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SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Natural Hazards Research From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme Marta Moren Abat Climate.

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Presentation on theme: "SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Natural Hazards Research From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme Marta Moren Abat Climate."— Presentation transcript:

1 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Natural Hazards Research From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme Marta Moren Abat Climate change and environmental risks Unit European Commission - DG Research Environment Directorate Marta Moren Abat Climate change and environmental risks Unit European Commission - DG Research Environment Directorate

2 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme 1.Background – Policy context 2.Natural Hazards in the Research Framework Programmes 3.FP6 Total support Some example projects 4.FP7 general Structure Budget Time plan 5.FP7 Natural Hazards Specific programme Work programme 2007 and beyond 6.Information sources / Links

3 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Addressing Natural Hazards Climate related (Hydro-meteorologicalHazards) Avalanches, Floods, Drought, Storms, Forest fires, … Geological HazardsMulti-Hazards Earthquakes, Volcanic eruptions, Mass movements, Tsunamis, …

4 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Earthquakes Floods Industrial accidents Fires Volcanic Eruptions Landslides Droughts

5 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS

6 International Strategy for Disaster reduction – Hyogo Framework for action , Kobe world Conf International Council for Science – ICSU Natural and human induced environmental hazards (6 year plan ) International year of Planet Earth 2008 (UNESCO, IUGS,..) GEO (Group on Earth Observation – 10-Year GEOSS Implementation Plan) Addressing Natural Hazards: Research Policy Context – International level

7 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS FP5/4 years – Overall supportFP5/4 years – Overall support:48 Mio Euro FP6/5 years – Overall supportFP6/5 years – Overall support:58 Mio Euro FP7 – First year estimateFP7 – First year estimate:13 Mio Euro Some examples of projects…Some examples of projects… Addressing Natural Hazards: European Framework Programmes Environment research programmes

8 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS

9 Topic: Volcanic Risk Assessment VOLUMEVOLUME: Volcanoes: Understanding subsurface mass movement (3,1 Mio Euro) NOVAC:NOVAC: Network for Observation of Volcanic and Atmospheric change (2,6 Mio Euro) Remark : TTC call + INCO partners in both projects (central/Latin America) Topic: Long-term forecasting of landslides and Avalanches (Global 3) IRASMOS:IRASMOS: Integral Risk Management of Extremely Rapid Mass Movements (2,4 Mio Euro) GALAHAD:GALAHAD: Advanced Remote Monitoring Techniques for Glaciers, Avalanches and Landslides Hazard Mitigation (1,6 Mio Euro) BV FP6 STREP Projects

10 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Topic: Floods FLASH (Strep):FLASH (Strep): Observations, Analysis and Modelling of Lightning Activity in Thunderstorms, for use in Short Term Forecasting of Flash Floods (1,2 Mio Euro) MMA HYDRATE (Strep):HYDRATE (Strep): Hydro-meteorological data resources and technologies for effective flash flood forecasting (2,4 Mio Euro) managed by I.3 FLOODSITE (IP)FLOODSITE (IP): Integrated flood risk management methodologies (9,68 Mio Euro) MMA – Topic: Forest Fires Topic: Forest Fires (Managed by Unit I3) FIREPARADOX (IP):FIREPARADOX (IP): Integrated forest fire management (12 Mio Euro) FP6 STREP Projects

11 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Topic: Seismic Early Warning SAFERSAFER: Seismic Early Warning for Europe (3,6 Mio Euro) SEAHELLARCSEAHELLARC: Seismic Risk Assessment and Mitigation Scenarios in Western Hellenic Arc (1,3 Mio Euro) BV Topic: Tsunami Risk in Europe TRANSFERTRANSFER: Tsunami Risk and Strategies for the European Region (3,3 Mio Euro) NEARESTNEAREST: Integrated Observation from Near Shore sources of Tsunami-Golf of Cadiz (2,8 Mio Euro) FP6 STREP Projects

12 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Topic: Multi-risks LESSLOSS (IP):LESSLOSS (IP): Risk Mitigation for Earthquakes and Landslides (6,43 Mio Euro)- BV – - (Seismic engineering) FORESIGHT (STREP):FORESIGHT (STREP): Frequent Observation-driven Realistic Evaluation and Simulation of Interacting Geophysical Hazard Triggers (1,08 Mio Euro) 3HAZ CORINTH (STREP):3HAZ CORINTH (STREP): Earthquakes, tsunamis and landslides in the Corinth rift, Greece (1,49 Mio EURO) BV ARMONIA (STREP):ARMONIA (STREP): Applied multi-risk mapping of natural hazards for impact assessment (1 Mio Euro) MEDIGRID (STREP):MEDIGRID (STREP): Mediterranean Grid of multi-risk data and models ( Euro) MMA FP6 Projects

13 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Topic: Multi-risks NARAS (SSA):NARAS (SSA): Natural Risks assessment, harmonisation of procedures, quantification and information ( EURO) EU-MEDIN II (SSA):EU-MEDIN II (SSA): Supporting information on Natural Hazards ( Euro) SCENARIO (SSA):SCENARIO (SSA): Support on common EU strategy for sustainable natural/induced technological mitigation ( Euro) BV FP6 Projects

14 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Framework Programme (Council and EP) Specific Programme (Council + opinion EP) Work Programmes (Commission) Yearly calls (specific topics, choice of instruments,…) EC RESEARCH STRUCTURE

