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Moderation Doesnt Pay. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Moderation Doesnt Pay The State of Pennsylvania The Candidates.

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Presentation on theme: "Moderation Doesnt Pay. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Moderation Doesnt Pay The State of Pennsylvania The Candidates."— Presentation transcript:

1 Moderation Doesnt Pay

2 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Moderation Doesnt Pay The State of Pennsylvania The Candidates The Campaign The Results

3 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The State of Pennsylvania Race/Ethnicity 83.8% White 10.4% Black 2.4% Asian 4.7% Hispanic Occupation 39.4% Blue Collar 60.6% White Collar Median Income $49.7k in state $51.4k in U.S. Partisanship D+2, PVI 08 Presidential Vote Obama, +10.4%

4 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Incumbent: Democrat Arlen Specter Occupation Attorney Political Experience Candidate for Governor Pennsylvania, 1978 Candidate for U.S. Senate, 1976 District Attorney, First Elected 1981 Committees Appropriations Environment and Public Works Judiciary (former chair) Veterans Affairs (former chair) Select Committee on Intelligence (former chair)

5 Table 12.1 Congressional Vote Scores for Arlen Specter, 1981–2010

6 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Challenger: Republican Pat Toomey Occupation Business Executive Political Experience House of Representatives,

7 Table 12.2 Congressional Vote Scores for Pat Toomey, 1999–2004

8 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Challenger: Democrat Joseph Sestak Occupation Vice Admiral, U.S. Navy Political Experience House of Representatives,

9 Table 12.3 Congressional Vote Scores for Joe Sestak, 2007–2010

10 Table 12.5 Campaign Finance for Pennsylvania Senate Campaigns, 2004–2010

11 Table 12.6 Campaign Activity by Outside Groups, 2010

12 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: The Polls

13 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Toomeys Protect PA NOTE: Internet access required.

14 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Toomeys Sad TV NOTE: Internet access required.

15 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Toomeys Doctor NOTE: Internet access required.

16 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Toomeys Clear Choice NOTE: Internet access required.

17 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Toomeys Jobs NOTE: Internet access required.

18 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Toomeys Lifelong Democrat NOTE: Internet access required.

19 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Toomeys $1Trillion NOTE: Internet access required.

20 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Toomeys One Extreme Party NOTE: Internet access required.

21 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Toomeys Death Tax NOTE: Internet access required.

22 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Toomeys Cap and Trade NOTE: Internet access required.

23 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks The Switch NOTE: Internet access required.

24 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks Meet Joe NOTE: Internet access required.

25 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks Not on Our Side NOTE: Internet access required.

26 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks Seniors Speak Out NOTE: Internet access required.

27 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks Belle NOTE: Internet access required.

28 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks Security NOTE: Internet access required.

29 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks Zero NOTE: Internet access required.

30 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks Timeline NOTE: Internet access required.

31 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks The Difference NOTE: Internet access required.

32 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks Independent NOTE: Internet access required.

33 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Sestaks Leading NOTE: Internet access required.

34 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Crossroads GPSs Add Up NOTE: Internet access required.

35 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Americans for Tax Reforms Sestak Energy Prices NOTE: Internet access required.

36 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: DSCCs Toomey Moved to China NOTE: Internet access required.

37 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: DSCCs Wall Streets Guy NOTE: Internet access required.

38 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: DSCCs Wall Street Ties NOTE: Internet access required.

39 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: DSCCs Modernizing and Growing NOTE: Internet access required.

40 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: DSCCs Corning NOTE: Internet access required.

41 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: AFLCIO ad criticizing the Chamber of Commerce NOTE: Internet access required.

42 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Vote Vets Trained NOTE: Internet access required.

43 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: US Chamber of Commerces Card Check NOTE: Internet access required.

44 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: US Chamber of Commerces 100% Pelosi NOTE: Internet access required.

45 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: NRSCs Status Quo Joe NOTE: Internet access required.

46 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: NRSC using Sestaks ads against him NOTE: Internet access required.

47 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: NRAs You Are the Problem NOTE: Internet access required.

48 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Club for Growths Sestaks Spending NOTE: Internet access required.

49 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: Club for Growth saying Sestak = Pelosi, Reid and Obama NOTE: Internet access required.

50 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: RCJs Sestak Out of Touch NOTE: Internet access required.

51 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: DNCs He Doesnt Support Us NOTE: Internet access required.

52 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: LCVs Toomey Drilling NOTE: Internet access required.

53 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave The Campaign: MoveOns Our Ad NOTE: Internet access required.

54 Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Table 12.4 Pennsylvania Statewide Election Results, 2010


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