Presentation on theme: "Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) Catastrophic Earthquake and Tsunami"— Presentation transcript:
1Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) Catastrophic Earthquake and Tsunami Functional Exercise 2016Concept briefing for a proposed comprehensive, coastal-centric, catastrophic earthquake and tsunami EOC functional exercise in 2016WSEMA – September 17, 2013Terry EganUnit ManagerPlans, Exercises, TrainingWA Emergency Mgt DivisionPatrick MasseyFederal Preparedness CoordinatorDirector, National Preparedness DivisionFEMA Region 10V3
2Map : Cascadia Subduction Zone Fault Line CSZ Exercise 2016Map : Cascadia Subduction Zone Fault LineThe CSZ 2016 Exercise is a progressive exercise series commencing in early 2014 with building block training and exercise ramp-up events culminating in a comprehensive four day EOC-to- EOC functional exercise in the Spring 2016.Focus on coastal jurisdictions and tribes along with select I-5 corridor and Eastern WA jurisdictions.
3CSZ Exercise 2016 Scenario Overview Magnitude 9.0 earthquake. Simulation of a M9.0 CSZ earthquake. Graphic provided by Pacific Northwest Seismic NetworkCrescent CityWashingtonOregonCaliforniaMagnitude 9.0 earthquake.Direct impacts to States of Oregon and Washington.Complete rupture of the 800-mile fault line.Impacts affecting over 140,000 square miles.Severe ground shaking lasting up to 5 minutes.20’ to 80’ tsunami impacting the entire coastline within minutes.Numerous aftershocks with several of M7.0+.
4CSZ Earthquake/Tsunami Impacts CSZ Exercise 2016CSZ Earthquake/Tsunami ImpactsMap : Highway Road Segments in the Cascadia Region with Expected Damages ranging from Slight to Complete under the 90th-Percentile Case Scenario.15,000 deaths; tens-of-thousands injured throughout three coastal states.3 million households impacted.800,000 requiring shelter.Extreme transportation impacts to I-5 corridor west to coastline. Coastal communities isolated.Major extended disruptions to critical infrastructure lifelines (electricity, refined fuels, water supply, etc.)Tremendous need for critical life-saving and life-sustaining resources – extensive mutual aid needed.
5CSZ Exercise 2016 Strategic Goals: Enhance Joint Operations – Success in managing the consequences of a wide-area catastrophic disaster hinges on how well local, state, tribal, and federal actions and the whole community are integrated and synchronized. The desire is for all exercise players at all levels to gain an appreciation of the sheer necessity of joint unified action.Instill an operational mindset shift to ‘catastrophic’ – Our elasticity and ability to stretch to handle the impacts of a catastrophic disaster is a daunting challenge. We need to plan and exercise for the worse.Planning Springboard – The lessons learned in the CSZ 2016 Exercise will be used to develop and/or update CSZ and related catastrophic disaster response plans at all levels and to inform future exercise design.
6Exercise Mission Statement: CSZ Exercise 2016Exercise Mission Statement:Collaboratively plan, design, and conduct a comprehensive functional exercise that tests local, state, tribal, and federal catastrophic earthquake plans to improve our joint-interagency and whole community ability to effectively respond to a wide- area, catastrophic earthquake and tsunami caused by a rupture of the Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) fault along the Northwest coast of the United States.Draft-proposed
7Exercise Participants (Anticipated) CSZ Exercise 2016Exercise Participants (Anticipated)WA Coastal counties, cities, and tribesSelect WA I-5 Corridor and East-of- the-Cascades Counties (TBD)WA EMDWA state agency ESFsSupporting States (AK and ID)FEMA Region X and federal agency ESFsFEMA National Response Coordination Center (NRCC)Department of DefenseNORTHCOM, NRNW, NGB, etc.Nongovernmental Organizations (VOAD)Major private sector partnersPrivate and public critical infrastructure lifeline providersInternational partners (e.g. British Columbia)Public (e.g., Tsunami Evacuation Drills - TBD)
8CSZ Exercise 2016The CSZ 2016 Functional Exercise will test EOC-to-EOC ability to perform tasks and objectives (TBD) associated with all Response Core Capabilities:Critical TransportationEnvironmental Response / Health and SafetyFatality ManagementInfrastructure SystemsMass Care ServicesMass Search and Rescue OperationsOn-Scene Security and ProtectionOperational CommunicationsOperational CoordinationPlanningPublic Health and Medical ServicesPublic Information and WarningPublic and Private Services and ResourcesSituational Assessment
9Exercise Planning Timeline CSZ Exercise 2016Exercise Planning TimelineSocialize ConceptScenario DocumentExtent of Play AgreementsC&E TrainingCSZ 2016 Exercise‘Ground Truth’ DocumentEXPLANEEGs20132014201520162017Exercise Series ‘Kick Off’ MeetingConcept and Objectives MeetingInitial Planning MeetingMid-Term Planning MeetingMSEL Synchronization MeetingsFinal Planning MeetingAfter Action Report PublishedPlease note: A number of ramp-up events to include training courses, seminars, workshops, tabletops (all TBD) will be conducted prior to the culminating functional exercise.
10CSZ Exercise 2016 Why an Exercise in 2016? Culminating point to many recent CSZ and catastrophic earthquake planning efforts at the local, state, tribal, and federal level.Allows adequate time to update plans, policies and procedures; also allows time to build and design a complex exercise with many participants.Implement a building block approach to train and exercise staffs on EOC- specific plans and procedures and joint-operations.Significant amount of ‘areas for improvement’ identified in previous local and larger exercises (e.g., Evergreen Quake Exercise Series).
11Exercise Parameters – the concept as it stands now: CSZ Exercise 2016Exercise Parameters – the concept as it stands now:A four-day response functional exercise (FE).Focus on WA coastal communities with select communities along I-5 corridor and Eastern WA.EOCs at all levels playing and activated to highest level – city, county, state, tribes, feds, private sector.All field-play simulated (with possibility of some actual field elements TBD) via Injects-MSEL distributed via Control/Simulation cell.Date: late May or early June 2016 (exact days TBD).Goal of 24-hour play. Options of 12-hour or 8-hour play each day (TBD).Local level of participation each day is objectives driven.Plenty of TBD based on partner input
12CSZ Exercise 2016 Considerations The following are some of the major issues that will need to be determined in designing the CSZ 2016 Functional Exercise:Include components of Continuity of Operations into the exercise?Duration of EOC play each day (24hrs, 12hrs, 8hrs)?Telecommunications outage play during the exercise or in a separate drill?Exercise length > 4 days?Type of ramp-up events (trainings, seminars, etc.)?Jurisdictions not playing in the exercise will be highly encouraged to serve on the Exercise Design Team and to assist neighboring communities that are playing
13CSZ Exercise 2016The Risk:Need to recognize funding and staff limitations and other constraints in the design and conduct of this exercise and associated events.
14The path forward over next several months: CSZ Exercise 2016The path forward over next several months:Socialize concept to local, state, tribal, federal, and other partners.Gather comments from exercise participants.Conduct “Kick-off” meeting in January/February 2014.Brief and discuss the exercise concept with whole communityDiscuss the exercise planning/design governance structureSolicit candidates to serve as exercise design team leadersDiscuss Extent-of-Play Agreement (XPA) parametersSolicit and then vote on the exercise name and logo
15For More Information Contact: CSZ Exercise 2016For More Information Contact:WA EMDName: Brittany GinnPosition: State Exercise Program ManagerFEMA Region 10Name: Stephen SimerlyPosition: Regional Exercise Officer