15 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS FP7 - structure FP7 - structure specific programmes + JRC Cooperation Collaborative research Cooperation Collaborative research People Human Potential People Human Potential Ideas Frontier Research Ideas Frontier Research Capacities Research Capacity Capacities Research Capacity JRC (non-nuclear) JRC (non-nuclear) + 10 thematic areas 1. Health 2. Food, agriculture and biotechnology 2. Food, agriculture and biotechnology 3. Information and communication technologies 4. Nanosciences, nanotechnologies, materials and new production technologies 5. Energy 7. Transport (including aeronautics) 8. Socio-eco. sciences and the humanities 6. Environment (including climate change) 10. Security 9. Space A. Climate change, pollution and risks B. Sustainable management of resources C. Environmental technologies D. Earth observation and assessment tools 4 activities (WP) i. Pressures on environment and climate ii. Environment and Health iii. Natural hazards 3 sub-activities (WP) 1. Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting 2. Vulnerability assessment and societal impacts 3. Risk assessment and management 4. Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies 4 core areas (WP)

16 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS FP7 size EUR mill FP7 size EUR mill CC, poll. and risks ? CC, poll. and risks ? B. Sust. mngmt. of res. ? B. Sust. mngmt. of res. ? C. Env. tech. ? C. Env. tech. ? D. Earth obs. & assess. ? D. Earth obs. & assess. ? Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting ??? Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting ??? 2. Vuln. assess and soc. Impacts ??? 2. Vuln. assess and soc. Impacts ??? 3. Risk assessment and management ??? 3. Risk assessment and management ??? 4. Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies ??? 4. Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies ??? Press. on env. & climate 2007: est 36 mill Press. on env. & climate 2007: est 36 mill ii. Env. & Health 2007: est 19 mill ii. Env. & Health 2007: est 19 mill iii. Nat. hazards 2007: est 13 mill iii. Nat. hazards 2007: est 13 mill Cooperation mill Cooperation mill People mill People mill Ideas mill Ideas mill Capacities mill Capacities mill JRC (non-nuclear) mill JRC (non-nuclear) mill + 1.Health mill 1.Health mill 2. Food, agriculture and biotechnology mill 2. Food, agriculture and biotechnology mill 3. ICT mill 3. ICT mill 4. Nano++, materials and new production technologies mill 4. Nano++, materials and new production technologies mill 5. Energy mill 5. Energy mill 7. Transport mill 7. Transport mill 8. Socio-eco. Sciences 623 mill 8. Socio-eco. Sciences 623 mill 6. Environment mill 6. Environment mill 9. Space mill 9. Space mill 10. Security mill 10. Security mill

17 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS FP7 - Time plan

18 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Climate Change, pollution and risks Sustainable management of resources Environmental Technologies -Conservation and sustainable management of natural and man-made resources - Evolution of marine environments - Earth observation - Forecasting methods and assessment tools - Pressures on environment and climate - Environment and health - Natural Hazards - Technologies for observation, prevention, mitigation,…, of the natural and man-made environment -protection, conservation and enhancement of cultural heritage, including human habitat - Technology assessment, verification, testing Earth observation and assessment tools Cooperation Environment (incl. Climate Change)

19 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS The Way Forward Core Work Programme in Natural Hazards 2007 Call (indicative budget : 13 Mio Euro) Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecastingHazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting European storm risk Vulnerability assessment and societal impactsVulnerability assessment and societal impacts Frame for better vulnerability assessment Risk assessment and managementRisk assessment and management Assessing and managing volcanic threat Harmonising avalanche forecasting, risk mapping and warning Investigating Europes risk from droughts Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategiesMulti-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies European (multi) hazard database analysis GeoGeo –Contributing to the development of a worldwide network of in- situ observatories for seismogenic hazards

20 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Natural Hazards Rationale – Specific programme Management of natural hazards related to climate and geological hazards requires improved knowledge, methods and an integrated framework for the assessment of hazards, vulnerability and risks. Multidisciplinary research aiming to understand better the underlying processes should be pursued to improve detection, prediction and forecasting methods. Multi-risk approach combined with spatial planning, mapping, modelling are needed for the development of prevention and mitigation strategies. Environmental and societal resilience and repercussions of major natural hazards should be quantified.

21 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Natural Hazards in Europe Future trends ? Climate related natural hazards will increase throughout Europe, although different type of hazards will predominate in different regions e.g. –Increasing risk of floods, snowmelt-related floods, flash floods. –Possible storms increase in the north-eastern Atlantic, decrease in storminess and wind intensity in the Mediterranean –Extreme precipitation events may increase landslide hazard –In mountains, change in T° and snow conditions may increase avalanches, affect permafrost and rock falls –In the Mediterranean, decrease precipitation and increased temperature may lead to a longer fire season and dry season.

22 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Towards better prediction of landslides events Generation, propagation and fate of sediment and debris in extreme floods Vulnerability assessment of buildings, lifelines systems and network related to earthquakes Environmental, social and economical assessment and management of flood: Present and future scenarios, for EU and key areas in non EU countries Environmental, social and economical assessment of drought risk approaches (EU and non EU perspective) Public perception, behaviour and response to risks Seismic and other geo-hazards risk assessment and mitigation for built environment and infrastructures Towards a European science research agenda in support to the UN strategy for disaster reduction and its European national initiatives Assessment of socio-economic benefit of prevention and mitigation strategies and plans Climate change and social impacts on wild fires regimes and landscape recovery The Way Forward Core Work Programme in Natural Hazards Possible Future Topics beyond 2007

23 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS EUROPEAN RESEARCH ON NATURAL HAZARDS: Catalogue of selected FP5 and FP6 Projects - Volume 1 EU research: More information on European Commission environmental research: Info on programmes and projects: RTD info magazine: Information requests: Information sources and links

24 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Questions? Thank you!


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