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Presented by: Michael C. Render North American FTTH: 10 Year Report Card FTTH's Second Decade Begins: Where We Are, Where We Are Going.

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Presentation on theme: "Presented by: Michael C. Render North American FTTH: 10 Year Report Card FTTH's Second Decade Begins: Where We Are, Where We Are Going."— Presentation transcript:

1 Presented by: Michael C. Render North American FTTH: 10 Year Report Card FTTH's Second Decade Begins: Where We Are, Where We Are Going

2 Has FTTH Had An Impact? Economy Quality of User Experience New Technology

3 Has FTTH Become A Household Name? Consumer Recognition

4 Have We Overcome Challenges? Political Funding

5 Has FTTH Deployment Grown? Will It Continue? Greenfield Construction Existing Overbuilds

6 Has FTTH Had An Impact?…. ….Economy (Grade: A)

7 How would you best describe the organization you work for? Select one: RBOC ILEC CLEC MSO Municipal government State or regional government Real Estate Developer/Integrator End-user business Consultant Equipment vendor Contractor

8 Billions In Home Based Business Impact -Average revenue from home- based businesses in FTTH homes is $59,780 -Revenue for FTTH home-based businesses is $46.7 Billion -Revenue estimated to be related to FTTH performance is $11.1 Billion * * 11% said their business would not be possible without FTTH, and 64% said it is more efficient FTTH Enhanced Home - Based Business Reported

9 Billions In Traditional Economic Development/GDP Growth

10 Billions In Environmental Savings -1 day per month average (Nearly 12% work more from home directly because of FTTH – an average of 9 days more) -US Carbon Emissions reduced by.06% (5.5% of citizens * 3% * 40%) -FTTH also lowers energy use, road maintenance, accidents, unproductive hours… Days worked from home increased 1 day per month on average: Extra Days From Home Reported

11 Has FTTH Had An Impact?… …Quality of User Experience (Grade: A+)

12 Reliability – service uptime Broadband speed Installation process Consistency of speed Providers customer service Much Higher Satisfaction With Internet Aspects FTTH Versus Cable Modem 12

13 Quality of HD picture Standard television Number of HD channels VOD Much Higher Satisfaction With Television Aspects FTTH Versus Cable 13

14 Much Higher Tested Download Performance Median Mbps By Year

15 Much Higher Tested Upload Performance Median Mbps By Year

16 FTTH DSL FTTN Cable modem Wireless Far Fewer Modem Reboots Reported Per Month 16

17 Speed/ faster/ better Internet/ bandwidth Picture clarity/ video clarity Reliability/ consistency/ no hassles Bundle of several services on one bill Cost Fewer weather disruptions Quality Number of channels/ entertainment choice Better customer service General positives - pleased to have it DVR Convenience Better than previous cable company Video-on-demand/ movie downloads No satellite dish Better technology/ up-to-date Lines are buried/ No overhead Can run two computers at once Easy installation Other Users Clearly Understand Key Advantages Of FTTH Open End Responses 17

18 Has FTTH Had An Impact?… …New Technology (Grade: C)

19 Shop online Play single player games Upload large files Download or stream video to computer Play multi player games Upload video content to Internet Use VOIP for audio Use two-way video conferencing Transfer files for remote offsite storage Download or stream video to television set Use remote software / cloud computing Use remote monitoring camera video Participate in a virtual world Some Increased Use Of Advanced Internet Applications Among FTTH Users Under Age 40 By Year 19

20 Business video conferencing Very large HDD with super resolution Advanced websites/ full video Remote home and pet monitoring Online face-to-face healthcare Advanced online shopping One device for TV, Internet, & phone Two-way video calling Advanced online college 3D TV There Is Interest In Futuristic Services Current FTTH Users Under Age 40 20

21 Online face-to-face healthcare Very large HDD with super resolution One device for TV, Internet, & phone Advanced online shopping Two-way video calling Remote home and pet monitoring Advanced websites/ full video Business video conferencing 3D TV Advanced online college There Is Interest In Futuristic Services Current FTTH Users Age

