1. 1 Martin Faulstich Mario Mocker, Markus Köglmeier German Advisory Council on the Environment, Berlin Institute of Resource and Energy Technology, TU München ATZ Development Center, Sulzbach-Rosenberg DAAD Alumni Conference Sydney, 26th March 2010 Sustainability Harmonising Growth and Usage of Resources

2. 2 Sustainable industrial society Content Opportunities in the value chain Global Challenges Conclusion and outlook Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources

3. 3 Sustainable industrial society Content Opportunities in the value chain Global Challenges Conclusion and outlook Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources

4. 4 Source: BGR Study on Energy Resources 2009; diagram modified Range of coverage for non-renewable energy sources 275 132 43 61 40 4168 2838 345 79 24 010002000300040005000 Years 64 140 388 2970 4443 Resources Reserves Availability of resources Global Challenges Brown coal Hard coal Uranium Natural gas Crude oil

5. 5 Development of the global mean temperature Climate Change Global Challenges Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). "Climate change 2007

6. 6 Political objectives Limit warming on 2°C noticed Reduce emissions Formulate reduction objectives Greenhouse gas reduction IPCCEUDUSA 2020- 25-40%*- 20-30%- 40%- 20% 2050- 80-95%* - 80%*- 80% * For industrialized countries Reductions compared with 1990, USA: Reductions compared with 2005 Global Challenges

7. 7 Range of coverage for selected metals Availability of resources Global Challenges Reserves 44 39 34 31 29 22 20 05101520253035404550 Nickel Wolfram Cadmium Copper Tantalum Zinc Lead Years Reserves Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008

8. 8 Range of coverage for selected metals in years (static) Lead Zinc Tantalium Copper Cadmium Wolfram Nickel 20 22 29 31 34 39 44 Global Challenges Availability of resources Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008

9. 9 Global Challenges Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008 ResourceCoverage3 Countries3 CompaniesSubstitution [a][%] Platinum1549273No Molybdenum467949No Tin2080,639,5Yes Criteria for risk assessment Range of coverage Regional concentration Entrepreneurial concentration Substitution Availability of resources

10. 10 Quelle: Sustainable Europe Research Institute, www.materialflows.net, 2005, US Energy Information Administration, International Energy Annual, 2005 Resource consumption in Mg/Person/Year Energy consumption in MWh/Person/Year 99,8 51,6 4,3 22,7 13,0 2,7 Global fairness Global Challenges

11. 11 Sustainable industrial society Content Opportunities in the value chain Global Challenges Conclusion and outlook Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources

12. 12 raw material exploitation base material production goods production waste management products usage ????? Opportunities in the value chain Basic options and effort time effort time effort time effort time effort time effort

13. 13 Impacts on sustainability durability Goods production and usage recycling comfort benefit design material consumption repair energy consumption abrasion production lifestyledemounting Opportunities in the value chain

14. 14 www.kle.nw.schule.de Quelle: Regierung der Oberpfalz www.köster-bau.de Urban Mining www.hdgb.de Opportunities in the value chain Waste management Deposited domestic waste: 960 Mio. Mg Fe- + NE-Metals: 32 Mio. Mg (Germany) Deposited sludge: 10 Mio. Mg Phosphate: 1 Mio. Mg (Germany) Installed infrastructure: amount ??? Potential for raw materials: ??? Deponsited iron dross: 50 Mio. Mg Zinc: 70.000 Mg; Lead: 25.000 Mg www.geo-reisecommunity.de

15. 15 Model for tomorrow raw material exploitation base material production goods production waste management products usage time effort time effort time effort time effort time effort rebound- effekt ? ? ? Opportunities in the value chain

16. 16 Sustainable industrial society Content Opportunities in the value chain Global Challenges Conclusion and outlook Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources

17. 17 Sustainable industrial society Basic options for sustainability Sustainability Energy Carbon Metals / Minerals Sufficiency

18. 18 Dematerialisation Leasing instead of purchase Information instead of material Repair-friendly / easy of maintenance Recycling friendly design New materials Consistent material legislation Timeless design classics Long-life products open for innovations Conditioning & Production Demounting & Recycling Sustainable industrial society System Innovation: integrated circular flow economy Minerals Metals Water Biomass Resources Home CarBicycle Machine Goods & Use Fridge Notebook

19. 19 Sustainable industrial society System Innovation: integrated circular flow economy Long-life products open for innovation Leasing concepts Information vs material Recycling friendly design Timeless classics Multiple use devices Stop loss of resources

20. 20 Generation of primary energy SolarBiomass Wind Hydro GeothermalTidal electricity hydrogen methane Conversion Transport Storage Consumption of secondary energy HeatElectricity/Heat Cooling energyElectricity Mobility System innovation: integrated energy supply Sustainable industrial society

21. 21 Sustainable industrial society System innovation: integrated energy supply Quelle: www.desertec.org/DLR

22. 22 Industrial energy + carbon supply System innovation: integrated base material production Iron CementChemicals SteelAluminium Copper SolarBiomass Wind Water GeothermalTidal electricity hydrogen methane Primary energy production Conversion Transport Storage Sustainable industrial society

23. 23 Sustainable industrial society Content Opportunities in the value chain Global Challenges Conclusion and outlook Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources

24. 24 Challenges and Chances Conclusion and outlook Global Challenges climate change scarcity of raw materials sufficiency and efficiency increase Starting point value added chain depleted natural deposits optimized base material production secondary raw material as upcoming basis Sustainable industrial society integrated circular flow economy renewable energy and material supply managing system changes

25. 25 Integration … living today… … living and driving tomorrow? … driving today… Example for harmonising growth and use of resources Conclusion and outlook

26. 26 DAAD Alumni Conference Sydney, 26th March 2010 Thank you for your kindly attention! Sustainability Harmonising Growth and Usage of Resources