Presentation on theme: "Cost Economics AAE 320 Paul D. Mitchell. Goal of Section Overview what economists mean by Cost (Economic) Cost Functions – Derivation of Cost Functions."— Presentation transcript:
Goal of Section Overview what economists mean by Cost (Economic) Cost Functions – Derivation of Cost Functions – Concept of Duality – What it all means
Economic Cost Economic Cost: Value of what is given up whenever an exchange or transformation of resources takes place For an exchange of resources (a purchase) not only is money given up, but also the opportunity to do some thing else with that money For a transformation of resources (including time), the opportunity to do other things with those resources is given up
Economic Cost vs Accounting Cost Economics includes these implicit costs in the analysis that standard accounting methods do not include Accountants ask: What did you pay for it? Explicit Cost Economists also ask: What else could you do with the money? Explicit Cost, plus Implicit Cost (Opportunity Cost)
Economic Cost vs Accounting Cost Economic cost ≠ accounting cost Accounting Cost: Used for financial reporting (balancing the books, paying taxes, etc.) – Typically uses reported prices, wages and interest rates (explicit costs) Economic Costs: Used for decision making (resource allocation, developing strategy) – Includes opportunity costs (implicit costs) in the analysis and calculates depreciation differently
Economic Cost vs Accounting Cost Accounting Profit = Revenue – Explicit Cost Economic Profit = Revenue – Explicit Cost – Implicit Cost + Benefits Economic analysis includes implicit costs and benefits that accounting does not include Zero economic profit does not mean you are not making money, but that you are making as much money as you should
Opportunity Cost Implicit Costs = “Opportunity Costs” Value of the best opportunity given up because resources are used for the given transaction or transformation “Value of the next best alternative” Value of what you could do with your resources and money Think of the Counterfactual – Opportunity Cost of attending UW – What would I be doing if not going to UW?
Accounting Cost of Attending UW Tuition and Fees $10,609 Books and Supplies $1,200 Room and Board $8,354 Travel $800 Miscellaneous$3,241 Estimated Total $24,204 = $24,000 Summer Work = $5,000 (~ $10/hr x 40 hrs x 13 wks) Source: http://www.admissions.wisc.edu/costs.php for 2012-2013
Economic Cost of Attending UW What are your opportunity costs of attending UW? Opportunity cost of your time Opportunity cost of your capital
Opportunity Cost of Time What’s your next best alternative? Assume you’d have a job making $12/hr x 40 hrs x 50 weeks = $24,000/year Note: you earn $5,000 each summer as a UW student Opportunity Cost of Your Time while attending UW is $24,000/year – $5,000 in lost wages, for a net opportunity cost of $19,000
Opportunity Cost of Your Capital How much money do you give up to attend UW each year? – Accounting cost = $24,000/year, including $8,000 for Room and Board – You must live somewhere and eat, so assume Room and Board = $8,000 for your next best alternative also – Final cost = $24,000 – $8,000 = $16,000 What else could you do with the money? – Assume invest money at going interest rate, say 2% – Opportunity Cost of Your Capital: $16,000/year that could earn 2% interest = $320/year – UW costs you $320/year in lost use of your money
Economic Cost to Attend UW $16,000 in Tuition, Books, etc. $19,000 in lost wages – If you did not attend UW, you’d earn $19,000 at your job (opportunity cost of your time) $320 in lost return on your money – If you did not attend UW, you’d have $16,000 that you could have put in a bond and earned $320 (opportunity cost of your money) Room and Board is not a cost, since you’d pay it whether or not you attended UW
Economic Benefits Economic profit includes benefits accounting methods do not Besides increased income due to attending UW Value of UW Education – Better education than a “directional” school, connection into alumni networks, friends made while here, UW’s international prestige and reputation giving better jobs, the UW experience, Bucky Badger, greater satisfaction in life, etc. Your Net Profit = ??? Economic Costs and Benefits harder to quantify
Economic Profit Tuition, Books, (Direct Cost) – $16,000 Lost Wages (Opportunity Cost) – $19,000 Lost Interest (Opportunity Cost) – $320 Current Value of Future Income???? Value of the UW Experience???? Your Net Profit????