22 FTTH Upload Performance Will Become A Competitive Advantage Median Mbps By Year

23 Has FTTH Become A Household Name?… …Consumer Recognition (Grade: C)

24 General Public Awareness Of FTTH Is Still Low By Year 24

25 Non FTTH Users: Internet from a direct fiber optic line Green space / walking, jogging 24 hour neighborhood patrol Community pool / park Fitness center / Clubhouse Current FTTH Users: Internet from a direct fiber optic line Green space / walking, jogging 24 hour neighborhood patrol Community pool / park Fitness center / Clubhouse Yet When Described, Users Understand The Importance Of FTTH In New Home Development 25

26 Have We Overcome Challenges?… …Political (Grade: A)

27 Have We Overcome Challenges?… …Funding (Grade: B-)

28 Nearly $40 Billion In Investment To Date

29 Total U.S. Telco & Cable Capital Expenditures Are Stable Total North American Telco & Cable Capital Expenditures Are Stable

30 But There Is Competition For Telecom Capex DSL broadband speeds are falling far behind the competition. Telcos are starting to lose subscribers and need an FTTH update. This is reaching severe levels in some areas, such as eastern Canada. WirelessWireline Smartphone penetration is expected to increase from 15% to 70% in just three years with the increasing use of higher bandwidth applications. Some see this as an impending crisis. 30

31 National public investment Private investment Other Investment Offers Opportunities Municipal public investment

32 Has FTTH Deployment Grown?… …Greenfield Construction (Grade: B-) …Existing Overbuilds (Grade: A-)

33 FTTH Homes Passed Have Grown Cumulative – North America 100 x Growth since 2001

34 FTTH Homes Connected Have Grown Cumulative – North America

35 FTTH Penetration Has Grown Cumulative – United States

36 But FTTH Penetration Is Not Uniform Percent Of Households Connected +

37 FTTH Internet Use Has Steadily Grown Broadband Type Primarily Used At Home USA By Year

38 There Has Been Some Short Term Slowing Of Growth

39 FTTH Homes Passed Annual Change – North America

40 FTTH Homes Connected Annual Change – North America

41 Greenfield FTTH Homes Connected Will Increase Annual – North America

42 Greenfield Will Finally Take Off As Older Copper-Based Developments Are Filled

43 Very unlikely Somewhat unlikely Somewhat likely Very likely All customers have FTTH Likelihood Of Overbuilds Still Look Good In Many Sectors Adding FTTH: Current Non RBOC FTTH Providers 43

44 Telecom Video Was An Early Driver FTTH Video Homes Connected Cumulative – North America

45 MSOs (Docsis2, Docsis 3) Verizon (DSL, FTTH) Other RBOC (DSL, FTTN) Broadband Line Loss Will Become A Driver Net Broadband Adds Source: Leichtman Research

46 MSOs (Docsis2, Docsis 3) Verizon (DSL, FTTH) Other RBOC (DSL, FTTN) 46 Source: Leichtman Market Research Broadband Line Loss Will Become A Driver Net Broadband Adds First Half 2010

47 How many additional North American homes do you expect to be passed by FTTH or FTTB in next 5 years (by the end of 2015)? Select one: 3 million or less 6 million 9 million 12 million 15 million or more

48 Note: Much of the RBOC decline has already occurred. North American FTTH Will Begin A New Mild Increase - With More Explosive Growth Possible Key: Yellow – stable Light green – moderate growth Dark green – strong growth

49

50 Overall… The FTTH Picture Looks Positive!

51 Q&A

52 Broadband Properties Magazine homepage: Also at Broadband Properties Magazine: For a replay of this Webinar, and for upcoming webinar events, dont forget to check out our municipal broadband webinar site at Contact Mike Render at Or visit For the complete report of FTTH deployment in our October issue, featuring Mike Renders data:


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