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ELECTIONS MAY 25 2014 THE DAY AFTER Kris Deschouwer.

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Presentation on theme: "ELECTIONS MAY 25 2014 THE DAY AFTER Kris Deschouwer."— Presentation transcript:

1 ELECTIONS MAY THE DAY AFTER Kris Deschouwer

2 . CONTENT 1. THE ELECTORAL SYSTEM 2. THE FEDERAL LEVEL 3. THE FLEMISH RESULTS 4. THE EUROPEAN LEVEL

3 . ELECTORAL SYSTEM AT ALL LEVELS A LIST PR SYSTEM PROVINCIAL DISTRICTS FOR FEDERAL AND REGIONAL SEATS BASED ON POPULATION BRUSSELS SEATS ALSO IN FLEMISH PARLIAMENT DISTRICT PER LANGUAGE GROUP FOR EUROPE SEATS BASED ON POPULATION AND POLITICAL AGREEMENT ( ) D’HONDT DIVISORS TO DISTRIBUTE SEATS 5% THRESHOLD PER PROVINCE VOTING IS COMPULSORY

4 .

5 . ELECTING PERSONS MIXED SYSTEM WITH BITH PARTY AND PREFERENCE VOTES ELECTIONS BASED ON COMBINATION OF BOTH VOTES (WITH IST VOTES HALF AS IMPORTANT)

6 . FEDERAL ELECTIONS FOR PARTI SOCIALISTE (DI RUPO): EFFECT OF GOVERNING / CHALLENGE OF EXTREME LEFT FOR GOVERNING PARTIES IN FLANDERS: WHAT AFTER GOVERNING WITHOUT FLEMISH MAJORITY? FOR N-VA: BECOMING LARGE ENOUGH TO CHANGE COALITION

7 . RESULTS IN FLANDERS N-VA32,728,2 CD&V18,717.6 Open VLD15,513,8 SP.a14,115.0 Groen8,57,1 VB5,912,6 PvdA2,81,3 LDD0,73,7

8 . RESULTS IN WALLONIA AND BRUSSELS PS31,035,9 MR25,525,0 cdH13,214,4 Ecolo8,712,6 PTB5,21,6 FDF4,8 PP4,03,4

9 . SEATS IN FEDERAL HOUSE N-VA34PS25 CD&V18MR19 Open VLD14cdH8 SP.a12Ecolo6 Groen6FDF2 VB3PTB2 PP1 (87) (63)

10 . REGIONAL LEVEL OUTGOING COALITION BUILT IN 2009 WITH CD&V, SP.a AND N- VA (AS THEN JUNIOR PARTNER) OUTGOING PM PEETERS KEEN ON KEEPING HIS POSITION EXPECTATION OF STRONG GAINS FOR N-VA

11 . FLEMISH PARLIAMENT N-VA31,913,1 CD&V20,522,9 Open VLD14,215,0 SP.a14,015,3 Groen8,76,8 VB5,915,3 LDD --7,6 UF0,81,2

12 . VOTES FLEMISH PARLIAMENT FLEMFED N-VA31,932,7 CD&V20,518,7 Open VLD14,215,5 SP.a14,014,1 Groen8,78,5 VB5,9 LDD --2,8 UF0,8

13 . SEATS FLEMISH PARLIAMENT N-VA4370 CD&V27 63 Open VLD19 SP.a18 Groen10 VB6 UF1 (124)

14 . TREND: REGIONALISM

15 . DIFFERENCE FL - WALL

16 . EUROPEAN ELECTIONS LIMITED IMPORTANCE IN CAMPAIGN –OTHER LEVELS MORE SALIENT –NO STRONG EUROSCEPTICISM INTERESTING: VERHOFSTADT AS ‘SPITZENKANDIDAT’

17 . EP : FLEMISH CONSTITUENCY FEDREG N-VA32,731,926,89,9 CD&V18,720,520,023,3 Open VLD15,514,220,420,6 SP.a14,114,013,2 Groen8,58,710,57,9 VB5,9 6,815,9 LDD0,7 -- 7,3

18 . EP : FRANCOPHONE VOTES FEDREG PS31,0 29,329,1 MR25,526,6 27,026,1 cdH13,2 15,111,413,3 Ecolo8,7 8,511,722,9 FDF4,82,55 3,4 PTB5,25;8 5,5 PP4,0 4,96,0

19 . EP: SEATS N-VA4PS3CSP1 CD&V2MR3 Open VLD 3cdH1 SP.a1Ecolo1 Groen1 VB1 (12)(8)(1)

20 . SOURCES ALL RESULTS CAN BE FOUND AT en/index.htmlhttp://polling2014.belgium.be/ en/index.html


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