Opportunity Cost Assume you make $50,000 and your next best job pays $45,000 Typical way of thinking: Make more money with $50,000 job than with $45,000 job, so keep the higher paying job Economic way of thinking: looks at the difference in pay – Treat $45,000 as an “opportunity cost” and subtract it from you current salary, leaving you $5,000 – Your economic profit = $5,000: You are making $5,000 more with current job than you could in your next best opportunity If your economic profit is zero, you are making as much money as you can—no better opportunities out there
A Simple Example A store owner/operator earns $50,000 Opportunity Costs: She could earn $35,000 managing for a national chain and rent her store for $25,000 Opportunity Costs = $35,000 + $25,000 = $60,000 Economic Profit = $50,000 – $60,000 + benefit Including opportunity costs show that she is losing $10,000 per year, but we have not included the value of all the intangibles (being her own boss, etc.) Value of intangibles = How much would she need to quit She must value owning and operating her own store vs working for a national chain by at least $10,000 per year What if the national chain job included health insurance and the “peace of mind” it offers?
Opportunity Cost of Farm Capital You have equity in your farm—you own part of it—it is your money invested in the farm If you gave the money to John Deere, Alliant Energy, Monsanto, you would own stock in the company and they would pay you a dividend You could buy bonds or precious metals, etc. or put it in the bank in a CD or similar. These are ways to estimate the opportunity cost of your money—you could make XX% rate of return What are you making by keeping it in the farm? – We do this later: how to calculate rates of return on equity, assets and such
Think Break #8 You operate a farm with market value of $600,000 in land, buildings, machinery, etc. Your debt is $300,000 with an annual interest payment of $15,000 this year. Annual revenue averages $400,000 with operating costs of $320,000. If you sold the farm, you expect to earn a 5% return if you invested the money. You think you could work for the farm co-op in town making $40,000. What are the accounting profits you obtain for owning and operating the farm? What are the economic profits you obtain from owning and operating the farm?
Main point of this section “Cost” in economics is more comprehensive than accounting cost Exposure to concept of opportunity cost We will come back to opportunity costs when we do budgeting Start New Section: Cost Functions
Cost Definitions Cost Function: schedule or equation that gives the minimum cost to produce the given output Q, e.g., C(Q) Cost functions are not the sum of prices times inputs used: C = r x X + r y Y C = r x X + r y Y is cost as a function of the inputs X and Y, not cost as a function of output Q
Cost Functions Cost depends on inputs used and their prices, but how much of each input to use? Output price = marginal cost (P = MC) identifies how much output Q to produce Production function and prices identify input combinations to use to produce Q Mathematical wonders of duality needed to fully explain how it works
Main Point If you choose Q so that price = marginal cost, the inputs needed to produce this level of output at minimum cost will satisfy the optimality conditions we have already seen: VMP x = r x and MP x /MP y = r x /r y Duality implies that a cost function with standard properties implies a production function with standard properties
Fixed Cost (FC) Costs that do not vary with the level of output Q during the planning period Cost of resources committed through previous planning Property Taxes, Insurance, Depreciation, Interest Payments, Scheduled Maintenance In the long run, all costs are variable because you can change assets
Variable Cost (VC) Costs that change with the level of output Q produced Manager controls these costs Fertilizer, Seed, Herbicides, Feed, Grain, Fuel, Veterinary Services, Hired Labor Vary the relative amounts used as increase output
Cost Definitions Total Cost TC = fixed cost + variable cost Average Fixed Cost AFC = FC/Q Average Variable Cost AVC = VC/Q Average Total Cost ATC = TC/Q Marginal Cost MC = cost of producing the last unit of output = slope of the TC = slope of the VC = dTC/dQ = dVC/dQ
Livestock Example Suppose you have pasture and will stock steers over the summer to sell in the fall As add more steers, eventually the rate of gain decreases as forage per animal falls (diminishing marginal product) Fixed cost = $5,000 in land opportunity costs, depreciation on fences and watering facilities, insurance, property taxes, etc. Variable cost = $495/steer: buying, transporting, vet costs, feed supplements, etc.
Think Break #9 (Review) SteersBeefMPVMP 0 0 10 727.2648 201487.6684 302257.7693 402957.0630 503606.5 604206.0 704755.5 805255.0450 905704.5405 1006104.0360 How many steers should you stock if the expected selling price is $90/cwt and steers cost $495 each? Hint: What’s the single input optimality condition?
