Presentation on theme: "PREM Knowledge and Learning April 20, 2011. Multiple goals: ◦ Monitor household welfare, demographic changes, ◦ Capture impact of short and long term."— Presentation transcript:
Multiple goals: ◦ Monitor household welfare, demographic changes, ◦ Capture impact of short and long term shocks, etc. ◦ International obligations – MDGs, IDA results, etc. Ideal Data – characteristics: ◦ Content is relevant to context ◦ Timely ◦ Regularity – dependable cycle or constant frequency ◦ Comparable Do we have such data?
Recent WDI exercise ◦ Many teams involved: DECDG, DECRG, PRMPR, Regions ◦ Increased data points: 231 data points (Nov 2010) to 577 data points (April 2011) ◦ Provides answers to these questions
Availability of $2 a day poverty rates since 1980s
◦ Development impact cannot be known. Outcomes not credible Results not believable
Expansion or contraction of consumption list ◦ Food and non-food Seasonality Recall periods Population samples Field work errors – increase or decline Ref: Kinnon
Short term goals: ◦ Guideline Note – Survey choice and implementation Support National statistics office to develop effective strategies Rely on the guide as a tool for making good decisions ◦ Regional project Survey Based Harmonized Indicator Program (SHIP) ◦ Retail interventions Household survey clinics Poverty Assessments ◦ Partnerships – DECRG, PRMPR and DECDG
Longer term goals: ◦ Regularize and shorten the survey cycle ◦ Financing - Sustainability of surveys ◦ Timeliness - Learn from on-going innovations/experiments and explore scalability ◦ DREAM Every country or a large plurality to undertake a survey for the period 2010-2014 to have results for the MDG in 2015.