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Steel - the road forward Nicholas Walters
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Steel: A key driver of the worlds economy
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Steel is everywhere in your life
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Sustainable steel: steel at the heart of the green economy
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Life Cycle Assessment (LCA): New solutions for new times
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Environmental impact: use phase often dominates % contribution of each life cycle phase 6 The use phase of products often has the greatest environmental impact Aim of regulations: to reduce use phase impacts Steel industry involvement to improve use phase Material production and end-of-life become more important Move to lighter weight, higher strength steels
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Environmental impact: use phase often dominates % contribution of each life cycle phase 7 The use phase of products often has the greatest environmental impact Aim of regulations: to reduce use phase impacts Steel industry involvement to improve use phase Material production and end-of-life become more important Move to lighter weight, higher strength steels
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Global economic trends
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Global growth expected flat in 2013 but developing economies outlook improving 9 Source: Global Insight (January 15, 2013), worldsteel Global GDP developments (%, Real 2005 USD billions) 2009201020122013 EU27-4.32.0-0.20.1 NAFTA-3.22.62.31.9 S.America-0.36.02.33.3 CIS-6.84.93.6 Africa2.74.75.04.4 Middle East1.35.93.32.2 Asia1.87.74.94.7 Global -1.94.22.62.5
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Emerging markets drive steel demand at the margin 2012 another record year for apparent steel use Chinas share of global demand at peak levels Source: worldsteel Source: Global Insight & worldsteel 10 28 % 45 % 26% 56 % 16 % 27 % Structure of real GDP & Apparent steel use DevelopedDeveloping ex ChinaChina GDPASCGDPASCGDPASC 2000 78%56%18%27%3.6%16% 2005 75%40%20%26%5.0%33% 2010 70%24%22%31%7.6%45% 2012 69%23% 32%8.5%45% Global apparent steel use (Billions of tonnes, finished)
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Other key trends shaping the industry
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Demographics and its impact on demand 12 Source: United Nations, worldsteel
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Urbanisation trends indicate concentration to larger cities 13 Distribution of urban population by type of city: 19702010 Source: United Nations
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Urbanisation trends in developing countries contribute to significantly higher steel intensity vis-a-vis developed countries. While developing countries are less steel intensive in both industrial and consumer goods. Developing regions more steel intensive in important use sectors Source: worldsteel 14
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What future for the Chinese automotive sector? 15
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Volatility of raw materials 16
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Steelmaking capacity Source: OECD 17
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Changes in technology 18
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The future
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Design requirements 20
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Efficient and optimised production processes 21
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Sustainability must apply over the life cycle of steel - Not possible without supply chain collaboration 22
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worldsteel.org
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