Profit Maximization and Cost Functions Choose output to maximize profit Max = pQ – C(Q) FOC: d /dQ = p – MC(Q) = 0 Choose output Q so that price equals marginal cost will maximize profit SOC: d2 /dQ2 = – MC’(Q) 0 Need a convex cost function (diminishing marginal product)
P = MC and VMP = r Cost Function based optimality condition P = MC identifies Q = 475 cwt as the profit maximizing output Production Function based optimality condition VMP = r identifies Steers = 70 as the profit maximizing input use Optimality conditions are consistent with each other because of duality
Think Break #10 You work for UWEX and have data on several farms in your seven county district You look at all farms with similar sized milking parlors and a similar number of workers You calculate the average production per cow as the number of cows varies among the farms Use these data in the table to recommend the optimal milk output and herd size
Think Break #10 CowsMilk cwtFCVCTCMC 00100000 0 20480010000670007700013.96 4096401000013400014400013.84 601449010000201000211000 801932010000268000278000 1002410010000335000345000 120288241000040200041200014.18 140334881000046900047900014.37 160380961000053600054600014.54 180426241000060300061300014.80 200470601000067000068000015.10 (VC = $3350/cow) 1)Fill in the missing MC’s 2)If the milk price is $14/cwt, what is the optimal milk output and farm size?
MC = Output Supply Curve Maximize = PQ – TC(Q) gives P = MC(Q) P = MC(Q) defines the supply curve — for any price P, how much output Q to supply Profit changes along the MC curve, but for the given price, the maximum is on the MC curve Think of MC curve as a line defining the peak of a long ridge, with the elevation of the peak (profit) changing along the line
ATC defines Zero Profit With free entry and exit and competition, long run economic profit is zero—everyone earns a fair return for their time & assets Set profit to zero and rearrange PQ – TC(Q) = 0 becomes PQ = TC(Q), then P = TC(Q)/Q = ATC P = ATC defines zero profit Think of ATC curve as line defining sea level, below ATC means < 0
MC = ATC at min ATC ATC = TC(Q)/Q, use quotient rule to get first derivative, then set = 0 and solve d(TC(Q)/Q)/dQ = (MC x Q – TC(Q))/Q 2 = 0 Rearrange to get MC x Q = TC(Q), and then MC = TC(Q)/Q = ATC FOC implies MC = ATC at min ATC Intersection between MC and ATC occurs when ATC is at a minimum Min ATC: where profit max ridge hits the sea
MC = AVC at min AVC Repeat process with AVC d(VC(Q)/Q)/dQ = (MC x Q – VC(Q))/Q 2 = 0 Rearrange to get MC x Q = VC(Q), and then MC = VC(Q)/Q = AVC FOC implies MC = AVC at min AVC Intersection between MC and AVC occurs when AVC is at a minimum
Profit and min AVC Profit at min AVC: = PQ – VC(Q) – FC P = MC = AVC at min AVC, so rewrite as = MC x Q – VC(Q) – FC VC(Q) = (VC(Q)/Q) x Q = AVC(Q) x Q, so rewrite as = MC x Q – AVC(Q) x Q – FC, or = Q(MC – AVC(Q)) – FC MC = AVC at min AVC, so MC – AVC = 0, so that = – FC Produce at P ≥ min AVC because, though lose money, still pay part of FC
Cost Functions and Supply MC ATC AVC Green: P ≥ min ATC and ≥ 0 Yellow: min AVC ≤ P ≤ min ATC and – FC ≤ ≤ 0
Cost Function and Supply Output Cost or Price MC Green is complete supply schedule AVC ATC
Think Break #11 CowsMilkVCTCMCATCAVC 00010000 204800670007700013.9616.0413.96 40964013400014400013.8414.9413.90 601449020100021100013.8114.56 801932026800027800013.87 1002410033500034500014.02 1202882440200041200014.1813.95 1403348846900047900014.3714.3014.01 1603809653600054600014.5414.3314.07 1804262460300061300014.8014.3814.15 2004706067000068000015.1014.4514.24 These are the Think Break #10 data (FC = $10,000) 1)Fill in the missing costs 2)What do you recommend for farms this size if the milk price is $13/cwt?
What if P < min AVC? Remember economic profit includes opportunity costs, so negative economic profit means better opportunities elsewhere Your money/assets and time would get better returns in other activities Choices when p < min AVC for long term 1) Quit and convert resources 2) Find new technology with lower average production costs
Other Cost Terms Used Fixed Cost synonyms: Overhead, Ownership Costs Variable Costs synonyms : Operating Costs, Out-of- Pocket Costs Direct vs Indirect: direct costs are linked to a specific enterprise (dairy), indirect are not (pickup truck, tractors). Both can be fixed and variable Cash vs Non-Cash: Cash costs paid from farm income, while non-cash costs include depreciation, returns to equity, labor, management (opportunity costs). Both can be fixed and variable