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“ARE IMPACTS BROADER THAN BEEF” LIVE EXPORTS FORUM GEORGETOWN ADDRESS BY W.S (BILL) CUMMINGS | CUMMINGS ECONOMICS, CAIRNS 12 AUGUST 2011.

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Presentation on theme: "“ARE IMPACTS BROADER THAN BEEF” LIVE EXPORTS FORUM GEORGETOWN ADDRESS BY W.S (BILL) CUMMINGS | CUMMINGS ECONOMICS, CAIRNS 12 AUGUST 2011."— Presentation transcript:

1 “ARE IMPACTS BROADER THAN BEEF” LIVE EXPORTS FORUM GEORGETOWN ADDRESS BY W.S (BILL) CUMMINGS | CUMMINGS ECONOMICS, CAIRNS 12 AUGUST 2011

2 Cummings Economics / JUNE 2011 2 LIVESTOCK INDUSTRIES Value (1) of Livestock Production by Production Area PeninsulaGulfTableland Wet Tropics Burdekin North West Total Cattle$25.0 m$190.2 m$18.5 m$19.5 m$11.0 m$353.1 m$617.3 m Dairy$37.8 m Pork$3.7 m Poultry$4.5 m Total$25.0 m$190.2 m$64.5 m$19.5 m$11.0 m$353.1 m$663.3 m Note: Excludes transport to markets elements. Source: DEEDI (Primary Industries Section).

3 Cummings Economics / JUNE 2011 3 Value of Livestock Production by Statistical Division CattleDairyPorkPoultryTotal Far North$161 m$37.8 m$3.7 m$4.5 m$207 m North$120 m $336 m Total$617 m$37.8 m$3.7 m$4.5 m$663 m LIVESTOCK INDUSTRIES

4 Cummings Economics / JUNE 2011 4 EMPLOYMENT TO OUTPUT RATIO EmploymentEst Ratio Output per Person Employed Far North1,600$130,000 North1,100$110,000 North West1,400$240,000 Total4,100$162,000

5 Cummings Economics / JUNE 2011 5 POST FARM GATE TurnoverEmployment Far North$7.4 m60 North$6.5 m50 North West$17.7 m140 Total$31.6 m250 CATTLE TRANSPORT (1) (1) To meat works and export from region only MEATWORKS & PROCESSING Value AddedEmployment Far North$12 m110 North$60 m850

6 Cummings Economics / JUNE 2011 6 SUMMARY OF POST-FARM GATE VALUE ADDING Summary of Post-Farm Gate Value Adding Est Post-Farm Gate Value Adding IndustriesFar NorthNorthNorthwestTotal Sugar$140 m$300 m-$440 m Cattle Processing$12 m$60 m-$72 m Transport$7 m$6 m$18 m$31 m Fruit & Vegetables Transport$62 m$5 m-$67 m Other Livestock$80 m-- Fishing & Forestry$43 m$7 m$1 m$51 m Other$46 m$6 m-$52 m Total$390 m$384 m$19 m$793 m Est Employment Sugar8001,700-2,500 Cattle Processing110850-960 Transport6050140250 Fruit & Vegetables Transport47035-505 Other Livestock360-- Fishing & Forestry329518388 Other26550-315 Total2,3942,7361485,278

7 Cummings Economics / JUNE 2011 7 SUMMARY ASSOCIATED ACTIVITY Summary of Associated Activities Value Adding Est Value Added Far NorthNorthNorthwestTotal Government Services$35 m$17 m$2 m$54 m Education$6 m$26 m$1 m$33 m Total$41 m$43 m$3 m$87 m Est Employment Government Services30814815471 Education521565213 Total36030420684

8 Cummings Economics / JUNE 2011 8

9 9 V ALUE A DDED BY P RIMARY I NDUSTRIES TO THE R EGIONAL E CONOMY Calculation of Total Value Added to the Economy $M Far North RegionNorth RegionNorth West Region Output Total Value Added Output Total Value Added Output Total Value Added Grains75.421.5 Beef cattle160158.2120109.1336296.7 Dairy cattle3833.1 Pigs43.8 Poultry54.4 Other agriculture905913.1701721.3 Forestry and logging22.3 Commercial fishing207170.94235.41512.0 Meat and meat products5562.56067.8 Dairy products3535.6 Fruit and vegetable products2119.665.8 Other food products141137.1273268.7 Other manufacturing88.210.9 Wholesale trade4346.61213.110.8 Road transport7171.11212.31817.1 Services to transport, storage1616.22626.9 Government administration3547.31723.512.5 Education69.12639.911.5 Total$1,761$1,744.5$1,296$1,326.2$373$330.6

10 Cummings Economics / JUNE 2011 10 E MPLOYMENT G ENERATED Calculation of Total Employment Generated in the Region Far North RegionNorth RegionNorth West Region InitialTotalInitialTotalInitialTotal Grains3157.411120.14 0.00 Beef cattle13242025.7211001739.1014001950.20 Dairy cattle309497.18 0.00 Pigs3038.76 0.00 Poultry3763.01 0.00 Other agriculture41696491.1323893777.01 0.00 Forestry and logging4089.44 0.00 Commercial fishing7401481.46370758.13100181.10 Meat & meat products350912.458502215.95 0.00 Dairy products120418.20 0.00 Fruit & vegetable products130375.0550144.25 0.00 Other food products7913111.7915526105.57 800.00 Other manufacturing60185.94516.32 0.00 Wholesale trade322903.8546130.92818.82 Road transport5301217.4185199.49140291.76 Services to transport, storage 91291.47148487.07 0.00 Government administration308688.07148355.641530.92 Education5291.16156276.5958.16 Total943418939.50691016226.1816682480.96

11 Cummings Economics / JUNE 2011 11 S OME C OMPARISONS Input Structure of Industries Total Value of Output Other AgricultureMining Non Ferrous Ores Intermediate Inputs33%34% Compensation Employees 18%9% Gross Operating Surpluses 43%50% Other6%7% Total100% Estimated Total Turnover Compared – Primary Industries & Tourism Region Primary Industries 2008/09 Visitor Expenditure (1) 2009 Far North$1,758 m$2,554 m North$1,326 m$577 m $373 mnsr (2) Total$3,457 m$3,131 m (1) Source: Tourism Research. (2) nsr – not separately recorded.

12 Cummings Economics / JUNE 2011 12 SURVEY RESULTS – WHERE FROM Name Tableland/ Area Townsville/Charters Towers Area GeorgetownOther Main Shopping Along Road 46%48%6%- West of 69%31%-- Vehicle Equipment Repair Along Road 38%54%8%- West of 72%24%4%- Medical Along Road 39%28%11%22% (RFDS) West of 58%24%18%- Legal Services Along Road 50% -- West of 50% -- Schooling Along Road -%89%11%- West of 13%79%9%- Accounting Along Road 54%43%3%- West of 47%35%-18% Fuel Along Road 84%16%10%- West of 58%8%33%-

13 www.cummings.net.au LIVE EXPORTS FORUM GEORGETOWN 12 AUGUST 2011 “ARE IMPACTS BROADER THAN BEEF”


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