateRepublicanDemocrat VAWarner Kaine NCBurrHagan SCDeMint Graham GAChambliss Isakson FLRubioNelson ALSessions Shelby
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Cottonbelt Senators 113 th Congress StateRepublicanDemocrat MSCochran Wicker ARBoozmanPryor LAVitterLandrieu TNAlexander Corker MOBluntMcCaskill TXCornyn Cruz OKInhofe Coburn KSRoberts Moran
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Cottonbelt Senators 113 th Congress StateRepublicanDemocrat NMUdall Heinrich AZMcCain Flake CAFeinstein Boxer Total2311
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Presidential Results Cottonbelt StateObama %Romney % VA4847.7 NC46.249.2 SC4256 GA4653 FL48.249.7 AL3861 MS4356 LA3959 AR3761
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Presidential Results Cottonbelt StateObama %Romney % TN3959 MO4454 TX4158 OK3367 KS3959 NM5343 AZ4355 CA5543
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Presidential Results Battleground StateObama %Romney % CO48.847.3 FL48.249.7 IA48.746.3 NV50.247.4 NH49.947.9 NC46.249.2 OH5047.1 VA4847.7 WI50.446.2
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