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Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 László TÓTH, Hungary Bay Zoltán Institute for Logistics.

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Presentation on theme: "Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 László TÓTH, Hungary Bay Zoltán Institute for Logistics."— Presentation transcript:

1 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 László TÓTH, Hungary Bay Zoltán Institute for Logistics and Production Systems 1 st Hungarian-Ukrainian Joint Conference on Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components

2 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, of April 1241 Batu khan won against IV. Béla at Muhi1241 Batu khan won against IV. Béla at Muhi 1891 Sergey Prokofjev was born1891 Sergey Prokofjev was born 1900 Sándor Márai was born1900 Sándor Márai was born 1905 Attila József was born1905 Attila József was born 1945 caretaker government of Hungary moved to Budapest from Debrecen1945 caretaker government of Hungary moved to Budapest from Debrecen 1985 Ever Hodzsa was died1985 Ever Hodzsa was died

3 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, of April 1861 The american civil war has been started1861 The american civil war has been started 1938 Fjodor Saljapin was died1938 Fjodor Saljapin was died 1945 F.D. Roosevelt was died1945 F.D. Roosevelt was died 1961 J.A. Gagarin passed the first space flight1961 J.A. Gagarin passed the first space flight 1971 Igor Evenevicsh Tamm physicist was died, who had received the Nobel-price (in 1958)1971 Igor Evenevicsh Tamm physicist was died, who had received the Nobel-price (in 1958) 1981 The first take off of the Columbia space shuttle1981 The first take off of the Columbia space shuttle

4 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Space fligh: Space fligh: 12. April, 1961

5 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Paul GAUGIN, 1897 (Boston, Museum of Fine Arts, 141x376 cm) Where We come from? What We Are? Where we are going?

6 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 The Basic Words in Technical-Economical Life SafetyReliabilityRiskCosts Level of

7 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Designed in 80’s Designed in 70’s Designed in ’s years 31. December, 2005

8 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Reliability concept At a given technical level !!

9 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Event based approach Time based approach Condi- tion based approach Relia- bility based approach Risk based approach STRATEGY

10 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 RISK RISK = probability of failure x consequences DEFINITION of the System Determination of the Danger Consequences Probabilty probability consequences RISK DECISION TO DO something To do nothing

11 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Goal… critical components Manage risk = –define it –identify it –quantify it –rank it –control it –minimize it –… … HOW to do it practically?!?

12 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 The driving forces of development

13 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Kvantum technology

14 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Chernobyl, 26. April

15 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Partners, Guest

16 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Paton’s Family November március 5. – július 12.

17 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Bay Zoltán ( ) He measured the distance between the earth and moon using micro-wave technology ( ) (Radar astronomy). Definition of the unit of the distance, meter ( )

18 Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components Miskolc, 11 – 12. April, 2006 Thank you for your kind attention!


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