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Update on the power situation in Asia Edgar van der Meer Energy Analyst June 21, 2013 1 17th World Chlor-Alkali Conference.

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Presentation on theme: "Update on the power situation in Asia Edgar van der Meer Energy Analyst June 21, 2013 1 17th World Chlor-Alkali Conference."— Presentation transcript:

1 Update on the power situation in Asia Edgar van der Meer Energy Analyst June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference

2 June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference2 Outline Generation Capacity Asia and Selected Countries Global Fuel Costs Demand Asian Demand Worldwide trends Energy Shortfall Outlook Where are the tariffs headed?

3 2013 Electricity Generation Capacity In 2013, over half of Asias Electricity Generation Capacity is fueled by Coal Over ¾ of supply will come from only 3 sources: Coal, Hydro & Gas June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference3

4 2020 Electricity Generation Capacity While lower, Coal will still be the major source for installed capacity in 2020 Hydro and Gas remain in the number 2 and 3 spots but theres an increasing mix June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference4

5 2020 Comparison Asia vs. World June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference5

6 Generation Capacity (MW) China June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference6

7 Generation Capacity (MW) India June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference7

8 Generation Capacity (MW) Indonesia June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference8

9 Generation Capacity (MW) Japan June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference9

10 Generation Capacity (MW) Korea - South June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference10

11 Price Effects of Coal-Fuelled Electricity Generation Positives Wide Availability Easy Transport High Energy Value Negatives Carbon Taxation High Capital Cost Environmental Cost Recovery June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference11

12 Price Effects of Gas-Fuelled Electricity Generation Positives High Energy Value New Reserves Increasing Supply Efficiencies in use of Technology (CC / ACT) Negatives Difficult Transport Centralized Availability June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference12

13 Generation Capacity Conclusions Asian Electricity Sector has a heavy reliance on Coal Disproportionate to the Rest of the World Gas influence Rising High Oil Prices Pushing Diversification June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference13

14 Price Developments of Fuel June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference14

15 Raw Fuel Costs per kWh June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference15 Source: BP/EIA

16 What was your share? 17,691,480,000,000 kWh June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference16 $4,560,834,057,610

17 Net Generation and Net Consumption June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference17

18 June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference18

19 So where are we headed? June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference19

20 Conclusions Dependency on Coal High oil prices Lower cost of Gas More grid interconnections Middle East Stability June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference20

21 Thank you June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference21

22 Receive a Free Report June 21, th World Chlor-Alkali Conference22


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